MLB Player Props Value Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28
- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 1:59:11 AM
MLB Player Props Value Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals 7/28
Photo Credit: © Peter Aiken-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Chicago Cubs are set to face the Kansas City Royals on July 28th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. This matchup features two teams in different stages of their season as the Cubs aim to solidify their playoff hopes, while the Royals are looking to play spoiler and develop their young talent.
The Cubs have been performing well recently with a record of 57-48 and are tied for 7th in wins in the league. They boast a strong ERA of 3.72, ranking 7th, and their batting average of .251 places them 10th in the league. On the other hand, the Royals are struggling with a 50-56 record. Their batting average of .232 ranks 26th, and they are 24th in both hits and runs scored, indicating their offensive struggles this season.
Recent performances have seen the Cubs go through a mixed patch, with significant wins against teams like Milwaukee but also unexpected losses. Meanwhile, the Royals have shown some fight, winning against the Chicago White Sox and Arizona Diamondbacks, but consistency has been an issue.
Historically, the Cubs have had the upper hand in the head-to-head matchups, but every game brings a new challenge. The pitching matchup for this game includes Cole Ragans for the Cubs and Javier Assad for the Royals, both having decent seasons with ERAs of 3.23 and 3.15 respectively.
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Player Prop Odds
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For Bobby Witt Jr., the following prop odds are available:
- Batter Doubles: 0.5 (Over +190)
- Batter Hits: 1.5 (Over +100)
- Batter Home Runs: 0.5 (Over +420)
- Batter RBIs: 0.5 (Over +105)
- Batter Runs Scored: 1.5 (Over +360)
- Batter Stolen Bases: 0.5 (Over +245, Under -360)
- Batter Total Bases: 2.5 (Over +105)
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Player Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr. has been a standout player for the Kansas City Royals this season. He leads the team with a batting average of .342, which is impressive given the team's overall struggles. Witt Jr. has also contributed significantly in terms of power, with 19 home runs and 71 RBIs, making him a key offensive weapon for the Royals.
He has shown versatility and speed on the base paths, with a decent number of stolen bases, making him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. His ability to get on base and score runs is vital for a Royals team that has struggled to generate consistent offense.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Javier Assad, who has a solid 3.15 ERA, will be a challenge for Witt Jr. Assad has been effective in limiting hits and runs, but he does allow a fair number of base runners with a WHIP of 1.38. Witt Jr.'s speed and base-running skills could exploit this weakness.
Assad has shown vulnerability to power hitters, giving up 12 home runs in 88.2 innings pitched. This bodes well for Witt Jr., who has demonstrated his power-hitting capabilities throughout the season.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (KC) | 4-3 | 3.15 | 81 |
| Cole Ragans (CHC) | 7-6 | 3.23 | 146 |
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Team Previews
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have a balanced team with strengths in both hitting and pitching. Offensively, they rank 10th in batting average (.251) and 10th in runs scored (483). Their pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.72, ranking 7th in the league. The bullpen has contributed with 24 saves, tied for 19th in the league.
Kansas City Royals
The Kansas City Royals have struggled this season, particularly with their offense. They rank 24th in hits (809) and runs scored (424), and their batting average of .232 is 26th in the league. On the pitching side, their team ERA of 3.73 ranks 8th, indicating that their struggles are more on the offensive side.
Team Injuries
Chicago Cubs
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kilian | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
| Adbert Alzolay | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
Kansas City Royals
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Taylor | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Biceps | Expected to be out until at least Jul 27 |
Recent Games
Chicago Cubs
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 5-2 | L |
| vs Arizona | L 3-0 | L |
| vs Arizona | W 2-1 (F/10) | W |
| vs Milwaukee | W 3-1 | W |
| vs Milwaukee | L 1-0 | L |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W 7-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W 6-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | W 4-1 | W |
| vs Arizona | W 10-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | L 6-2 | L |
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Prediction
Given Bobby Witt Jr.'s current form and the odds available, the best value bet appears to be on him hitting a home run at +420. Javier Assad has shown vulnerability to power hitters, and Witt Jr.'s power-hitting abilities make this a high-value bet.
Pick: Bobby Witt Jr. to hit a home run (Over 0.5 home runs at +420)
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