MLB Player Props Trends: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

MLB Player Props Trends: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26

Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates are set to kick off a three-game series at Chase Field in Phoenix on Friday, July 26, at 9:40 PM EDT. Both teams are vying for playoff positions in their respective divisions, with the Diamondbacks holding a 53-50 record and the Pirates at 52-50. Arizona boasts a strong home performance with a 26-24 record, while Pittsburgh matches that with an identical 26-24 record on the road.

The Diamondbacks have been impressive with their slugging percentage, ranking ninth in MLB at .410. They are led by Christian Walker, who has accumulated 43 extra-base hits, including 23 home runs. Ketel Marte has also been on fire, hitting four home runs and driving in 12 runs over the past 10 games.

The Pirates have a solid offensive presence as well, with Connor Joe hitting 18 doubles, a triple, and seven home runs. Oneil Cruz has been a standout, batting .308 over the last 10 games with five doubles and two home runs. The Pirates' pitching has been stellar, with a team ERA of 2.10 over their last 10 games, significantly contributing to their 8-2 record over that span.

The pitching matchup for this game features Luis Ortiz (5-2, 2.57 ERA) for the Pirates and Zac Gallen (7-5, 3.64 ERA) for the Diamondbacks. Ortiz has been superb with a 1.11 WHIP and 59 strikeouts in 73.2 innings, while Gallen has 80 strikeouts in 81.2 innings with a 1.25 WHIP.

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Player Prop Odds

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Connor Joe Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+420)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-160)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+220)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+175)

Player Analysis

Connor Joe has been a consistent performer for the Pirates this season. He is known for his versatility and ability to contribute in various ways offensively. Joe has recorded 18 doubles, a triple, and seven home runs, driving in 30 runs so far. His on-base percentage is notable, and he has been a key player in the Pirates' lineup, often setting the table for the big hitters behind him.

In recent games, Joe has maintained solid form. Over his last 10 games, he has hit .256 with a .333 OBP, showing a balanced approach at the plate. He has been particularly effective against right-handed pitching, which will be crucial against Zac Gallen, a right-handed pitcher for the Diamondbacks.

Opposing Analysis

Zac Gallen has been a reliable pitcher for the Diamondbacks, posting a 3.64 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 81.2 innings. However, he has shown vulnerability against teams with strong plate discipline and hitters who can capitalize on his mistakes. Gallen's WHIP stands at 1.25, indicating that he allows a fair number of base runners, which could be an opportunity for the Pirates' hitters to exploit.

Gallen has struggled somewhat at home, where his ERA is slightly higher compared to his road performances. This could play into the hands of the Pirates, who have a decent road record and have been hitting well as a team recently.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
L. Ortiz (PIT)	5-2	2.57	1.11	73.2	61	59	21	3
Z. Gallen (ARI)	7-5	3.64	1.25	81.2	75	80	27	8

Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates are currently third in the NL Central with a 52-50 record. Offensively, they rank eighth in hits with 879 and third in runs scored with 509. Their team batting average is .252, placing them ninth in the league. However, their pitching has been a mixed bag, with a team ERA of 4.50, ranking 26th in MLB.

Defensively, the Pirates have struggled with 42 errors, putting them at the bottom of the league in this category. Despite these issues, their recent form has been good, winning eight of their last 10 games with a team ERA of 2.10.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks, also third in their division (NL West), have a 53-50 record. Their offense has been less productive compared to the Pirates, ranking 25th in hits with 800 and 23rd in runs scored with 422. Their team batting average of .232 is 26th in the league. However, their pitching has been more solid, with a team ERA of 3.77, which is 11th in MLB.

Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 50 errors, ranking them 20th in the league. They have been playing well recently, winning seven of their last 10 games with a team batting average of .246 and an ERA of 3.33.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Bailey Falter	SP	Arm	15-Day IL
Daulton Jefferies	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Jared Jones	RP	Lat	15-Day IL
Hunter Stratton	RP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Ryan Borucki	RP	Tricep	60-Day IL
Dauri Moreta	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Endy Rodriguez	C	Elbow	60-Day IL
Johan Oviedo	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Blake Walston	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Merrill Kelly	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Kyle Nelson	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Drey Jameson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Recent Games

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Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Philadelphia	8-7	W
vs Philadelphia	4-1	W
vs Philadelphia	0-6	L
vs St. Louis	2-1	W
vs St. Louis	1-2	L

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Chicago	5-2	W
@ Chicago	3-0	W
@ Chicago	1-2	L
@ Kansas City	4-10	L
@ Kansas City	6-2	W

Prediction

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