MLB Player Props Wagers: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros - 7/27

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 12:10:04 PM
MLB Player Props Wagers: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros - 7/27
Photo Credit: © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-43, first in the NL West) will face off against the Houston Astros (54-49, first in the AL West) at Minute Maid Park in Houston on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Astros are currently favored with a line of -139, while the Dodgers stand at +117. The over/under is set at 8 runs.
The Dodgers are looking to snap a three-game road losing streak. They have a 28-23 record on the road and a 62-43 record overall. The Dodgers have been dominant when scoring five or more runs, boasting a 42-8 record in such games. Recently, they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a .258 batting average and a 4.40 ERA.
The Astros, on the other hand, have a solid 29-21 record at home and a 54-49 record overall. Their hitters have a collective .321 on-base percentage, which is the 10th best in MLB. In their last 10 games, they have gone 5-5 with a .249 batting average and a 2.97 ERA, outscoring their opponents by five runs.
In their previous matchup this season, the Astros managed to secure a win, and they will be looking to continue their form against the Dodgers. Key performers include Alex Bregman with 20 doubles, two triples, and 13 home runs for the Astros, and Freddie Freeman with 26 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs, and 67 RBI while hitting .288 for the Dodgers.
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Player Prop Odds
Teoscar Hernandez Props:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+340)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+220)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+390)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+135)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105)
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Player Analysis
Teoscar Hernandez has been a key contributor for the Astros this season. With a batting average of .254, he has managed to tally 13 home runs and 54 RBIs. His recent form is noteworthy, as he has been hitting well over the past few games. Hernandez's ability to hit doubles, singles, and home runs makes him a versatile threat at the plate.
Looking at his prop odds, Hernandez is a good value bet for hitting over 1.5 total bases at +105. His odds for hitting a home run stand at +390, which can be a lucrative option considering his power-hitting ability.
Opposing Analysis
The Dodgers' pitching staff will have to be on their toes to contain Hernandez. Justin Wrobleski, who has a 4.40 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, will be starting for the Dodgers. Wrobleski has struggled in his recent outings, allowing multiple hits and home runs. This could play into Hernandez's favor, making the over on his prop bets appealing.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable pitchers for the game:
Dodgers: Justin Wrobleski (0-1, 4.40 ERA, 13 Strikeouts)
Astros: Ronel Blanco (9-5, 2.75 ERA, 105 Strikeouts)
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been impressive this season, with a .262 team batting average, ranking second in MLB. They have scored 483 runs, placing them tied for 10th. Their pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.98, ranking 15th, and they have committed 43 errors, which is the 29th most in the league.
Houston Astros
The Astros have been solid all around. Their hitters have a .254 batting average, ranking 5th, and they have scored 516 runs, which is 2nd best in MLB. Their pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.77, ranking 10th, and they have committed 51 errors, placing them tied for 19th.
Team Injuries
Dodgers
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | OF | 7/27 | Groin | 10-Day IL |
| Miguel Rojas | SS | 7/27 | Forearm | 10-Day IL |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | SP | 7/27 | Tricep | 60-Day IL |
Astros
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | SP | 7/27 | Neck | 15-Day IL |
| Cristian Javier | SP | 7/27 | Forearm | 60-Day IL |
| Kyle Tucker | OF | 7/27 | Shin | 10-Day IL |
Recent Games
Dodgers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | 4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | 7-6 (11) | W |
| vs Boston | 9-6 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 3-2 | W |
| vs San Francisco | 5-2 | W |
Astros
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Seattle | 3-0 | W |
| @ Seattle | 4-2 | W |
| @ Seattle | 6-4 | L |
| @ Oakland | 4-0 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-2 | L |
Prediction
Given the recent form of both teams and the pitching matchup, the Astros have a slight edge in this game. Teoscar Hernandez's prop bets offer some value, particularly the over on 1.5 total bases at +105. With the current pitching struggles of Justin Wrobleski, Hernandez has a good chance to rack up some hits and total bases.
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