```html MLB Player Props Tips: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/28

MLB Player Props Tips: Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/28

Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cleveland Guardians are set to face off in the rubber match of their three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. This pivotal game is scheduled for Sunday, July 28, 2024, at 1:35 p.m. EDT. Both teams are currently leading their respective divisions, with the Guardians holding a 62-42 record and sitting atop the AL Central, while the Phillies boast a 65-39 record, leading the NL East.

Recent performances have been mixed for both teams. The Phillies are 4-6 in their last ten games, with a batting average of .232 and an ERA of 5.22. They have been outscored by four runs during this span. On the other hand, the Guardians also have a 4-6 record in their last ten games, but their batting average is a lower .201, and they have a superior ERA of 3.17, though they have been outscored by 16 runs.

The Phillies have been dominant at home with a 38-17 record, while the Guardians have been decent on the road, holding a 29-27 record. Historically, these teams have been quite competitive against each other, with the current series tied 1-1.

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Player Prop Odds

For this matchup, one of the key player props to consider is for Phillies' outfielder, Nick Castellanos:

- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+295), Under 0.5 (-450)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+380), Under 0.5 (-650)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130), Under 0.5 (-180)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105), Under 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105), Under 1.5 (-140)

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Player Analysis

Nick Castellanos has been a key performer for the Phillies this season. Over the last 10 games, he has been on a tear, going 13-for-38 with six doubles, three home runs, and 11 RBIs. His ability to hit for both average and power makes him a constant threat at the plate. Castellanos's recent form suggests that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact.

Looking at his season stats, Castellanos has 22 doubles and 24 home runs, which highlights his ability to drive the ball into the gaps and over the fence. Given his current hot streak, betting on his props could yield some favorable results.

Opposing Analysis

The Guardians will be starting Joey Cantillo, who has yet to record a win or loss this season. Cantillo is an unproven commodity at the major league level, and this makes it challenging to predict how he will perform against a potent Phillies lineup. The Guardians’ bullpen, however, has been solid with a team ERA of 3.46, ranked second in the majors.

Despite the strong bullpen, the Guardians’ starting pitching depth is currently tested due to injuries, which could give Castellanos and the Phillies’ hitters a favorable matchup, particularly in the early innings.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Joey Cantillo (PHI)	0-0	--	--
Kolby Allard (CLE)	0-0	--	--

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Team Previews

Cleveland Guardians

• Hitting: The Guardians rank tied-5th in hits (899), 6th in runs (501), and 4th in batting average (.256). However, their slugging percentage is only 8th in the AL at .395.
• Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has been strong with a 3.46 ERA, the 2nd best in the majors, and 27 saves, which is tied for 10th.
• Fielding: They have committed 59 errors, which ranks them tied-9th in the league.
• Starting Pitching: With notable injuries, the Guardians are relying on less experienced starters, which has been a challenge.

Philadelphia Phillies

• Hitting: The Phillies have the 4th best team on-base percentage (.328) in the majors. They rank tied-20th in hits (819) and 13th in runs (474) with a team batting average of .241.
• Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been reliable with a 3.63 ERA, 4th in the majors, and they are tied for 1st in saves with 37.
• Fielding: They have committed 55 errors, which ranks them tied-14th in the league.
• Starting Pitching: Despite some injuries, the Phillies have managed to maintain solid performances from their starters.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Sam Hentges	RP	Sun, Jul 28	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Ranger Suarez	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Back	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
Alec Bohm	3B	Sat, Jul 27	Ankle	Probable for Jul 28

Recent Games

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Diego	W 7-0	W
vs San Diego	L 7-0	L
vs San Diego	L 2-1	L
vs Detroit	L 8-2	L
vs Detroit	W 5-4	W

Philadelphia Phillies

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Pittsburgh	L 8-7	L
@ Pittsburgh	L 4-1	L
@ Pittsburgh	W 6-0	W
@ Minnesota	L 7-2	L
@ Minnesota	W 3-0	W

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Prediction

Given Nick Castellanos's recent hot streak and the unproven nature of Joey Cantillo, it is reasonable to expect Castellanos to continue his excellent performance. The Phillies' offense has been potent, and Castellanos has been a significant contributor. The Guardians' bullpen, while strong, may not be enough to contain the Phillies' bats if the starting pitching falters.

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105) for Nick Castellanos.

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