MLB Spread Best Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/26

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:04:06 PM
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MLB Spread Best Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Kansas City Royals on July 26 at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. This interleague match-up features two teams with contrasting seasons. The Cubs are currently holding a record of 56-47, placing them in the upper echelon of their division. The Royals, on the other hand, are struggling with a 49-55 record. This game will be crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their standing in their respective divisions.
The Cubs are coming off a recent series against the Arizona Diamondbacks where they displayed moments of brilliance but also vulnerabilities. The Royals have shown resilience in their recent series against the Chicago White Sox, winning three out of the four games. This game promises to be a battle of wits and skills as both teams have something to prove.
The pitching match-up for this game features Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs and Brady Singer for the Royals. Hendricks has struggled this season with a 2-8 record and an ERA of 6.69. Singer, on the other hand, has been solid with a 6-6 record and an ERA of 3.00. The Cubs' offense, led by Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, will look to capitalize on Hendricks' struggles, while the Royals' batting lineup will aim to challenge Singer.
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Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | O/U 9.5 |
| Chicago Cubs Spread | +1.5 (-166) |
| Kansas City Royals Spread | -1.5 (+138) |
| Chicago Cubs Moneyline | +135 |
| Kansas City Royals Moneyline | -155 |
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 2-8 | 6.69 | 1.49 | 75.1 | 88 | 52 | 24 | 15 |
| Brady Singer (KC) | 6-6 | 3.00 | 1.22 | 111.0 | 101 | 106 | 34 | 13 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
Hitting: The Cubs' offense has been solid, with Bobby Witt Jr. leading the team with a batting average of .344. Salvador Perez has contributed 18 home runs, and Witt Jr. has also driven in 70 runs. The team ranks 11th in runs scored with 477 and has a collective batting average of .250, ranking them 11th in the league.
Relief Pitching: The Cubs' bullpen has been dependable, with 24 saves ranking them 19th in the league. The team's ERA stands at 3.76, placing them 10th in the league. The bullpen will play a crucial role in maintaining leads and closing out games.
Fielding: The Cubs have committed 49 errors this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Their fielding percentage has been a concern and will need to improve to support their pitching staff effectively.
Starting Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks has struggled this season with a 2-8 record and an ERA of 6.69. His performance will be pivotal in determining the Cubs' chances in this game.
Kansas City Royals
Hitting: The Royals' offense has been inconsistent, with Michael Busch leading the team with a batting average of .265. Christopher Morel has hit 18 home runs, and Ian Happ has driven in 60 runs. The team ranks 20th in runs scored with 424 and has a collective batting average of .233, ranking them 24th in the league.
Relief Pitching: The Royals' bullpen has been slightly better than the Cubs', with 23 saves ranking them 21st in the league. The team's ERA stands at 3.70, placing them 6th in the league. The bullpen will be crucial in maintaining any leads they acquire.
Fielding: The Royals have committed 53 errors this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Their fielding has been more reliable than the Cubs', which could be a deciding factor in this game.
Starting Pitchers: Brady Singer has been a bright spot for the Royals with a 6-6 record and an ERA of 3.00. His performance will be key in keeping the Cubs' offense in check.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Melendez | LF | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Betting Trends
- The Cubs are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Royals are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The Cubs are 21-27 on the road this season.
- The Royals are 27-25 at home this season.
- The Cubs have an Over/Under record of 44-58-2.
- The Royals have an Over/Under record of 42-58-3.
- The Cubs are 49-55 against the spread this season.
- The Royals are 56-47 against the spread this season.
- The Cubs have a moneyline record of 49-55.
- The Royals have a moneyline record of 56-47.
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W2-1 F/10 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | L1-0 | L |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W7-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W6-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W4-1 | W |
| vs Arizona | W10-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | L6-2 | L |
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Team Rankings
| Category | Chicago Cubs | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 11th | 20th |
| Starting Pitching | 10th | 6th |
| Relief Pitching | 19th | 21st |
| Fielding | 22nd | 16th |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Cubs have a road record of 21-27.
- The Royals have a home record of 27-25.
- Kyle Hendricks has a 2-8 record with a 6.69 ERA.
- Brady Singer has a 6-6 record with a 3.00 ERA.
- The Cubs' bullpen has a 3.76 ERA, ranking 10th in the league.
- The Royals' bullpen has a 3.70 ERA, ranking 6th in the league.
- Chicago Cubs have committed 49 errors, ranking 22nd in the league.
- The Royals have committed 53 errors, ranking 16th in the league.
- Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Cubs with a .344 batting average.
- Michael Busch leads the Royals with a .265 batting average.
Weather
Mostly sunny with a temperature of 84°F.
Prediction
Given the current form and statistics, the Kansas City Royals appear to have the edge in this matchup. Brady Singer's consistent pitching and the Royals' slightly better bullpen and fielding metrics give them an advantage. The Cubs' struggles on the road and Kyle Hendricks' poor performance this season further tilt the scales in favor of the Royals.
Pick: Kansas City Royals to cover -1.5
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