MLB Spread Betting Forecast: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

- Wolfeofbetting
- Jul 28, 2024, 12:07:57 AM
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MLB Spread Betting Forecast: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will take on the Milwaukee Brewers on July 28 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Marlins currently hold a strong record of 59-45, placing them 6th overall in the National League. They have shown resilience this season, especially on the road with a 30-26 record. The Marlins have been notable for their hitting, ranking 7th in the league with 890 hits and 8th in runs scored with 489. Their pitching has also been commendable, boasting an ERA of 3.72, good for 6th in MLB.
On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers are struggling at 39-66, sitting at the bottom of the league. Their offensive struggles are evident, ranking 29th in runs scored with just 374 runs this season. The Brewers have had a tough time at home as well, with a 22-34 record. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.48, which ranks 25th, indicating that they have given up a significant number of runs this season. The matchup features Tobias Myers (Marlins), who has a solid 3.14 ERA and 6 wins, against Kyle Tyler (Brewers), who is still looking for his first win with a 3.92 ERA. This game will be crucial for both teams, especially for the Brewers, who are looking to turn their season around.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | Not available |
| Miami Marlins Spread | +1.5 (-118) |
| Milwaukee Brewers Spread | -1.5 (-102) |
| Miami Marlins Moneyline | Not available |
| Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline | Not available |
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Tyler (MIL) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| T. Myers (MIA) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 77.1 | 67 | 68 | 22 | 11 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins boast a potent offense this season, with a batting average of .254, ranking them 6th in the league. They have been efficient at accumulating runs, ranking 8th overall with 489. The Marlins have shown balance in their lineup, with standout performances from players like William Contreras, who is leading the team with a batting average of .288, and Rhys Hoskins, who has hit 17 home runs this season. Their pitching staff is also performing well, highlighted by Tobias Myers, who has a respectable ERA of 3.14 and a solid K/BB ratio of 3.09.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers find themselves in a challenging position this season with a record of 39-66. Their struggles are evident in their offensive stats, ranking 29th in runs scored with only 374. The team has a batting average of .236, and they have difficulty generating consistent offense. Bryan De La Cruz stands out for the Brewers with 18 home runs and 50 RBIs, but the overall performance has been inconsistent. On the pitching side, Kyle Tyler has yet to secure a win this season and has an ERA of 3.92, indicating that the Brewers will need a strong performance from him to compete against the Marlins.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Ear | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Betting Trends
- The Miami Marlins are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
- The Marlins are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games.
- The Brewers are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Marlins' last 9 games.
Recent Games
Miami Marlins Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| vs New York | L 0-1 | L |
| vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W 8-4 | W |
| @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | W |
| @ Chicago | L 3-1 | L |
| @ Chicago | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | W 3-2 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 6th | 6th | 3rd | 14th |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 20th | 25th | 27th | 1st |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Marlins are 37-28 against right-handed pitching this season.
- The Brewers are 20-30 against left-handed pitching.
- The Marlins have a +20 run differential, while the Brewers are -161.
- The Marlins are 10-5 in their last 15 games against the Brewers.
- The Brewers have lost 5 of their last 6 games at home.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the Marlins' last 9 games.
- The Marlins are 22-13 against the spread in their last 35 games.
- The Brewers are 16-19 against the spread in their last 35 games.
- The Marlins are 30-26 on the road this season.
- The Brewers are 22-34 at home this season.
Weather
Weather for the game is expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 82°F.
Prediction
Based on the current form and statistics, the Miami Marlins are likely to cover the spread against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Marlins have a significantly better record, strong hitting, and a more reliable starting pitcher in Tobias Myers. The Brewers, on the other hand, are struggling both offensively and defensively. The Marlins' ability to generate runs and the Brewers' inability to keep them off the board favor Miami in this matchup.
Pick: Miami Marlins to cover +1.5Get more predictions and expert picks!
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