MLB Spread Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/26
- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:24:55 PM
MLB Spread Forecast: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/26
Photo Credit: nan
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Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 26 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The Diamondbacks have been showing a solid performance at home with a 26-24 record, while the Pirates have an even 26-26 record on the road. Both teams have had comparable seasons so far, with the Diamondbacks holding a slight edge in overall wins. This game features a pitching duel between Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks and Luis Ortiz for the Pirates.
The Diamondbacks come into this game with a 53-50 record and are currently ranked 12th in wins. Their hitting has been a strong point, ranked 7th in hits and 3rd in runs, led by Ketel Marte and Christian Walker. However, they have struggled with pitching, ranking 27th in ERA.
The Pirates, with a 52-50 record, have shown resilience this season. While their hitting hasn't been as strong, with a 24th ranking in hits, their pitching has been more effective, ranked 11th in ERA. Luis Ortiz has been a standout with a 2.57 ERA this season.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Spread - Arizona Diamondbacks | -1.5 (+118) |
| Spread - Pittsburgh Pirates | +1.5 (-142) |
| Moneyline - Arizona Diamondbacks | -130 |
| Moneyline - Pittsburgh Pirates | +110 |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 7-5 | 3.64 | 80 |
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 5-2 | 2.57 | 59 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
Hitting: The Diamondbacks are ranked 7th in hits and 3rd in runs, with key contributions from Ketel Marte, who leads the team with a .296 average, and Christian Walker, who has hit 23 home runs and driven in 70 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has struggled, with only 23 saves (ranked 21st) and an overall ERA of 4.50, which is 27th in the league.
Fielding: The Diamondbacks have committed 42 errors, ranking them 29th in fielding errors.
Starting Pitchers: Zac Gallen, their ace, has a 3.64 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 81.2 innings pitched. He will look to lead the team to victory in this matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting: The Pirates are ranked 24th in hits and 22nd in runs. Oneil Cruz leads the team with a .250 average, 15 home runs, and 51 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Pirates’ bullpen has performed better, with 26 saves (ranked 13th) and an overall ERA of 3.77, which is 11th in the league.
Fielding: The Pirates have committed 50 errors, ranking them 20th in fielding errors.
Starting Pitchers: Luis Ortiz has been effective with a 2.57 ERA and 59 strikeouts in 73.2 innings pitched.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | LF | Bereavement List | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.
- Diamondbacks have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games.
- Pirates have hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | 1-2 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 4-10 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 6-2 | W |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 0-6 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 2-1 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 1-2 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Diamondbacks | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7th | 24th |
| Starting Pitching | 27th | 11th |
| Relief Pitching | 21st | 13th |
| Fielding | 29th | 20th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.
- Pirates are 5-5 in their last 10 games on the road.
- Diamondbacks have a better hitting ranking (7th) compared to the Pirates (24th).
- Pirates have a better ERA (11th) compared to the Diamondbacks (27th).
- Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen has a higher strikeout count (80) compared to Pirates' Luis Ortiz (59).
- Pirates' Luis Ortiz has a lower ERA (2.57) compared to Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen (3.64).
- Diamondbacks have committed fewer errors (42) than the Pirates (50).
- Diamondbacks have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games.
- Pirates have hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks have scored more runs (509) compared to the Pirates (422).
Weather
Intermittent clouds with a high temperature of 106°F.
Prediction
The Diamondbacks have a slight edge in this matchup given their superior hitting and the home-field advantage. While the Pirates have a stronger pitching staff, the Diamondbacks’ offense should be able to generate enough runs to cover the spread.
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks to cover -1.5
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