MLB Player Props Tips: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27
- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 11:45:26 AM
MLB Player Props Tips: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/27
Photo Credit: © Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves (54-48, third in the NL East) take on the New York Mets (55-48, second in the NL East) on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at Citi Field in New York. This game is crucial for the Braves, who are looking to end their six-game losing streak and regain some momentum in the NL East standings. The Mets, on the other hand, aim to solidify their position in the division and extend their winning streak against a struggling Braves team.
The Mets have been solid at home with a 28-26 record and are 55-48 overall. New York has a remarkable 38-15 record in games where they score five or more runs, showcasing their offensive prowess. The Braves, with a 54-48 overall record and a 24-27 road record, have been impressive when out-hitting their opponents, boasting a 40-8 record in such scenarios. However, the recent slump has affected their overall performance.
This matchup marks the ninth meeting between these teams this season, with the Mets leading the season series 5-3. Key players to watch include Francisco Lindor for the Mets, who leads with 22 home runs and a .480 slugging percentage, and Marcell Ozuna for the Braves, who has a .308 batting average, 29 home runs, and 81 RBIs.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Nacho Alvarez Jr.:
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-120)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+270)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+160)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120)
Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+370)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+270)
Player Analysis
Nacho Alvarez Jr. has been a consistent performer for the Braves this season. With a .275 batting average and a knack for getting on base, Alvarez Jr. is a reliable hitter in the Braves' lineup. His ability to make contact and drive in runs makes him a key player to watch in this matchup against the Mets. Over the last 10 games, Alvarez Jr. has shown improvement, hitting .290 with several multi-hit games.
Opposing Analysis
The Mets' starting pitcher for this game, Tylor Megill, has struggled this season with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. Megill has given up 37 hits in 39 innings and has a tendency to allow baserunners, which could play into Alvarez Jr.'s strengths. The Mets' bullpen, while solid, has also had its moments of inconsistency, making it crucial for Megill to have a strong outing.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 3-5 | 4.62 | 49 |
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 2-4 | 5.08 | 49 |
Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
Hitting: The Braves rank 9th in hits (884) and 5th in runs (504) this season. Their batting average stands at .249, which is 11th in the league. Marcell Ozuna has been a standout performer with a .308 average, 29 home runs, and 81 RBIs.
Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has recorded 28 saves, ranking 9th in the league. However, their team ERA of 4.15 is 21st, indicating some struggles in maintaining leads.
Fielding: Defensively, the Braves have committed 70 errors, ranking 3rd in the league, which shows a need for improvement in fielding.
Starting Pitchers: With Spencer Schwellenbach on the mound, the Braves will look for a solid performance to offset their recent struggles. Schwellenbach has a 4.62 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 50.2 innings pitched.
New York Mets
Hitting: The Mets rank 18th in hits (825) and 21st in runs (428) this season. Their batting average is .240, also 18th in the league. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 22 home runs and a .480 slugging percentage.
Relief Pitching: The Mets' bullpen has been effective, with 26 saves, tied for 14th in the league. They have an impressive team ERA of 3.52, ranking 3rd overall.
Fielding: The Mets have committed only 45 errors, tied for 27th in the league, showcasing strong defensive skills.
Starting Pitchers: Tylor Megill has a 5.08 ERA and has allowed 37 hits in 39 innings. The Mets will need Megill to step up and deliver a quality start to keep their momentum going.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | SP | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | RF | 60-Day IL (knee) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | SP | Day-to-day (calf) |
| Shintaro Fujinami | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Harrison Bader | CF | Day-to-day (ankle) |
Recent Games
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| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | W 3-2 F/10 | Win |
| Jul 20 | vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | Loss |
| Jul 21 | vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | Loss |
| Jul 22 | vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | Loss |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ Miami | L 6-4 | Loss |
| Jul 20 | @ Miami | W 1-0 | Win |
| Jul 21 | @ Miami | L 4-2 | Loss |
| Jul 22 | @ Miami | W 6-4 | Win |
| Jul 23 | @ New York | W 3-2 | Win |
Prediction
Based on the current form and pitching matchups, Nacho Alvarez Jr. has a good chance to have a productive game. Given Tylor Megill's struggles this season, the prop bet for Alvarez Jr. to get over 0.5 hits at -120 odds looks favorable. Additionally, considering the Braves' recent offensive struggles and the need to break their losing streak, betting on Alvarez Jr. to have over 0.5 runs scored at +160 is also a solid option.
Pick: Nacho Alvarez Jr. Over 0.5 Hits (-120)
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