MLB Player Props Tips: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets 7/29

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 29, 2024, 3:17:11 AM
MLB Player Props Tips: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets 7/29
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Photo Credit: © Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Minnesota Twins will face off against the New York Mets on July 29th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is scheduled for 7:10 PM. The Twins come into this game with a 55-50 record, while the Mets hold a 58-46 record. Both teams have shown strong performances recently, making this an exciting matchup.
Historically, the Twins and Mets have had some competitive games, with both teams putting up strong offensive and defensive numbers. The Twins are currently ranked 6th in runs scored with 506, while the Mets are close behind with 505 runs, ranking 7th. On the pitching side, both teams have respectable ERAs, with the Twins at 4.19 (21st) and the Mets slightly better at 4.09 (20th). Given these stats, we can expect a competitive game with potential for high scoring.
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Player Prop Odds
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Francisco Alvarez Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+460)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+195)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+185)
Player Analysis
Francisco Alvarez has been a key player for the Mets this season, showcasing his ability to get on base and drive in runs. He has a batting average of .263, which is quite impressive. His ability to hit for power and average makes him a dangerous hitter in any situation. Alvarez has consistently contributed to the Mets' offense, and given his recent form, he is expected to continue this trend.
Opposing Analysis
Jose Quintana, the probable starting pitcher for the Twins, has had a mixed season. With a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 4.02, Quintana has shown flashes of brilliance but has also struggled at times. He has allowed 18 home runs this season, which could be a concern against a power hitter like Alvarez. The Twins' bullpen has been solid, but they will need Quintana to deliver a strong performance to contain the Mets' offense.
Pitching Probables
Here are the probable starting pitchers for the game:
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Woods Richardson | 3-1 | 3.27 | 1.11 | 88.0 | 73 | 76 | 25 | 8 |
| J. Quintana | 5-6 | 4.02 | 1.28 | 107.1 | 98 | 85 | 39 | 18 |
Team Previews
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have a balanced team with strengths in both hitting and pitching. They are ranked 6th in runs scored and have a decent team batting average of .248. Their pitching staff, led by Quintana, has been solid but not spectacular, with an ERA of 4.19. The Twins' defense has also been strong, committing only 70 errors this season, ranking 3rd in the league.
New York Mets
The Mets have a potent offense, ranking 7th in runs scored with a team batting average of .253. Their pitching staff has been slightly better than the Twins, with an ERA of 4.09. The Mets also have a strong bullpen, with 30 saves, ranking 7th in the league. Defensively, the Mets have committed 50 errors, ranking 24th, which could be a concern in close games.
Team Injuries
Minnesota Twins Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. CorreaCarlos Correa | SS | Mon, Jul 29 | Heel | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| K. FarmerKyle Farmer | 2B | Mon, Jul 29 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
New York Mets Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. BaderHarrison Bader | CF | Sun, Jul 28 | Ankle | Probable for Jul 29 |
| K. SengaKodai Senga | SP | Sun, Jul 28 | Calf | Out for the season |
Recent Games
Minnesota Twins Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Milwaukee | L8-4 F/12 | 54-43 | Junis 2-0 | Okert 3-1 | NaN | 41679 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Milwaukee | L8-7 | 54-44 | Koenig 8-1 | Jax 3-4 | Megill 19 | 36327 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Philadelphia | W7-2 | 55-44 | Ober 9-5 | Suarez 10-5 | Sands 3 | 29904 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Philadelphia | L3-0 | 55-45 | Soto 2-3 | Duran 5-5 | Strahm 1 | 31272 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs Philadelphia | W5-4 | 56-45 | Duran 6-5 | Soto 2-4 | NaN | 33813 |
New York Mets Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Miami | L6-4 | 49-47 | Bender 4-2 | Manaea 6-4 | Scott 15 | 16542 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Miami | W1-0 | 50-47 | Severino 7-3 | Munoz 1-5 | Diaz 11 | 21902 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Miami | L4-2 | 50-48 | Cronin 2-2 | Scott 0-3 | Scott 16 | 19418 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Miami | W6-4 | 51-48 | Peterson 5-0 | Chirinos 0-2 | Diaz 12 | 13068 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ New York | W3-2 | 52-48 | Quintana 5-6 | Tonkin 3-4 | Diekman 4 | 47453 |
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Prediction
Given Francisco Alvarez's recent form and the pitching matchup, we recommend betting on Francisco Alvarez to get over 0.5 hits at -140 odds. Alvarez has been consistent at the plate, and with Jose Quintana allowing a fair number of hits and home runs, it provides a good opportunity for Alvarez to excel.
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