MLB Player Props Value Bets: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies on 7/31

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 31, 2024, 12:48:42 AM
MLB Player Props Value Bets: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies on 7/31
Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The New York Yankees will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on July 31. This matchup brings together two robust teams, with the Yankees boasting a strong overall record of 65-42, placing them at the top of the American League East. In their recent outings, the Yankees have been formidable, with a record of 7-3 in their last ten games. They have displayed a well-rounded offense, ranking 6th in the league with 516 runs scored and a batting average of .256. Conversely, the Phillies have a solid record of 64-45, positioning them among the top contenders in the National League. Their offensive stats are impressive too, leading the league with 553 runs scored, indicating a potent lineup that can capitalize on scoring opportunities. Historically, the Yankees have had the edge over the Phillies, winning 6 out of their last 10 encounters. The Yankees will be sending Cristopher Sanchez to the mound, who has a 7-6 record with a 3.05 ERA, showcasing his ability to control the game. On the other hand, the Phillies will counter with Nestor Cortes, who has struggled this season with a 4-9 record and a 4.13 ERA. As the weather forecast suggests intermittent clouds with a temperature of 85°F, the conditions are favorable for a high-scoring affair.
Player Prop Odds
Here are the odds for Alec Bohm's player props for the game against the Yankees:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+280)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+190)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+430)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-150)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110)
Player Analysis
Alec Bohm has been a key contributor to the Phillies' offense this season. With a batting average of .293, he ranks among the league's top hitters. His ability to get on base is reflected in his impressive 72 RBIs, showcasing his knack for driving in runs. Furthermore, with 24 home runs this season, he has proven to be a reliable power source for the team. In recent games, Bohm has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, which bodes well against the Yankees’ starting pitcher, Cristopher Sanchez.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Sanchez, who has a tendency to allow hits, Bohm's chances of success look promising. The Yankees’ pitching staff has shown vulnerability against left-handed batters, and with Sanchez's WHIP of 1.26, it’s likely Bohm will have opportunities to capitalize. The Yankees have allowed a significant number of runs this season, ranking 3rd in ERA at 3.53, which also indicates that they can be scored upon effectively.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (PHI) | 4-9 | 4.13 | 116 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (NYY) | 7-6 | 3.05 | 91 |
Team Previews
The New York Yankees have shown a balanced attack this season, with both their pitching (3rd in league ERA) and hitting (6th in runs scored) contributing to their success. Their top players like Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres have been performing consistently, making them a formidable opponent. The Yankees' bullpen has a combined 27 saves, ranking them tied for 11th in the league, indicating their ability to close out games effectively.
The Philadelphia Phillies, meanwhile, lead the league in runs scored, highlighting their offensive strength. Their batting lineup is deep, with multiple players capable of hitting for power. However, their pitching staff has also been solid, ranking 5th in ERA at 3.68. With both teams playing at a high level, this game promises to be an exciting matchup.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 4 |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 7 |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Result | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | W |
| Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | L |
| Tampa Bay | L 6-4 | L |
| Tampa Bay | W 9-1 | W |
| Philadelphia | W 14-4 | W |
Prediction
Based on the current statistics and the matchup analysis, we recommend betting on Alec Bohm to go Over 1.5 hits (+190). Given his recent form, combined with the Yankees' pitching vulnerabilities, Bohm's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes this a favorable bet. Additionally, with the likelihood of an offensive showdown, we can expect Bohm to have multiple opportunities to perform.
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