MLB Player Props Wagers: Braves vs Mets 7/28
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:01:38 AM
MLB Player Props Wagers: Braves vs Mets 7/28
Photo Credit: © Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will be facing off against the New York Mets at Citi Field in Queens, New York on July 28th. The Braves, with a record of 55-49, are currently ranked 10th in wins and 20th in losses. The Mets stand at 55-48, ranking 12th in wins and 20th in losses. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they vie for better standings in their respective divisions.
The Mets come into this game with a solid home record of 30-21, while the Braves have a commendable road record of 27-22. Historically, the Mets have shown strong performances at Citi Field, making this an intriguing contest.
Both teams have had mixed results in their recent games. The Braves have lost four out of their last five games, while the Mets have won four out of their last five. This game is expected to be a closely contested battle, with both teams looking to gain an edge.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Brandon Nimmo Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380)
- Brandon Nimmo Hits: Over 1.5 (+260)
- Brandon Nimmo RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190)
- Brandon Nimmo Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Brandon Nimmo Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)
- Brandon Nimmo Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+125)
Player Analysis
Brandon Nimmo has been a consistent performer for the New York Mets this season. With a batting average of .254, he has shown the ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offensive efforts. Nimmo has recorded 63 RBIs and 22 home runs, making him a key player in the Mets' lineup. His performance in the last few games has been noteworthy, and he will look to continue this form against the Braves.
Nimmo's ability to hit doubles and get on base makes the prop bet for doubles at +380 an attractive option. Additionally, his consistent hitting makes the over 1.5 hits at +260 a viable bet. Given his recent form, Nimmo is likely to score runs and drive in RBIs, making the over 0.5 RBIs at +190 and over 0.5 runs scored at -120 solid choices.
Opposing Analysis
The Braves' pitching staff has been relatively solid this season, with an ERA of 4.15. However, they have struggled in recent games, which could provide an opportunity for Nimmo to capitalize. The Braves' starting pitcher, David Peterson, has a respectable ERA of 3.14 but has shown vulnerabilities against strong hitters like Nimmo.
The Braves' bullpen has also been inconsistent, ranking 21st in ERA. This could play into Nimmo's favor, especially in the later innings of the game. Overall, the Braves' pitching staff will need to be at their best to contain Nimmo and the Mets' potent offense.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (ATL) | 5-0 | 3.14 | 36 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (NYM) | 7-4 | 2.12 | 100 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves: The Braves have been strong offensively this season, ranking 5th in runs scored with 504 runs. They are 9th in hits with 884 and have an average batting average of .249. However, their pitching has been a concern, with a team ERA of 4.15, ranking 21st in the league. The Braves' defense has also been shaky, committing 70 errors, making them 3rd in errors committed.
New York Mets: The Mets have been solid defensively, with a team ERA of 3.52, ranking 3rd in the league. Offensively, they have scored 428 runs, ranking 21st, and have a batting average of .240, ranked 18th. The Mets' pitching staff has been their strength, and they will look to continue their strong performance against the Braves.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield | LF | Expected to be out until at least Aug 1 |
| Harrison Bader | CF | Probable for Jul 28 |
| Kodai Senga | SP | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | 3-2 | W |
| vs St. Louis | 5-9 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 2-6 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | 1-4 | L |
| @ New York | 2-3 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | 4-6 | L |
| @ Miami | 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | 2-4 | L |
| @ Miami | 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Brandon Nimmo's recent form and the vulnerabilities in the Braves' pitching staff, we predict that Nimmo will have a strong performance in this game. The over 0.5 doubles at +380 and over 1.5 hits at +260 are attractive prop bets. Additionally, the over 0.5 RBIs at +190 and over 0.5 runs scored at -120 are solid options.
Pick: Over 0.5 doubles (+380)
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