MLB Player Props Tips: Yankees vs Phillies 7/29

- Mr Wager
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:40:47 PM
MLB Player Props Tips: Yankees vs Phillies 7/29
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Photo Credit: © Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The New York Yankees (62-45, second in the AL East) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (65-40, first in the NL East) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 6:40 p.m. EDT. This is the first of a three-game series between these two powerhouse teams, and it promises to be an exciting matchup.
Philadelphia boasts an impressive 38-18 record at home and leads the NL East with a 65-40 overall record. The Phillies have been particularly strong in games where they score five or more runs, boasting a 46-6 record in such contests. On the other side, the Yankees have been formidable on the road, with a 35-22 away record and 62-45 overall. They have a stellar 49-9 record when out-hitting their opponents.
Recent performances have been a mixed bag for both teams. The Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 games with a .220 batting average and a 5.12 ERA, being outscored by 11 runs. The Yankees, meanwhile, are 4-6 in their last 10 games, hitting .277 with a 4.94 ERA and have been outscored by just one run.
The Phillies' lineup features standout performers like Bryce Harper, who has 22 doubles, 24 home runs, and 67 RBIs this season. Trea Turner has also been in good form, going 9-for-40 with three home runs and five RBIs over the last 10 games. For the Yankees, Aaron Judge continues to be a force with 37 home runs, 84 walks, and 96 RBIs while hitting .314. Juan Soto has also been hot, going 15-for-42 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs, and eight RBIs over the last 10 games.
Player Prop Odds
Juan Soto:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+220)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+280)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-170)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-115)
Player Analysis
Juan Soto has been on a tear recently, hitting .357 (15-for-42) over his last 10 games. He has shown his power with four home runs and has been driving in runs effectively with eight RBIs during this span. Soto's ability to get on base is unmatched, and he has been a consistent threat to opposing pitchers. His recent form suggests he is in a good position to continue his hot streak against the Phillies.
Opposing Analysis
Juan Soto will be facing Zack Wheeler, who has been one of the best pitchers in the league this season. Wheeler has a 10-4 record with a 2.55 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, and 133 strikeouts. However, Soto has proven he can handle top-tier pitching, and with the Phillies' bullpen struggling recently (5.12 ERA over the last 10 games), he may have opportunities later in the game to capitalize.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 10-4 | 2.55 | 133 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 10-5 | 3.10 | 124 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been strong offensively, ranking 5th in hits (916) and runs (512) while hitting .256 as a team (4th). Their pitching staff has been solid with a team ERA of 3.43, ranking 2nd in the league. Defensively, they have committed 59 errors, tied for 9th.
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies lead the league in runs scored (539) and have a team batting average of .250, ranking 11th. Their pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.67, which is 5th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 63 errors, ranking 7th.
Team Injuries
Yankees
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | C | Quadriceps | 10-Day IL |
| Cody Poteet | SP | Triceps | 15-Day IL |
Phillies
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | SP | Finger | 15-Day IL |
Recent Games
Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Boston | 8-2 | W |
| @ Boston | 11-8 F/10 | W |
| @ Boston | 9-7 | L |
| vs New York | 3-2 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | 6-4 | L |
Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cleveland | 4-3 | L |
| vs Cleveland | 8-0 | W |
| vs Cleveland | 3-1 | L |
| @ Minnesota | 3-0 | W |
| @ Minnesota | 7-2 | L |
Prediction
Juan Soto has been in exceptional form, and given his recent performance, backing him to hit a home run (+280) seems like a solid bet. Additionally, his ability to get on base makes the over 1.5 total bases (-115) an attractive option as well.
Pick: Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)
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