MLB Spread Best Bets: Rays vs Blue Jays 7/24

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 23, 2024, 6:20:22 PM
Photo Credit: © Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports
MLB Spread Best Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays 7/24
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Game Summary
The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays are set to clash on July 24 at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. The Rays come into this game with a record of 45-54, while the Blue Jays sport an even 50-50 record. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, and this matchup is crucial for both as they aim to improve their standings in the competitive American League East.
The Rays have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road where they hold a 23-28 record. Their hitting has been below average, ranking 27th in hits and 25th in runs. On the mound, their probable starting pitcher, Yariel Rodriguez, has posted a 1-3 record with a 3.78 ERA over 33.1 innings pitched. The Rays will need Rodriguez to be at his best to counter the Blue Jays' offense.
Toronto, on the other hand, has been slightly better at home with a 27-27 record. They too have faced offensive struggles, ranking 24th in hits and 27th in runs. Zach Eflin, Toronto's probable starting pitcher, holds a 5-7 record with a 4.14 ERA over 104.1 innings pitched. Eflin's performance will be crucial in limiting the Rays' scoring opportunities.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 9.5 |
| Spread - Tampa Bay Rays | -1.5 (+128) |
| Spread - Toronto Blue Jays | +1.5 (-154) |
| Moneyline - Tampa Bay Rays | -110 |
| Moneyline - Toronto Blue Jays | -110 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (TOR) | 5-7 | 4.14 | 1.17 | 104.1 | 109 | 83 | 13 | 13 |
| Yariel Rodriguez (TB) | 1-3 | 3.78 | 1.38 | 33.1 | 28 | 36 | 18 | 3 |
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Team Previews
Tampa Bay Rays
Hitting: The Rays have struggled offensively this season, ranking 27th in hits (772) and 25th in runs (402). Their team batting average stands at .237, placing them 20th in the league. The Rays need key players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who leads the team with a .292 average, 16 home runs, and 59 RBIs, to step up in this crucial game.
Relief Pitching: Tampa Bay's bullpen has been a mixed bag. The team ranks tied for 19th in saves with 24, and their overall ERA is 4.47, ranking 25th. Consistency will be key for their relievers to shut down the Blue Jays' hitters.
Fielding: Defensively, the Rays have committed 57 errors, ranking tied for 10th in the league. Sound fielding will be essential to support their pitching staff.
Starting Pitchers: Yariel Rodriguez will start for the Rays. He has a 1-3 record with a 3.78 ERA, 36 strikeouts, and 18 walks over 33.1 innings pitched. Rodriguez needs to control his walks and keep hitters off balance to give his team a chance to win.
Toronto Blue Jays
Hitting: The Blue Jays have also faced offensive struggles, ranking 24th in hits (782) and 27th in runs (393). Their team batting average is .235, placing them 22nd in the league. Isaac Paredes leads the team with a .252 average, 16 home runs, and 51 RBIs. The Blue Jays will need contributions from their entire lineup to generate runs.
Relief Pitching: Toronto's bullpen has been more reliable, ranking 4th in saves with 32. Their overall ERA is 4.23, ranking 22nd. The Blue Jays' relievers must continue their strong performances to support their starting pitchers.
Fielding: Defensively, the Blue Jays have committed 51 errors, ranking tied for 17th in the league. Strong defensive play will be crucial to prevent extra opportunities for the Rays.
Starting Pitchers: Zach Eflin will start for the Blue Jays. He has a 5-7 record with a 4.14 ERA, 83 strikeouts, and 13 walks over 104.1 innings pitched. Eflin will need to limit walks and keep the ball in the park to give his team a chance to win.
Team Injuries
Tampa Bay Rays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lovelady | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2B | Knee | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Bo Bichette | SS | Calf | Expected to be out until at least Aug 10 |
| Nate Pearson | RP | Illness | Probable for Jul 23 |
Betting Trends
- Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games against a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ New York | L 6-1 | L |
| @ New York | W 9-1 | W |
| @ New York | W 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | L 9-1 | L |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Detroit | L 5-4 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 7-3 | L |
| vs Detroit | W 5-4 | W |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 27th | 24th |
| Starting Pitching | 25th | 22nd |
| Relief Pitching | Tied-19th | 4th |
| Fielding | Tied-10th | Tied-17th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games against a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Rays' last 5 road games.
- The total has gone under in 5 of the Blue Jays' last 7 home games.
- Blue Jays are 1-4 in Eflin's last 5 starts.
- Rays are 6-2 in Rodriguez's last 8 starts.
- The total has gone under in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
Weather
The game will be played indoors at the Rogers Centre, so weather conditions will not be a factor.
Prediction
The Rays and Blue Jays have both faced offensive struggles this season, but the Rays have shown a slight edge in recent matchups. Yariel Rodriguez has been more consistent on the mound compared to Zach Eflin, which could be a deciding factor in this game. Given the Blue Jays' poor home record against right-handed starters and the Rays' recent strong road performance, the Rays are likely to cover the spread.
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays to cover -1.5


