MLB Player Props Value Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 7/27
- Mr Wager
- Jul 26, 2024, 11:38:30 PM
MLB Player Props Value Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 7/27
Photo Credit: © Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Minnesota Twins are set to face off against the Detroit Tigers on July 27th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. This matchup features two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Twins, currently sitting at 51-54, have struggled to find consistency, both at home and on the road. On the other hand, the Tigers, with a solid 57-45 record, have shown resilience and competitiveness, especially at home where they boast a 29-21 record.
Historically, the Twins have had an edge over the Tigers, but this season’s performance has shown that the Tigers are not to be underestimated. The game is expected to be fiercely contested, especially with both teams having solid pitching probables in Joe Ryan for the Twins and Tarik Skubal for the Tigers.
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Player Prop Odds
Byron Buxton Player Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+345), Under 0.5 (-579)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-174), Under 0.5 (+126)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+208), Under 0.5 (-304)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+152), Under 0.5 (-214)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+129), Under 0.5 (-179)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-174), Under 0.5 (+126)
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Player Analysis
Byron Buxton has been a key player for the Minnesota Twins this season. Known for his speed and power, Buxton has shown the ability to change the game with his bat and his legs. However, consistency has been an issue for him. This season, Buxton has hit 13 home runs and driven in 42 runs. His batting average stands at .233, which is below his career average. Despite these numbers, Buxton remains a threat every time he steps to the plate, especially against pitchers who make mistakes.
Opposing Analysis
Tarik Skubal, the probable starting pitcher for the Detroit Tigers, has been impressive this season with an 11-3 record and a 2.34 ERA. Skubal has shown the ability to strike out batters at a high rate, with 146 strikeouts in 123.0 innings pitched. His WHIP of 0.92 indicates he doesn’t allow many base runners, making it a tough matchup for Buxton. However, if Buxton can capitalize on any mistakes Skubal makes, he has the power and speed to make a significant impact.
Pitching Probables
Here’s a look at the probable starting pitchers for both teams:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 6-6 | 3.65 | 1.01 | 120.2 | 103 | 130 | 19 | 17 |
| Tarik Skubal | 11-3 | 2.34 | 0.92 | 123.0 | 91 | 146 | 22 | 10 |
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Team Previews
Minnesota Twins
The Twins’ hitting has been inconsistent this year, ranking 19th in hits with 813 and 16th in runs scored with 445. Their team batting average of .233 ranks 24th in the league. On the pitching side, the Twins have a solid ERA of 3.89, ranking 14th, and their relievers have managed 23 saves, ranking 21st. Defensively, the Twins have committed 59 errors, which ranks 8th.
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers boast a more robust offense, ranking 10th in hits with 867 and 7th in runs scored with 489. Their team batting average stands at .252, ranking 8th in the league. The Tigers' pitching staff has an ERA of 4.11, ranking 19th, with their relievers securing 30 saves, ranking 7th. Defensively, the Tigers have committed 49 errors, ranking 22nd.
Team Injuries
Minnesota Twins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miranda | 3B | Fri, Jul 26 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Detroit Tigers
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Mize | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| R. Greene | LF | Fri, Jul 26 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
Recent Games
Minnesota Twins
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L8-4 F/12 | 54-43 | Junis 2-0 | Okert 3-1 | NaN | 41679 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L8-7 | 54-44 | Koenig 8-1 | Jax 3-4 | Megill 19 | 36327 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | W7-2 | 55-44 | Ober 9-5 | Suarez 10-5 | Sands 3 | 29904 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | L3-0 | 55-45 | Soto 2-3 | Duran 5-5 | Strahm 1 | 31272 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Philadelphia | W5-4 | 56-45 | Duran 6-5 | Soto 2-4 | NaN | 33813 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Detroit | W9-3 | 57-45 | Lopez 9-7 | Montero 1-4 | NaN | 27778 |
Detroit Tigers
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Toronto | W5-4 | 48-50 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Toronto | W7-3 | 49-50 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Toronto | L5-4 | 49-51 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38766 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Cleveland | W8-2 | 50-51 | Skubal 11-3 | Carrasco 3-8 | NaN | 22451 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Cleveland | L5-4 | 50-52 | Smith 5-1 | Wentz 0-2 | Clase 30 | 23277 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Cleveland | L2-1 | 50-53 | Gaddis 4-2 | Brieske 1-1 | Clase 31 | 24633 |
| Thu, Jul 25 | @ Cleveland | W3-0 | 51-53 | Lucas 1-0 | Williams 0-3 | Miller 2 | 32867 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Minnesota | L9-3 | 51-54 | Lopez 9-7 | Montero 1-4 | NaN | 27778 |
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Prediction
Given Byron Buxton’s ability to impact the game with his power and speed, and considering Tarik Skubal’s impressive season, the prop bet for Buxton to record a hit at over 0.5 (-174) offers value. Buxton has the capability to capitalize on any mistakes, and with his aggressive approach, he is likely to get on base.
Pick: Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Hits (-174)
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