MLB Player Props Trends: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 6:05:15 AM
MLB Player Props Trends: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox
Preview: Mariners take 3-game road win streak into game against the Red Sox
By
Data Skrive
Jul 29, 2024, 04:01 am
Photo Credit: © Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Seattle Mariners, currently sitting at 56-51 and second in the AL West, will be taking their three-game road win streak into Fenway Park to face the Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox are 55-49 and third in the AL East. The game is scheduled for Monday at 7:10 p.m. EDT.
Boston has struggled at home, posting a 25-27 record at Fenway Park, but they have been dominant when outhitting their opponents, going 42-6 in those games. Seattle has a nearly identical road record of 25-28, but like Boston, they excel when outhitting their opponents, holding a 41-6 record in such situations.
This will be the fifth meeting between these two teams this season, with the season series tied at 2-2. Boston's Jarren Duran has been a standout performer with 31 doubles, 12 triples, and 13 home runs, while Tyler O'Neill has been on fire, going 15-for-42 with three doubles and six home runs over the last ten games. For Seattle, Cal Raleigh has hit 22 home runs and Julio Rodriguez has been red-hot, batting 14-for-32 with three home runs over the past ten games.
Both teams have had mixed results in their last ten games, with Boston posting a 3-7 record and a 6.51 ERA, while Seattle has gone 4-6 with a much lower 2.33 ERA. Injuries have also played a role, with key players from both sides on the IL, including Boston's Bryan Mata and Seattle's Julio Rodriguez.
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Player Prop Odds
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Logan Gilbert to Record a Win: Yes +160, No -220
Player Analysis
Logan Gilbert has been a key player for the Mariners this season. With a 6-6 record, a stellar 2.72 ERA, and an impressive 0.86 WHIP over 139 innings, Gilbert has demonstrated his ability to dominate on the mound. His 132 strikeouts against just 26 walks show his control and ability to overpower hitters. Gilbert's performance has been a significant factor in keeping the Mariners competitive in the AL West.
Opposing Analysis
The Boston Red Sox have had their struggles at the plate, ranking 30th in hits and 28th in runs scored across MLB. Their team batting average of .218 is among the worst in the league. However, the Red Sox have shown flashes of power, with players like Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers capable of changing the game with one swing. Against a pitcher like Gilbert, who has been dominant this season, the Red Sox hitters will need to be at their best.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6-6 | 2.72 | 0.86 | 132 |
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 4-7 | 4.50 | 1.18 | 102 |
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Team Previews
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners have a .258 team batting average, ranking 3rd in MLB, and have scored 499 runs (8th). Their pitching staff has also been solid, with a team ERA of 3.91 (13th) and 27 saves (T-11th). Despite some injuries, the Mariners' depth and balanced performance have kept them in contention.
Boston Red Sox
In contrast, the Red Sox have struggled offensively, with a .218 team batting average (29th) and only 412 runs scored (28th). However, their pitching staff has been a strong point, with a team ERA of 3.35 (1st) and 29 saves (T-8th). The Red Sox will need their pitchers to step up against a potent Mariners lineup.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | 2B | Probable for Jul 29 |
| Justin Slaten | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 |
| Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
Seattle Mariners
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Houston | L 3-0 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Houston | L 4-2 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Houston | W 6-4 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Los Angeles | L 3-1 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Los Angeles | L 5-1 | L |
Boston Red Sox
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Los Angeles | L 4-1 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Los Angeles | L 7-6 F/11 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Los Angeles | L 9-6 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Colorado | L 9-8 F/12 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Colorado | W 6-0 | W |
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Prediction
Considering Logan Gilbert's impressive performance this season and the Red Sox's struggles at the plate, betting on Gilbert to record a win at +160 offers good value. The Mariners' recent form and Gilbert's dominance on the mound make this a worthwhile player prop bet.
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