MLB Spread Expert Advice: Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals

Photo Credit: © Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Washington Nationals at American Family Field on July 13. This matchup features two teams at different ends of the standings spectrum. The Brewers, with a record of 54-40, are firmly in the playoff race, holding a strong position in the Central Division. Their home record of 28-15 shows their dominance at American Family Field. On the other hand, the Nationals have struggled this season, with a 42-52 record, and they are looking to build some momentum in the latter half of the season. The Nationals' road record of 22-28 indicates their challenges away from home.

Milwaukee comes into this game with some solid performances recently, led by key players like Christian Yelich, who boasts a batting average of .329, and Willy Adames, who leads the team with 14 home runs and 62 RBIs. The Brewers' pitching staff, with an ERA of 3.78, ranks 8th in the league, indicating their ability to limit opponents' scoring. The Nationals, meanwhile, have been inconsistent both at the plate and on the mound. Their top hitter, Luis Garcia Jr., has a .277 average, while CJ Abrams leads with 14 home runs and 46 RBIs. The Nationals' pitching staff has an ERA of 4.11, ranking 18th in the league.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Market	Odds
Over/Under	9.5
Milwaukee Brewers Spread	-1.5 (+165)
Washington Nationals Spread	+1.5 (-190)
Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline	-200
Washington Nationals Moneyline	+170

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Dallas Keuchel (MIL)	0-0	4.61	9
Mitchell Parker (WAS)	5-5	3.44	74

 

Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

Hitting: The Brewers' offense has been solid this season, ranking 4th in hits with 816 and 7th in runs with 450. Christian Yelich leads the team with a .329 batting average, while Willy Adames has been the power source with 14 home runs and 62 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Brewers' bullpen has been a strength, ranking 3rd in saves with 32. Their overall team ERA stands at 3.78, good for 8th in the league.

Fielding: With 49 errors on the season, the Brewers' defense ranks 15th in the league, indicating solid but not exceptional fielding.

Starting Pitchers: The Brewers' starting rotation has been reliable, and they will rely on Dallas Keuchel, who has a 4.61 ERA, to provide a quality start against the Nationals.

 

Washington Nationals

Hitting: The Nationals have struggled offensively, ranking 19th in hits with 737 and 20th in runs with 388. Luis Garcia Jr. leads the team with a .277 batting average, while CJ Abrams has contributed 14 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Relief Pitching: The Nationals' bullpen has been middle-of-the-pack, with 24 saves ranking 13th. Their team ERA of 4.11 ranks 18th in the league.

Fielding: The Nationals have committed 52 errors, ranking 12th in the league, showing some inconsistency in the field.

Starting Pitchers: Mitchell Parker has been a bright spot in the rotation with a 3.44 ERA and a 5-5 record. He will need to be at his best to contain the Brewers' offense.

 

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Gary Sanchez	DH	Calf	Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
Joe Ross	SP	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
J.B. Bukauskas	RP	Triceps	Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
DL Hall	SP	Knee	Expected to be out until at least Jul 25

 

Washington Nationals

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Trevor Williams	SP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Jul 27

 

Betting Trends

• Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• Nationals are 4-6 in their last 10 road games.
• Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Nationals.
• Nationals have hit the over in 5 of their last 7 games.
• Brewers have hit the under in 6 of their last 9 games.

 

Recent Games

Team	Opponent	Score	W/L
Brewers	Pittsburgh	L 1-0	L
Brewers	Pittsburgh	W 9-0	W
Brewers	Pittsburgh	L 12-2	L
Brewers	Los Angeles	W 9-2	W
Brewers	Los Angeles	L 5-3	L
Nationals	New York	L 7-0	L
Nationals	New York	L 6-2	L
Nationals	New York	L 7-5	L
Nationals	St. Louis	W 14-6	W
Nationals	St. Louis	L 7-6	L

 

Team Rankings

Team	Hitting	Starting Pitching	Relief Pitching	Fielding
Brewers	4th	8th	3rd	15th
Nationals	19th	18th	13th	12th

 

Significant Betting Stats

• Brewers have a 54-40 record overall.
• Nationals have a 42-52 record overall.
• Brewers are 28-15 at home.
• Nationals are 22-28 on the road.
• Brewers' bullpen ranks 3rd in saves with 32.
• Nationals' bullpen ranks 13th in saves with 24.
• Brewers' team ERA is 3.78, 8th in the league.
• Nationals' team ERA is 4.11, 18th in the league.
• Brewers have hit the under in 6 of their last 9 games.
• Nationals have hit the over in 5 of their last 7 games.

 

Weather

The weather forecast for the game day is intermittent clouds with a temperature of 85°F. The game will be played indoors at American Family Field, so weather conditions should not significantly impact the game.

 

Prediction

Considering the Brewers' strong home record and overall performance this season, they are the favorites to win this matchup. The Nationals have struggled on the road and have been inconsistent throughout the season. With Dallas Keuchel on the mound for the Brewers, they have a solid chance to limit the Nationals' offense. Mitchell Parker has been decent for the Nationals, but the Brewers' potent lineup should be able to get the better of him. Therefore, the pick is for the Milwaukee Brewers to cover the -1.5 spread.