MLB Spread Handicapping: Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners - 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 12:02:31 AM
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MLB Spread Handicapping: Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners - 7/28
Game Summary
The Chicago White Sox are set to host the Seattle Mariners at Guaranteed Rate Field on July 28. This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons. The White Sox have struggled significantly this year, holding a dismal record of 27-80 overall, placing them at the bottom of the American League Central. In stark contrast, the Mariners have managed to stay competitive with a record of 55-51, currently contending for a playoff spot in the American League West. Historical matchups between these two teams have often favored the Mariners, making this game particularly intriguing. The Mariners are coming off a solid performance against the White Sox, having won their recent encounters decisively. The starting pitchers for this game are Garrett Crochet for the White Sox, boasting a respectable ERA of 3.07, and Bryce Miller for the Mariners, with an ERA of 3.41. Given the disparity in team performance and the pitching stats, this game is crucial for the Mariners as they aim to solidify their position in the playoff race.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | TBD |
| Spread (Chicago White Sox) | +1.5 |
| Spread (Seattle Mariners) | -1.5 |
| Moneyline (Chicago White Sox) | TBD |
| Moneyline (Seattle Mariners) | TBD |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 7-7 | 3.41 | 1.03 | 116.0 | 103 | 29 | 15 |
| Garrett Crochet (CHW) | 6-7 | 3.07 | 0.97 | 111.1 | 157 | 25 | 10 |
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Team Previews
Chicago White Sox
The Chicago White Sox have faced a challenging season, with their offensive production ranking among the lowest in the league. They currently sit at the bottom of the league in runs scored with just 324 total runs, and their .217 batting average is tied for the worst in Major League Baseball. Their pitching staff has also struggled, as evidenced by their team ERA of 4.66, which ranks them 29th overall. Garrett Crochet, the probable starting pitcher, has shown flashes of effectiveness, boasting a 3.07 ERA, but the lack of run support has often hindered his ability to secure wins. The White Sox's fielding has been inconsistent, contributing to their overall struggles.
Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners have had a more successful season, currently holding a record of 55-51. Their offense has been more productive, scoring 400 runs, though this still places them near the bottom of the league rankings. The Mariners' pitching has been their strength, exemplified by their excellent team ERA of 3.38, which ranks 1st in the league. Bryce Miller, their starting pitcher for this matchup, has been effective, striking out 103 batters across 116 innings while maintaining a decent WHIP of 1.03. The Mariners’ bullpen has also been efficient, as they have recorded 27 saves this season, ranking them tied for 10th in the league.
Team Injuries
Chicago White Sox
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | SP | Neck | Out for the season |
| Matt Foster | RP | Elbow | Out until at least Jul 29 |
Seattle Mariners
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | SP | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 2 |
Betting Trends
- The White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 games.
- The Mariners are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the White Sox.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the White Sox's last 7 games.
- The Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 away games.
Recent Games
Chicago White Sox
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | L 7-1 | Loss |
| Kansas City | L 6-1 | Loss |
| Kansas City | L 4-1 | Loss |
| Texas | L 4-3 | Loss |
| Texas | L 3-2 | Loss |
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Houston | L 3-0 | Loss |
| Houston | L 4-2 | Loss |
| Houston | W 6-4 | Win |
| Los Angeles | L 3-1 | Loss |
| Los Angeles | L 5-1 | Loss |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 30th | 29th | 30th | 6th |
| Seattle Mariners | 28th | 1st | 45th | Tied-12th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The White Sox are 1-8 in their last 9 games against the spread.
- The Mariners are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Mariners' last 6 games against the White Sox.
- The White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.
- The Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 games against teams with losing records.
- Chicago is 1-5 in their last 6 games overall.
- Seattle is 4-1 in their last 5 games against American League Central teams.
- Both teams are averaging below .220 in batting average this season.
- The Mariners have a +62 run differential compared to the White Sox's -180.
- Expect a low-scoring affair given the recent trends and team form.
Weather
Weather on game day is forecasted to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 81°F.
Prediction
With the Chicago White Sox struggling significantly this season and the Seattle Mariners fighting for a playoff spot, the Mariners are heavily favored to win this matchup. The Mariners have a strong pitching advantage with Bryce Miller on the mound, who has shown solid form throughout the season. Given the White Sox's struggles both offensively and defensively, it is reasonable to expect the Mariners to cover the spread of -1.5 comfortably. Therefore, the prediction is for the Seattle Mariners to win by at least two runs.
Pick: Seattle Mariners -1.5Get more predictions and expert picks! :
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