MLB Spread Expert Picks: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/21

 

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Game Summary

The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 21 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. This matchup features two teams with contrasting records and performances this season. The Phillies have a 49-48 record, showcasing a balanced performance both at home and on the road. Their probable starting pitcher, Marco Gonzales, has been reliable on the mound with a 2.45 ERA and a 1-0 record.

On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Pirates have been one of the top teams this season with a 62-35 record. The Pirates have shown dominance at home with a 37-16 record at PNC Park. Tyler Phillips will be taking the mound for the Pirates, carrying a 4.50 ERA and a 1-0 record.

Both teams have key players who have been significant contributors throughout the season. The Phillies rely on Bryan Reynolds, who leads the team with a .288 batting average, 18 home runs, and 61 RBIs. The Pirates' Bryce Harper has been a standout, boasting a .300 batting average, 21 home runs, and 70 RBIs.

With the Phillies looking to close the gap in their division and the Pirates aiming to maintain their top spot, this matchup promises to be an exciting encounter.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Market	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Philadelphia Phillies Spread	-1.5 (+105)
Pittsburgh Pirates Spread	+1.5 (-126)
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline	-115
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline	-105

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Marco Gonzales (PHI)	1-0	2.45	15
Tyler Phillips (PIT)	1-0	4.50	12

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Team Previews

Philadelphia Phillies

Hitting: The Phillies have a .232 team batting average, ranking 26th in the league. Bryan Reynolds has been a key contributor with a .288 batting average, 18 home runs, and 61 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has recorded 25 saves, ranking 14th in the league. They have a combined ERA of 3.89, which is 13th best in MLB.

Fielding: The team has committed 48 errors, placing them 19th in fielding rankings.

Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales leads the rotation with a 2.45 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 22 innings pitched.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Hitting: The Pirates have a .260 team batting average, ranking 3rd in the league. Bryce Harper leads the team with a .300 batting average, 21 home runs, and 70 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been solid with 26 saves, ranking 10th in the league, and a team ERA of 3.46, which is 3rd best in MLB.

Fielding: The team has committed 56 errors, ranking 10th in fielding rankings.

Starting Pitchers: Tyler Phillips has a 4.50 ERA with 12 strikeouts in 10 innings pitched this season.

Team Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Michael Rucker	RP	Hand	Expected to be out until at least Jul 21

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Ryan Borucki	RP	Wrist	Expected to be out until at least Jul 20

Betting Trends

• The Phillies are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
• The Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• The Phillies have a better road record (26-24) compared to their home record (23-24).
• The Pirates have a stellar home record (37-16) this season.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the Phillies' last 5 games on the road.
• The total has gone over in 5 of the Pirates' last 7 games.

Recent Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Pittsburgh	7-8	L
vs Miami	4-2	W
vs Miami	1-3	L
@ Atlanta	5-4	W
@ Atlanta	3-6	L

Pittsburgh Pirates
Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Philadelphia	8-7	W
@ St. Louis	5-2	W
@ St. Louis	2-4	L
vs Milwaukee	6-1	W
vs Milwaukee	3-2	W

Team Rankings

Category	Philadelphia Phillies	Pittsburgh Pirates
Hitting	23rd	3rd
Starting Pitching	13th	3rd
Relief Pitching	14th	10th
Fielding	19th	10th

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Significant Betting Stats

• Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 road games.
• Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
• Phillies' games have gone under the total in 60% of their road games this season.
• Pirates' games have gone over the total in 70% of their home games this season.
• Phillies are 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games.
• Pirates are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games.
• Phillies have a better ERA on the road (3.75) compared to at home (4.05).
• Pirates have a better batting average at home (.275) compared to on the road (.245).
• Phillies have scored more runs on the road (220) compared to at home (190).
• Pirates have allowed fewer runs at home (150) compared to on the road (200).

Weather

The weather forecast for the game at PNC Park is partly sunny with a temperature of 84°F. This pleasant weather is ideal for a competitive baseball game.

Check detailed weather updates here.

Prediction

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