Kingpin analysis
MLB Player Props Wagers: Reds vs Nationals 7/21

MLB Player Props Wagers: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals
Photo Credit: © Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Cincinnati Reds, currently holding a record of 47-52 and positioned fourth in the NL Central, are set to face off against the Washington Nationals, who have a record of 46-53 and are fourth in the NL East. This game will take place on Sunday, July 21, 2024, at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C., with the first pitch scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The Reds come into this matchup on a three-game losing streak, making it a crucial game for them to regain momentum.
On the other hand, the Washington Nationals have been slightly better in their recent outings, holding a home record of 22-24. The Nationals have demonstrated a strong performance in games where they have managed to avoid giving up home runs, boasting a 26-12 record in such scenarios. The Reds, meanwhile, have a similar road record of 22-24, with a notable statistic of winning 34 out of 52 games when they have recorded eight or more hits.
This will be the sixth meeting between these two teams this season, with the Nationals currently holding a 3-2 lead in the season series. Key players to watch include Luis Garcia of the Nationals, who leads his team with a .277 batting average, and Elly De La Cruz of the Reds, who has been a powerhouse with 17 home runs this season.
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Odds and Betting Lines
For the upcoming game, the betting lines are as follows:
- Moneyline: Nationals -118, Reds -102
- Over/Under: 9 runs
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Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 9-6 | 3.39 | 1.21 | 106.1 | 89 | 86 | 40 | 18 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 7-8 | 3.49 | 1.11 | 116.0 | 100 | 99 | 29 | 14 |
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Team Previews
Cincinnati Reds
Hitting: The Reds' offense is spearheaded by Elly De La Cruz, who has an impressive 17 home runs and 20 doubles this season. Tyler Stephenson has also been productive, hitting .308 over his last 10 games with five home runs and 11 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: Cincinnati's bullpen has been decent, with a team ERA of 4.15, ranking 19th in the league. Key relievers have been solid in shutting down opponents, especially in close games.
Fielding: The Reds have committed 58 errors this season, which places them in the top 10 for fewest errors committed.
Starting Pitching: Andrew Abbott leads the starting rotation with a 9-6 record and a 3.39 ERA. His consistency has been crucial for the Reds in maintaining competitiveness in games.
Washington Nationals
Hitting: Luis Garcia has been a standout for the Nationals with a .277 batting average. Additionally, Juan Yepez has been hot recently, going 14-for-37 with several key hits.
Relief Pitching: The Nationals' bullpen has a team ERA of 3.89, which is 13th in the league. They've shown the ability to hold leads effectively.
Fielding: Washington has committed 61 errors, which is relatively high and has occasionally hurt them in close games.
Starting Pitching: Jake Irvin has been a solid performer in the rotation with a 7-8 record and a 3.49 ERA. He has been effective at limiting hits and walks, maintaining a WHIP of 1.11.
Team Injuries
Cincinnati Reds
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Suter | P | Teres Major | 15-Day IL |
| Carson Spiers | P | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Nick Martini | OF | Thumb | 60-Day IL |
| Luke Maile | C | Back | 10-Day IL |
Washington Nationals
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | P | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Joey Gallo | 1B | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Cade Cavalli | P | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Mason Thompson | P | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Cincinnati Reds
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | L 8-5 | L |
| @ Washington | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Washington | 1:35 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Atlanta | 7:20 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Atlanta | 7:20 PM | Upcoming |
Washington Nationals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cincinnati | W 8-5 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | 1:35 PM | Upcoming |
| vs San Diego | 6:45 PM | Upcoming |
| vs San Diego | 6:45 PM | Upcoming |
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Team Rankings
Here are the rankings for both teams in various categories:
| Category | Cincinnati Reds | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting (AVG) | .239 (18th) | .230 (27th) |
| Runs | 415 (19th) | 441 (14th) |
| ERA | 4.15 (19th) | 3.89 (13th) |
| Errors | 58 (8th) | 61 (4th) |
Prediction
Pick: CJ Abrams Over 0.5 RBIs (+155)
CJ Abrams has been a key player for the Nationals, and given the Reds' recent struggles, there is a good chance that Abrams will have opportunities to drive in runs. His current form, coupled with the Reds' pitching inconsistencies, makes the Over 0.5 RBIs a promising prop bet.
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