MLB Player Props Wagers: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/30

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 30, 2024, 4:45:18 AM
MLB Player Props Wagers: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 7/30
Photo Credit: © Reggie Hildred-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Toronto Blue Jays (50-57) will face off against the Baltimore Orioles (63-44) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 30, 2024, at 6:35 p.m. EDT. The Blue Jays are currently fifth in the AL East, while the Orioles are leading the division. This matchup marks the ninth encounter between these two teams this season, with the series tied at 4-4.
In their recent performances, the Blue Jays have shown some resilience, currently riding a 6-4 record over their last ten games. Key players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have been instrumental, highlighted by his impressive four-hit game against the Orioles on Monday. Guerrero boasts a .311 batting average, 25 doubles, and 21 home runs this season. On the other hand, the Orioles have struggled slightly with a 4-6 record in their last ten games, but they remain a formidable opponent at home with a 32-25 record overall.
The pitching matchup features Chris Bassitt (TOR) vs. Corbin Burnes (BAL). Bassitt has a record of 8-9 with a 3.78 ERA, while Burnes has been dominant with a 10-4 record and a stellar 2.45 ERA. The game promises to be competitive, with both teams needing the win to solidify their playoff aspirations.
Player Prop Odds
- Spencer Horwitz Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Spencer Horwitz Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
- Spencer Horwitz RBIs: Over 0.5 (+230)
- Spencer Horwitz Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Spencer Horwitz Singles: Over 0.5 (-150)
- Spencer Horwitz Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)
Player Analysis
Spencer Horwitz has been a rising star for the Blue Jays this season. He has demonstrated great plate discipline and a keen eye for pitches, which has helped him maintain a solid batting average. His ability to hit for both power and average makes him a versatile threat in the lineup. With a current focus on improving his performance against left-handed pitchers, Horwitz's recent form suggests he can contribute significantly in this matchup against Burnes.
Opposing Analysis
The Baltimore Orioles have faced a mixed bag of pitching this season, but Corbin Burnes' performance stands out. The Orioles' hitters have struggled against high-strikeout pitchers, and Burnes is no exception, boasting 121 strikeouts this season. However, the Orioles maintain a collective batting average of .254, ranking third in the AL, and they will look to capitalize on any mistakes Bassitt makes. If Horwitz can get on base early, it could lead to scoring opportunities for the Blue Jays.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 8-9 | 3.78 | 1.41 | 112 |
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 10-4 | 2.45 | 1.04 | 121 |
Team Previews
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays have a batting average of .252 and have scored 522 runs this season. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79, ranking them in the upper echelon of the league. However, their inconsistency on the road has been a concern, with a 24-29 record away from home. The Blue Jays will need solid performances from players like Guerrero and Horwitz to break through against a strong Orioles pitching staff.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles, while leading the AL East, have had some struggles, particularly with their pitching, which has an ERA of 4.51. Their hitting has been inconsistent, but with players like Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander leading the charge, they remain a dangerous team. The Orioles have shown resilience at home, and their depth in batting can pose challenges for the Blue Jays’ pitching staff.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| J. Romano | RP | Expected to be out until at least Sep 6 |
| J. McCann | C | Probable for Jul 30 |
Recent Games
Toronto Blue Jays
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Baltimore | L 11-5 | L |
| @ Baltimore | W 8-4 | W |
| vs Texas | W 7-3 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 13-0 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Toronto | W 11-5 | W |
| vs San Diego | W 8-6 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 9-4 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Prediction
Given Spencer Horwitz's recent form and the favorable odds for him to hit at least one single, I recommend betting on him to record over 0.5 singles at -150. The Orioles' pitcher, Corbin Burnes, while being effective, has shown that he can be hit. Horwitz has demonstrated the ability to get on base consistently, and with the Blue Jays looking to capitalize on their offensive potential, this prop bet appears to be a solid choice.
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