MLB Player Props Value Bets: Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants 7/28

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 28, 2024, 2:33:56 AM
MLB Player Props Value Bets: Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants 7/28
Photo Credit: © Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Colorado Rockies will face off against the San Francisco Giants on July 28th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. The game is set to be an intriguing matchup as both teams are looking to gain momentum in their respective seasons. The Rockies have an overall record of 52-55, while they have struggled on the road with a 21-33 record. The Giants, on the other hand, have a disappointing overall record of 38-68, though they have been slightly better at home with a 24-29 record.
Historically, the Rockies have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Giants, having won two of the last three games in their recent series. However, the Giants have shown resilience, winning their last two home games against the Rockies, which puts them in a favorable position for this upcoming game.
The Rockies’ starting pitcher, Jordan Hicks, has a record of 4-7 with an ERA of 4.01. He will need to be at his best to contain the Giants' hitters, who have shown flashes of brilliance. The Giants will counter with Austin Gomber, who has a record of 2-6 and an ERA of 4.70. Gomber will need to bring his A-game to give the Giants a fighting chance.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Derek Hill:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450.0), Under 0.5 (-800.0)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-175.0), Under 0.5 (+125.0)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+265.0), Under 0.5 (-400.0)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+170.0), Under 0.5 (-240.0)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100.0), Under 0.5 (-135.0)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-175.0), Under 0.5 (+125.0)
Player Analysis
Derek Hill has been a reliable player for the Rockies this season. With a batting average of .237, Hill has shown consistency at the plate. Although he has struggled to hit for power, he has managed to get on base and contribute to the team's offense. Hill's ability to make contact and put the ball in play makes the over on hits and singles appealing props.
Opposing Analysis
For the Giants, Austin Gomber will be starting on the mound. Gomber has had a tough season with a 2-6 record and an ERA of 4.70. He has shown vulnerability, especially against right-handed hitters, which could play to Hill's advantage. The Giants' bullpen has also struggled, ranked 30th in ERA at 5.56, which further supports the potential for Hill to have a productive game.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gomber | 2-6 | 4.70 | 1.30 | 105.1 | 111 | 72 | 26 | 19 |
| J. Hicks | 4-7 | 4.01 | 1.39 | 98.2 | 96 | 90 | 41 | 11 |
Team Previews
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies have been a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of hitting, ranking 14th in hits (864) and runs (463) with a team batting average of .244. Their pitching staff has struggled, posting a 4.42 ERA, which ranks 24th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 58 errors, ranking 11th.
San Francisco Giants
The Giants' offense has been somewhat lackluster, ranking 12th in hits (868) and 16th in runs (449) with a team batting average of .246. Their pitching staff has been a significant weakness, with the worst ERA in the league at 5.56. They have also committed 50 errors, ranking tied for 21st.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Jones | LF | Sat, Jul 27 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cobb | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Hip | Expected to be out until at least Jul 31 |
| T. Estrada | 2B | Fri, Jul 26 | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| K. Winn | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Out for the season |
Recent Games
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Colorado Rockies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Francisco | W 7-3 | W |
| vs San Francisco | W 4-3 | W |
| vs San Francisco | L 3-2 | L |
| vs Boston | W 9-8 (12) | W |
| vs Boston | L 6-0 | L |
San Francisco Giants
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Colorado | L 7-3 | L |
| @ Colorado | L 4-3 | L |
| @ Colorado | W 3-2 | W |
| @ Los Angeles | L 3-2 | L |
| @ Los Angeles | L 5-2 | L |
Prediction
Derek Hill has demonstrated his ability to get on base, and with Gomber's struggles on the mound, Hill is likely to grab at least one hit in this game. The odds of -175.0 for over 0.5 hits offer decent value given the circumstances.
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