MLB Player Props Wagers: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/30

MLB Player Props Wagers: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/30

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs are set to clash in game 2 of their series on July 30, 2024, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. This matchup is critical for both teams as they navigate a competitive NL Central. The Reds, sitting at 51-55, currently hold a slim lead in the season series, having won 6 of their 8 meetings against the Cubs so far. Cincinnati’s recent performance includes a mixed bag of results, with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games, scoring just 3.45 runs per game, while allowing a slightly better 3.45 runs per game. They notably excel in games without allowing home runs, boasting a record of 23-11 under those circumstances.

The Cubs, with a record of 51-57, have experienced their own struggles, particularly on the road where they are 24-32. Their recent form mirrors that of the Reds, also sporting a 4-6 record in their last 10 games but have been outscored by eight runs overall. A key to their success hinges on their ability to out-hit opponents, as they have a stellar 37-10 record when achieving more hits. The matchup features Justin Steele on the mound for the Cubs, who has a respectable 3.08 ERA despite a 2-4 record, while the Reds will counter with Frankie Montas, who is yet to record a decision this season.

Player Prop Odds

- Will Benson Hits: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-165)
- Will Benson RBIs: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-525)
- Will Benson Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+220), Under 0.5 (-320)
- Will Benson Singles: Over 0.5 (+230), Under 0.5 (-340)
- Will Benson Total Bases: Over 0.5 (+120), Under 0.5 (-165)

Player Analysis

Will Benson, the dynamic outfielder for the Cincinnati Reds, has proven to be a valuable asset in the lineup this season. He possesses a blend of speed and power, making him a dual threat at the plate. Benson has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in high-pressure situations. His ability to get on base and score runs has been critical for the Reds, especially given their recent struggles. With a batting average hovering around .263, he has consistently shown the potential to exceed prop thresholds, particularly for hits and runs scored. His recent form suggests he may be poised for a breakout game against a struggling Cubs pitching staff.

Opposing Analysis

The Chicago Cubs' pitching staff has been inconsistent, particularly in away games. Justin Steele, while reliable with a 3.08 ERA, has had his share of ups and downs this season. The Cubs overall have allowed a fair number of runs which plays into Benson’s advantage as he looks to capitalize on any mistakes made by the Cubs' pitchers. The Cubs’ defense also ranks among the lower tier in the league in terms of errors, creating opportunities for opposing hitters like Benson. Given his recent form and the Cubs' struggles, Benson has a favorable matchup tonight.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Justin Steele (CHC)	2-4	3.08	91
Frankie Montas (CIN)	0-0	N/A	N/A

Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have struggled this season, ranking towards the bottom in batting average (.228) and hits (785). Their pitching has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.83, which ranks 11th in the league. However, they need to improve their offensive consistency, as evidenced by their recent 4-6 record. With players like Ian Happ and Nico Hoerner, the lineup has potential but needs to convert opportunities into runs consistently.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have a better batting average (.233) and have managed to outscore opponents by a slim margin recently. Their pitching staff holds a solid ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th in the league, which has helped them stay competitive in games. The Reds have also shown resilience in their home games, with a record of 27-25 this season. Key players like Elly De La Cruz and Cody Bellinger need to step up to support Benson and drive in runs.

Team Injuries

Cubs

Player	Position	Injury Status
Tomas Nido	C	10-Day IL (knee)
Ben Brown	RP	60-Day IL (neck)

Reds

Player	Position	Injury Status
Luke Maile	C	10-Day IL (back)
Austin Wynns	C	10-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Chicago Cubs

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Cincinnati	L 7-1	L
@ Kansas City	W 7-3	W
@ Kansas City	W 9-4	W
@ Kansas City	L 6-0	L
vs Milwaukee	L 1-0	L

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Chicago	W 7-1	W
@ Tampa Bay	L 2-1	L
@ Tampa Bay	L 4-0	L
@ Tampa Bay	W 3-2	W
@ Atlanta	W 4-1	W

Prediction

Given the current form of Will Benson and the Cubs' pitching struggles, we predict that he will exceed the prop for hits. The odds favor Benson getting at least one hit tonight, especially with the momentum of a recent strong performance. Moreover, with the Cubs allowing a fair number of runs and hits, all signs point to Benson likely to register at least one hit. Therefore, we recommend placing a bet on Benson to go OVER 0.5 hits.

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