MLB Spread Bet Advice: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins 7/13

Photo Credit: © Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

 

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Miami Marlins at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio, on July 13. This matchup features two teams with contrasting records and performances this season. The Reds, currently holding a 45-49 record, are striving to stay competitive in the Central Division. The Marlins, on the other hand, have struggled significantly, standing at 32-61 and sitting near the bottom of the league standings.

The Reds have shown decent form at home, maintaining a 23-27 record, while the Marlins have faced immense challenges on the road, with a 14-30 record away from home. Cincinnati's pitching staff is anchored by Andrew Abbott, who boasts a 9-6 record with a 3.06 ERA. For Miami, Edward Cabrera will take the mound, sporting a less impressive 1-2 record and a 6.84 ERA.

Offensively, the Reds have been led by Jonathan India, who carries a batting average of .276, and Elly De La Cruz, who has hit 15 home runs this season. The Marlins have relied on Jazz Chisholm Jr., with a .255 average, and Bryan De La Cruz, who leads the team with 16 home runs and 44 RBIs.

Given the current standings and statistics, the Reds appear to have the upper hand in this matchup. However, both teams have shown vulnerabilities that could impact the outcome of the game. This analysis will delve deeper into the teams' performances, injuries, and betting trends to provide a comprehensive spread bet advice for this game.

 

Odds and Betting Lines

Bet Type	Odds
Over/Under	8.5
Cincinnati Reds Spread	-1.5
Miami Marlins Spread	+1.5
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline	-128
Miami Marlins Moneyline	+148

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts	WHIP	Innings Pitched	Hits Allowed	Walks	Home Runs
Andrew Abbott (CIN)	9-6	3.06	82	1.17	103.0	82	38	16
Edward Cabrera (MIA)	1-2	6.84	35	1.56	25.0	24	15	4

 

Team Previews

Cincinnati Reds

Hitting: The Reds have a middling offense that ranks tied for 27th in hits (707) and 15th in runs scored (413). Jonathan India leads the team with a .276 batting average, while Elly De La Cruz has provided power with 15 home runs. The team's overall batting average stands at .230, placing them 26th in the league.

Relief Pitching: The Reds' bullpen has been relatively solid, with 21 saves, placing them tied for 20th. Their team ERA of 3.81 ranks 12th, which indicates a reasonably effective pitching staff overall.

Fielding: Defensively, the Reds have committed 57 errors, the 5th most in the league. This could be a factor in close games and may impact their ability to maintain leads.

Starting Pitchers: Andrew Abbott has been a standout performer, with a 3.06 ERA and 82 strikeouts over 103 innings. His consistent performance will be crucial for the Reds in this matchup.

Miami Marlins

Hitting: The Marlins' offense has struggled mightily, ranking 23rd in hits (725) and 29th in runs scored (323). Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the team with a .255 average, and Bryan De La Cruz tops the home run chart with 16 dingers. Their team batting average of .231 ranks 25th in the league.

Relief Pitching: Miami's bullpen has been less effective, with just 15 saves, the lowest in the league. Their team ERA of 4.54 ranks 27th, reflecting their struggles in keeping opposing teams off the scoreboard.

Fielding: Defensively, the Marlins have committed 64 errors, the 2nd most in the league. This high error count could be a significant disadvantage against a team like the Reds.

Starting Pitchers: Edward Cabrera has had a tough season, with a 6.84 ERA and only 25 innings pitched. His high ERA and WHIP indicate that he has struggled to control games and limit opposing offenses.

 

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Graham Ashcraft	SP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Miami Marlins

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Otto Lopez	2B	Back	Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

 

Betting Trends

• The Reds are 53-41 against the spread this season.
• The Marlins are 41-52 against the spread this season.
• Cincinnati has covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games.
• Miami has failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The Reds have a 23-27 home record this season.
• The Marlins have a 14-30 road record this season.
• Cincinnati's last five games have gone under the total 3 times.
• Miami's last five games have gone over the total 3 times.
• The Reds are 12th in the league in team ERA.
• The Marlins are 27th in the league in team ERA.

 

Recent Games

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Colorado	W 8-1	W
vs Colorado	L 6-5	L
vs Colorado	W 12-6	W
vs Colorado	W 6-0	W
vs Detroit	L 5-1	L

Miami Marlins

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Houston	L 6-3	L
@ Houston	L 9-1	L
@ Houston	L 4-3	L
vs Chicago	W 7-4	W
vs Chicago	W 4-3	W

 

Team Rankings

Category	Cincinnati Reds	Miami Marlins
Hitting	27th	23rd
Starting Pitching	15th	27th
Relief Pitching	20th	30th
Fielding	5th	2nd

 

Significant Betting Stats

• The Reds are 53-41 against the spread this season.
• The Marlins are 41-52 against the spread this season.
• Cincinnati has covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games.
• Miami has failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The Reds have a 23-27 home record this season.
• The Marlins have a 14-30 road record this season.
• Cincinnati's last five games have gone under the total 3 times.
• Miami's last five games have gone over the total 3 times.
• The Reds are 12th in the league in team ERA.
• The Marlins are 27th in the league in team ERA.

 

Weather

Mostly sunny, temperature around 91°F. More details.

 

Prediction