MLB Player Props Trends: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox
- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:58:23 AM
MLB Player Props Trends: Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox
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Photo Credit: © Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners (55-51, second in the AL West) will face the Chicago White Sox (27-80, fifth in the AL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 2:10 p.m. EDT. The White Sox enter this matchup on a dismal 13-game losing streak, while the Mariners have won their last two games against Chicago. The Mariners lead the season series 5-1.
Chicago’s overall record of 27-80 and home record of 17-36 exemplify their struggles this season. The team has managed a 9-14 record in games where they hit at least two home runs. Seattle has performed slightly better with a 24-28 road record and a 55-51 overall record. The Mariners have been dominant when they out-hit their opponents, boasting a 40-6 record in such games.
In their last 10 games, the White Sox have been outscored by 43 runs, posting a .196 batting average and a 6.20 ERA. Conversely, the Mariners have a .194 batting average and a 2.15 ERA, managing to outscore their opponents by one run in the same span.
Notable injuries for the White Sox include Max Stassi (60-Day IL, hip), Jordan Leasure (15-Day IL, shoulder), and Mike Soroka (15-Day IL, shoulder). For the Mariners, key players on the injured list include J.P. Crawford (10-Day IL, hand), Julio Rodriguez (10-Day IL, ankle), and Dominic Canzone (10-Day IL, abductor).
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Player Prop Odds
Here are the player prop odds for Tommy Pham:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140)
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Player Analysis
Tommy Pham has been a key contributor for the Mariners, especially over the last 10 games where he went 11-for-41 with four doubles, a home run, and two RBIs. His recent performance highlights his ability to make significant offensive contributions. Pham's batting average of .268 this season is a testament to his consistency at the plate. His propensity for getting on base and scoring runs makes him a valuable player in prop betting scenarios.
Pham's odds for achieving over 1.5 hits at +270 and over 1.5 total bases at +140 are enticing given his recent form. Additionally, his odds for over 0.5 doubles at +370 and over 0.5 RBIs at +210 provide attractive opportunities for bettors looking to capitalize on his offensive capabilities.
Opposing Analysis
Chicago's starting pitcher, Garrett Crochet, has had a solid season with a 6-7 record, a 3.07 ERA, and 157 strikeouts over 111.1 innings pitched. However, the White Sox bullpen has been less reliable, which could provide opportunities for Pham to exploit in the later innings.
Chicago's pitching staff has struggled significantly in recent games, evidenced by their 6.20 ERA over the last 10 games. This vulnerability could play into Pham's hands, increasing his chances of achieving the prop bets mentioned earlier.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller (SEA) | 7-7 | 3.41 | 1.03 | 116.0 | 90 | 103 | 29 | 15 |
| G. Crochet (CHW) | 6-7 | 3.07 | 0.97 | 111.1 | 83 | 157 | 25 | 10 |
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Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners have a .217 batting average (29th in MLB), with 758 hits (29th) and 324 runs (30th). Their pitching staff has a combined 4.66 ERA (29th) and has allowed 62 errors (6th). The team's strength lies in their ability to out-hit their opponents, boasting a 40-6 record when achieving this.
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have a .217 batting average (30th), with 741 hits (30th) and 400 runs (28th). Their pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA (1st) and 57 errors (12th). Despite their strong pitching, the team's offensive struggles have been a significant hindrance.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | SS | 10-Day IL (hand) |
| Julio Rodriguez | CF | 10-Day IL (ankle) |
| Dominic Canzone | RF | 10-Day IL (abductor) |
| Max Stassi | C | 60-Day IL (hip) |
| Jordan Leasure | RP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Mike Soroka | SP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Dominic Leone | RP | 60-Day IL (right elbow) |
| Mike Clevinger | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Yoan Moncada | 3B | 60-Day IL (abductor) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Houston | 3-0 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Houston | 4-2 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Houston | 6-4 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Los Angeles | 3-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Los Angeles | 5-1 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Los Angeles | 2-1 | L |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Chicago | 10-0 | W |
| Sat, Jul 27 | @ Chicago | 6-3 | W |
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Prediction
Given Tommy Pham's recent performance and the Chicago White Sox's struggles in the pitching department, we predict that Pham will exceed 1.5 total bases at odds of +140. His recent form and the White Sox's vulnerabilities make this a solid bet.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases
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