```html MLB Player Props Value Bets: Twins vs Tigers - 7/28

MLB Player Props Value Bets: Twins vs Tigers - 7/28

Photo Credit: © Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Detroit Tigers will host the Minnesota Twins in a pivotal AL Central showdown on Sunday, July 28, 2025, at Comerica Park. The game, set to begin at 1:40 p.m. EDT, will be the rubber match of a three-game series, with both teams looking to gain an edge in the tightly contested division race.

The Tigers come into this game with a 52-54 overall record and a .500 mark at home (25-25). Detroit's ability to hit home runs has been crucial, boasting a 24-4 record in games where they hit at least two homers. Recent form has been mixed, with the Tigers winning six of their last ten games, batting .229 and maintaining a respectable 3.31 team ERA.

On the other side, the Twins are 57-46 overall and 28-25 on the road. Minnesota has found success when keeping the ball in the park, going 22-8 in games without allowing a home run. The Twins have struggled slightly of late, dropping six of their last ten games while being outscored by six runs and posting a .235 batting average and 4.20 ERA during that span.

The season series between these two teams is deadlocked at 6-6, making this game crucial for both squads. Key players for the Tigers include Matt Vierling, who has been a significant contributor with 18 doubles, five triples, and 13 home runs while batting .255. Javier Baez has also shown power, going 6-for-34 with three homers in his last ten games.

For the Twins, Carlos Santana has been a steady presence with 20 doubles and 14 home runs, and Byron Buxton has been hot recently, hitting 13-for-43 with five doubles and three homers in his last ten games.

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Player Prop Odds

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Matt Wallner Player Props:

• Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +464 / Under 0.5: -904
• Batter Hits Over 0.5: -108 / Under 0.5: -127
• Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +213 / Under 0.5: -314
• Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +146 / Under 0.5: -204
• Batter Singles Over 0.5: +196 / Under 0.5: -284
• Batter Total Bases Over 0.5: -108 / Under 0.5: -127

Player Analysis

Matt Wallner has been a steady contributor for the Minnesota Twins this season. While he's not a household name, his ability to get on base and drive in runs has been valuable for the team. With a batting average of .255, Wallner has shown he can consistently make contact and generate offense. His recent form also suggests he could be a key player in this matchup, making him an intriguing option for various player prop bets.

Opposing Analysis

Alex Faedo, the probable starter for the Detroit Tigers, has had a solid season with a 5-1 record, a 3.47 ERA, and a 1.24 WHIP. His ability to keep hitters off-balance and limit runs has been a significant factor in the Tigers' success. However, Faedo has shown vulnerability against disciplined hitters who can work the count and make contact. This could play into Wallner's strengths, making the over on hits and total bases appealing.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Bailey Ober (MIN)	9-5	4.04	1.06	107.0	88	110	25	17
Alex Faedo (DET)	5-1	3.47	1.24	49.1	42	45	19	8

Team Previews

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have had a solid season, driven by strong pitching and timely hitting. Their team ERA of 3.92 ranks 14th in the league, and their bullpen has been reliable in close games. Offensively, the Twins rank 17th in runs scored with 448 and 19th in hits with 821. Despite a lower batting average of .233 (24th in MLB), they have shown the ability to score runs in bunches when needed.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers have been one of the surprise teams this season, thanks to a balanced attack and solid pitching. They rank 10th in hits with 879 and 7th in runs scored with 498. Their team batting average of .253 is among the top ten in MLB, and their bullpen has been a strength, recording 30 saves (7th in MLB). The Tigers' team ERA of 4.10 ranks 19th, but their ability to score runs has helped them stay competitive.

Team Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Player	Position	Injury Status
Kody Funderburk	RP	15-Day IL (oblique)
Carlos Correa	SS	10-Day IL (foot)
Chris Paddack	SP	15-Day IL (forearm)
Kyle Farmer	2B	10-Day IL (shoulder)
Alex Kirilloff	OF	10-Day IL (back)
Justin Topa	RP	60-Day IL (knee)
Daniel Duarte	RP	60-Day IL (tricep)
Anthony DeSclafani	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Detroit Tigers

Player	Position	Injury Status
Riley Greene	LF	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Kerry Carpenter	RF	60-Day IL (spine)
Reese Olson	SP	15-Day IL (shoulder)
Parker Meadows	CF	10-Day IL (hamstring)
Casey Mize	SP	15-Day IL (hamstring)
Sawyer Gipson-Long	RP	60-Day IL (groin)

Recent Games

Minnesota Twins

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Milwaukee	L 8-4 (F/12)	L
vs Milwaukee	L 8-7	L
vs Philadelphia	W 7-2	W
vs Philadelphia	L 3-0	L
vs Philadelphia	W 5-4	W

Detroit Tigers

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Toronto	W 5-4	W
@ Toronto	W 7-3	W
@ Toronto	L 5-4	L
@ Cleveland	W 8-2	W
@ Cleveland	L 5-4	L

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Prediction

Given Matt Wallner's consistent performance and the pitching matchup, the most appealing player prop bets are on Wallner to get over 0.5 hits and over 0.5 total bases. His ability to make contact and generate offense, combined with Faedo's occasional struggles against disciplined hitters, makes these bets valuable.

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