MLB Spread Expert Advice: Reds vs Rockies 7/10

MLB Spread Expert Advice: Reds vs Rockies 7/10

MLB Spread Expert Advice: Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies 7/10

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Colorado Rockies at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, on July 10. The Reds come into this game with a 43-48 record, looking to climb back to .500 and stay competitive in the National League Central. Meanwhile, the Rockies are struggling with a 32-59 record, sitting near the bottom of the National League West. This matchup features a team looking to turn the corner and another trying to find some consistency.

Frankie Montas is expected to take the mound for the Reds. Montas has compiled a 4-6 record with a 4.19 ERA and 62 strikeouts over 77.1 innings pitched. He has been a solid arm for the Reds, but consistency has been an issue. On the other side, Kyle Freeland will start for the Rockies. Freeland has a tough season with an 0-3 record and a 6.62 ERA. With 35.1 innings pitched, he has allowed 47 hits and struck out 21.

The Reds have struggled offensively, ranking 27th in team batting average at .226, but they have managed to score 388 runs, placing them 16th. Their pitching staff has been a bit better, with a team ERA of 3.80, ranking 11th. The Rockies, on the other hand, have been better offensively with a .243 team average and 750 hits (13th in MLB), but their pitching has been abysmal, with a team ERA of 5.48, the worst in the league.

Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over/Under 10.5
Spread - Cincinnati Reds -1.5
Spread - Colorado Rockies +1.5
Moneyline - Cincinnati Reds -134
Moneyline - Colorado Rockies +112

Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Frankie Montas (CIN) 4-6 4.19 1.32 77.1 69 62 33 10
Kyle Freeland (COL) 0-3 6.62 1.67 35.1 47 21 12 4

Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

Hitting: The Reds' offense has been a mixed bag this season. Jonathan India leads the team with a .270 average, while Elly De La Cruz, who has 15 home runs, is a power threat. However, their overall average of .226 ranks them 27th in the league.

Relief Pitching: The Reds’ bullpen has been relatively solid, contributing to their 3.80 ERA, which is 11th best in the league. They have 21 saves, ranking them tied for 17th.

Fielding: Defensively, the Reds have committed 54 errors, ranking them tied for 6th, which has been an area of concern.

Starting Pitchers: Frankie Montas has been a reliable starter but needs to reduce his walk rate and home runs allowed to be more effective.

Colorado Rockies

Hitting: The Rockies have been decent offensively, with a team average of .243 ranking them 17th. Brendan Rodgers leads with a .282 average, and Ryan McMahon has provided power with 14 home runs.

Relief Pitching: The Rockies' bullpen has struggled significantly, with only 18 saves and a combined ERA of 5.48, the worst in the league.

Fielding: The Rockies have committed 44 errors, ranking them tied for 22nd.

Starting Pitchers: Kyle Freeland has had a rough season, struggling to keep runners off base and limiting damage.

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Jonathan India 2B Knee Probable for Jul 10

Colorado Rockies

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Kris Bryant 1B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
German Marquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 14
Lucas Gilbreath RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30

Betting Trends

  • The Reds are 43-48 overall this season.
  • The Rockies are 32-59 overall this season.
  • The Reds have a 21-26 record at home.
  • The Rockies have a 12-32 record on the road.
  • The Reds have a 51-40 record against the spread.
  • The Rockies have a 42-49 record against the spread.
  • The Reds are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • The Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • The Reds have won the last 3 matchups against the Rockies.
  • The Rockies have allowed 5.48 runs per game this season.

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent Score W/L
vs Detroit 5-1 L
vs Detroit 5-3 L
vs Detroit 5-4 L
@ New York 8-4 W
@ New York 3-2 W

Colorado Rockies

Opponent Score W/L
vs Kansas City 10-1 L
vs Kansas City 3-1 W
vs Kansas City 4-2 W
vs Milwaukee 4-3 W
vs Milwaukee 3-0 L

Team Rankings

Category Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies
Hitting 27th 17th
Starting Pitching 11th 30th
Relief Pitching 17th 25th
Fielding 6th 22nd

Significant Betting Stats

  • The Reds have covered the spread in 51 out of 91 games this season.
  • The Rockies have covered the spread in 42 out of 91 games this season.
  • Reds' home games have gone under the total in 49 games.
  • The Rockies' road games have gone under the total in 44 games.
  • The Reds are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
  • The Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • The Reds have won 3 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Rockies have lost 7 of their last 10 road games.
  • The Reds have a 43-48 record against the moneyline.
  • The Rockies have a 32-59 record against the moneyline.

Weather

Partly sunny with a temperature of 87°F. More details

Prediction

Pick: Cincinnati Reds to cover -1.5

The Cincinnati Reds are the favorites in this matchup, and given the struggles of the Colorado Rockies on the road and their poor pitching performance, the Reds should have the upper hand. Frankie Montas has been more reliable than Kyle Freeland, who has struggled significantly this season. The Reds’ bullpen is also better positioned to hold any lead they might get. Considering the Reds' recent form and the Rockies' difficulties away from home, the Reds are likely to cover the spread.

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