MLB Player Props Wagers: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:02:14 AM
MLB Player Props Wagers: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25
Photo Credit: © Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles (60-41, first in the AL East) face off against the Miami Marlins (37-65, fifth in the NL East) on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 12:10 PM EDT at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. The Orioles, who are currently experiencing a three-game road losing streak, aim to turn their fortunes around against a struggling Marlins team.
Miami has a 37-65 overall record and is 22-33 at home. The Marlins have shown a tendency to perform better when they out-hit their opponents, holding a 27-12 record in such games. Baltimore, on the other hand, boasts a 60-41 overall record and a solid 30-19 record on the road. With the seventh-best team batting average in MLB at .252, the Orioles have been effective offensively this season.
The two teams will be meeting for the third time this season. Jazz Chisholm has been a standout performer for the Marlins with 14 doubles, four triples, and 13 home runs. Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with a .285 batting average and has been a consistent force at the plate with 19 doubles, five triples, and 28 home runs.
In their last 10 games, the Marlins have gone 5-5 with a .287 batting average and a 4.14 ERA, while the Orioles have struggled with a 3-7 record, a .228 batting average, and a 4.86 ERA. Both teams have faced challenges recently, but the Orioles' superior overall record and offensive capabilities make them a formidable opponent.
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Player Prop Odds
Batter Hits 0.5 Over -115
Batter RBIs 0.5 Over 270
Batter Runs Scored 0.5 Over 210
Batter Singles 0.5 Over 140
Batter Total Bases 1.5 Over 270
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Player Analysis
Nick Fortes, the Marlins' catcher, has had a mixed season. While his overall batting average is not among the highest on the team, he has shown potential in key moments. Fortes' odds for getting a hit are set at over 0.5 with a -115 line, indicating a moderate level of confidence in his ability to make contact. Additionally, Fortes has shown some clutch hitting ability, which is reflected in the +270 odds for him to record an RBI and to total over 1.5 bases.
Opposing Analysis
Fortes will be facing Corbin Burnes, one of the top pitchers in the league. Burnes has compiled a 10-4 record with a stellar 2.38 ERA and 116 strikeouts over 124.2 innings. The Orioles' pitching staff has been effective overall, which could present a challenge for Fortes. However, considering the Marlins' recent offensive form, Fortes could benefit from the team's overall momentum.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 10-4 | 2.38 | 1.04 | 124.2 | 101 | 116 | 29 | 14 |
| Roddery Munoz (MIA) | 1-5 | 5.14 | 1.39 | 56.0 | 49 | 47 | 29 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have been one of the stronger teams in the league this season. Offensively, they rank seventh in team batting average at .252. Key players like Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been instrumental in their success. Henderson leads the team with a .285 batting average, while Santander has been productive in clutch situations.
Pitching-wise, the Orioles have found stability with Corbin Burnes, who has a 2.38 ERA and 116 strikeouts. Their relief pitching has held up well, and they maintain a respectable overall team ERA.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have had a challenging season, sitting at 37-65 overall. However, they have shown glimpses of potential, particularly when they out-hit their opponents. Jazz Chisholm and Xavier Edwards have been bright spots offensively, with Chisholm leading the team in several offensive categories.
Roddery Munoz, their probable starting pitcher for this matchup, has struggled with a 5.14 ERA. The Marlins' pitching staff has had difficulties maintaining consistency, which has contributed to their overall struggles.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Myers | SP | Ankle | 10-Day IL |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Finger | 60-Day IL |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ Texas | 9-1 | W |
| Jul 20 | @ Texas | 8-4 | W |
| Jul 21 | @ Texas | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 23 | @ Miami | 3-6 | L |
| Jul 24 | @ Miami | 3-6 | L |
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Prediction
Given the current form and the pitching matchup, the under 8.5 runs seems like a solid prediction. Corbin Burnes' dominance on the mound should limit the Marlins' offensive output, while the Orioles' recent struggles suggest a lower-scoring game.
Pick: Under 8.5 runs
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