MLB Spread Game Picks: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/31
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MLB Spread Game Picks: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/31

MLB Spread Game Picks: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/31

MLB Spread Game Picks: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/31

Photo Credit: nan

Game Summary

The New York Yankees are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies on July 31 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Yankees enter this matchup with a record of 65-42, currently holding the top spot in the AL East. They have shown strong performance on the road with a record of 27-22. The Yankees are coming off a mixed series against the Tampa Bay Rays, where they won two out of four games, including a decisive 14-4 victory in their last matchup. This showcases their offensive potential, especially with players like Aaron Judge leading the lineup.

The Philadelphia Phillies, on the other hand, hold a record of 64-45 and are third in the NL East. They have been particularly strong at home with a 37-22 record. The Phillies are looking to bounce back from a recent series against the Yankees, where they lost both games, including a close 7-6 game that went into extra innings. Their offense has been potent, leading the league in runs scored, which will be vital in this matchup against the Yankees' solid pitching staff.

This contest presents an intriguing battle between two playoff-contending teams. With both teams having potent offenses, it will be interesting to see who comes out on top in a crucial game that could impact postseason positioning.

Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type Odds
Over/Under 8.5
New York Yankees Spread +1.5 (-190)
Philadelphia Phillies Spread -1.5 (+165)
New York Yankees Moneyline +110
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -130

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Nestor Cortes (PHI) 4-9 4.13 1.21 124.1 124 116 26 19
Cristopher Sanchez (NYY) 7-6 3.05 1.26 115.0 115 91 30 3

Team Previews

New York Yankees

The Yankees boast one of the most formidable offenses in the league, ranking 6th in runs scored with 516. They have a solid team batting average of .256, which ranks 4th in the league. Their pitching staff is equally impressive, sitting at 3rd in ERA with a 3.53 average. Cristopher Sanchez has been a key player, with a respectable 3.05 ERA and a strong strikeout rate. However, the Yankees have struggled with injuries, notably with star pitcher Gerrit Cole resting as he recovers from an injury.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies are currently leading the league in runs scored (553) while maintaining a batting average of .251. Their pitching staff holds a strong 3.68 ERA, placing them 5th in the league. Nestor Cortes has had a rough season so far, with a 4.13 ERA and a 4-9 record, which could be a concern against the high-powered Yankees lineup. The Phillies have also been impacted by injuries, most notably with Taijuan Walker expected to miss time, which could put additional pressure on their rotation.

Team Injuries

New York Yankees

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Gerrit Cole SP Rest Expected to be out until at least Aug 4

Philadelphia Phillies

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Taijuan Walker SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 7

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Phillies.
  • The Phillies have struggled at home, going 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Yankees' last 5 games.
  • The Yankees are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games.
  • The Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games against AL opponents.

Recent Games

New York Yankees Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
vs Tampa Bay W 6-1 W
vs Tampa Bay L 9-1 L
vs Tampa Bay L 6-4 L
vs Tampa Bay W 9-1 W
vs Philadelphia W 14-4 W

Philadelphia Phillies Recent Games

Opponent Score W/L
@ Pittsburgh L 8-7 L
@ Pittsburgh L 4-1 L
@ Pittsburgh W 6-0 W
vs Cleveland L 3-1 L
vs Cleveland W 8-0 W

Team Rankings

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
New York Yankees 6th in Runs 3rd in ERA Tied 11th in Saves Tied 11th in Errors
Philadelphia Phillies 1st in Runs 5th in ERA Tied 11th in Saves 7th in Errors

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Yankees have a .256 batting average, ranking 4th in the league.
  • Philadelphia leads the league in runs scored with 553.
  • Sanchez has a 3.05 ERA, showcasing effective pitching for the Yankees.
  • Nestor Cortes has a 4.13 ERA, which could be a liability against a strong Yankees lineup.
  • The Yankees have hit the over in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The Phillies have lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with winning records.
  • The Yankees are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games.
  • The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Phillies.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Yankees' last 5 games.
  • The Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games against AL opponents.

Weather

Intermittent clouds, temperature: 85°F

Prediction

The New York Yankees have been performing strongly, particularly against teams like the Phillies. With Sanchez's impressive ERA of 3.05 and the Yankees' ability to score runs, they are likely to cover the spread of +1.5. Meanwhile, the Phillies, while potent offensively, have shown vulnerabilities in their pitching, particularly with Cortes. Given these dynamics, the pick leans towards the Yankees to cover the spread in this matchup.

Pick: New York Yankees +1.5

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