MLB Player Props Value Bets: Braves vs Brewers 7/29

MLB Player Props Value Bets: Braves vs Brewers 7/29

Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Atlanta Braves in a three-game series starting on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 8:10 p.m. EDT at American Family Field. The Brewers, leading the NL Central with a 60-45 record, have been strong at home with a 30-19 record. They have an impressive 44-4 record in games where they out-hit their opponents. The Braves, second in the NL East with a 56-48 record, have struggled slightly on the road with a 26-27 record. Braves pitchers boast a collective 3.48 ERA, ranking second in the NL. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season.

Both teams have shown contrasting forms in their recent games. The Brewers have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games, hitting .254 with a 3.42 ERA and outscoring opponents by six runs. The Braves, on the other hand, have managed a 4-6 record, batting .220 with a 4.19 ERA and being outscored by six runs. Injuries have also impacted both teams, with notable absences including the Brewers' Christian Yelich and the Braves' Ronald Acuna Jr.

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Player Prop Odds

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Sal Frelick Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-155), Under 0.5 (+115)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-500)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+175), Under 0.5 (-245)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100), Under 0.5 (-140)
• Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+380), Under 0.5 (-650)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-155), Under 0.5 (+115)

Player Analysis

Sal Frelick has been a consistent contributor for the Brewers this season. Frelick, known for his speed and contact hitting, has posted solid numbers across various batting metrics. His ability to get on base and advance runners has been crucial for the Brewers' offense. Frelick's speed also makes him a threat on the base paths, adding another dimension to his game. With a batting average hovering around .270 and several multi-hit games under his belt, Frelick is a valuable asset for prop betting, especially in categories like hits and total bases.

Opposing Analysis

Frelick will be facing Braves' pitcher Grant Holmes, who has a 2.70 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this season. While Holmes has been effective, he has not faced the Brewers' lineup yet this season. The Braves' pitching staff, with a collective ERA of 3.48, ranks second in the NL, indicating a strong overall performance. However, the Brewers have shown the ability to hit well against quality pitching, as evidenced by their recent performance.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Grant Holmes (ATL)	0-0	2.70	0.94	23.1	17	21	5	0
Colin Rea (MIL)	9-3	3.60	1.21	110.0	100	84	33	14

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

The Braves have been solid overall, with a team batting average of .254 and ranking fifth in the league. They have scored 498 runs, placing them ninth overall. Their pitching staff has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.48, ranking second in the NL. However, their recent form has been shaky, with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games, hitting just .220 with a 4.19 ERA. Key injuries to players like Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ozzie Albies have also impacted their performance.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been strong at home and lead the NL Central with a 60-45 record. Their team batting average of .239 ranks 19th, and they have scored 441 runs, ranking 21st. However, their pitching has been exceptional, with a team ERA of 3.47, ranking third overall. The Brewers have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, hitting .254 with a 3.42 ERA. Key players like William Contreras and Rhys Hoskins have been performing well, adding depth to their lineup.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Reynaldo Lopez	SP	Sun, Jul 28	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
Michael Harris II	OF	60-Day IL	Hamstring	Out
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL	Wrist	Out
Max Fried	SP	15-Day IL	Forearm	Out
Bryan Hudson	RP	Sat, Jul 27	Oblique	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
Christian Yelich	OF	10-Day IL	Back	Out

Recent Games

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Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ New York	W9-2	W
@ New York	W4-0	W
@ New York	L8-4	L
@ New York	L3-2	L
vs Cincinnati	L9-4	L

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Miami	W6-2	W
vs Miami	L7-3	L
vs Miami	L6-2	L
@ Chicago	W3-2	W
@ Chicago	W1-0	W

Prediction

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