MLB Player Props Tips: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29

MLB Player Props Tips: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/29

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Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Atlanta Braves are set to face off in the first game of a three-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee on July 29, 2024, at 8:10 PM EDT. The Brewers currently sit atop the NL Central with a 60-45 record, while the Braves are second in the NL East with a 56-48 record. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as the season progresses.

Milwaukee has been impressive at home, boasting a 30-19 record. Their success can be attributed to their ability to out-hit opponents, achieving a remarkable 44-4 record when doing so. On the other hand, the Braves have struggled slightly on the road, holding a 26-27 record. However, Atlanta's pitching staff has been stellar, ranking second in the NL with a 3.48 ERA.

This matchup marks the first meeting between the two teams this season. The Brewers have some standout performers, including William Contreras, who is hitting .286 with 26 doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs. Rhys Hoskins has also been hot, going 7-for-32 with three home runs over the last 10 games. The Braves will rely on Austin Riley and Travis d'Arnaud, who have been impactful in recent games.

Recent form shows the Brewers going 6-4 in their last 10 games with a .254 batting average and a 3.42 ERA. The Braves, meanwhile, have struggled, going 4-6 with a .220 batting average and a 4.19 ERA over the same span.

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Player Prop Odds

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Matt Olson Player Prop Odds:

• Batter Doubles 0.5: Over +370.0 / Under -650.0
• Batter Home Runs 0.5: Over +390.0 / Under -650.0
• Batter RBIs 0.5: Over +165.0 / Under -230.0
• Batter Runs Scored 0.5: Over +130.0 / Under -175.0
• Batter Singles 0.5: Over +110.0 / Under -150.0
• Batter Total Bases 1.5: Over +125.0 / Under -170.0

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Player Analysis

Matt Olson has been one of the most consistent power hitters for the Atlanta Braves. Over the current season, Olson has accumulated impressive stats that make him a key player for prop bets. He has hit 18 home runs and driven in 57 RBIs while maintaining a batting average of .250. His ability to hit for power is reflected in his odds for home runs and total bases.

In recent games, Olson has shown a tendency to come through in clutch situations. His on-base percentage (OBP) of .340 indicates that he gets on base frequently, providing opportunities for runs scored and RBIs. He is particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, and with Colin Rea starting for the Brewers, Olson's chances of hitting a home run or driving in runs are favorable.

Opposing Analysis

Colin Rea (MIL) will be taking the mound for the Brewers. Rea has had a solid season with a 9-3 record, a 3.60 ERA, and 84 strikeouts over 110 innings pitched. Although Rea has been effective, he has allowed 14 home runs this season, which bodes well for Olson's chances of hitting one out of the park.

Rea tends to struggle against left-handed hitters, allowing a higher batting average and slugging percentage compared to right-handed hitters. This plays into Olson's strengths, as he is a left-handed power hitter. Additionally, the Brewers' bullpen has been reliable but can be vulnerable in high-leverage situations, providing Olson with more opportunities to drive in runs late in the game.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
G. Holmes (ATL)	0-0	2.70	0.94	23.1	17	21	5	0
C. Rea (MIL)	9-3	3.60	1.21	110.0	100	84	33	14

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

• Hitting: The Braves rank 7th in hits (907) and 5th in batting average (.254). They have a potent lineup capable of scoring runs in bunches.
• Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has recorded 35 saves, ranking 3rd in the league. Their relievers have been reliable in closing out games.
• Fielding: The Braves have committed 55 errors, ranking 16th in the league. Their defense is solid but not without occasional lapses.
• Starting Pitchers: Atlanta's starting rotation has a collective ERA of 3.48, ranking second in the NL. They have been instrumental in keeping the team competitive.

Milwaukee Brewers

• Hitting: The Brewers rank 19th in hits (839) and 21st in runs scored (441). Their offense has been inconsistent but has shown flashes of brilliance.
• Relief Pitching: Milwaukee's bullpen has recorded 26 saves, ranking tied for 15th in the league. They have been effective but can be vulnerable in certain situations.
• Fielding: The Brewers have committed 45 errors, ranking tied for 27th in the league. Their defense has been one of the more reliable aspects of their game.
• Starting Pitchers: The Brewers' starting rotation has a collective ERA of 3.47, ranking third in the NL. They have been a key factor in the team's success.

Team Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Player	Position	Injury Status
Reynaldo Lopez	SP	Day-to-Day (Forearm)
Michael Harris II	OF	60-Day IL (Hamstring)
Ozzie Albies	2B	10-Day IL (Wrist)
Max Fried	SP	15-Day IL (Forearm)

Milwaukee Brewers

Player	Position	Injury Status
Robert Gasser	RP	60-Day IL (Flexor)
Bryan Hudson	RP	15-Day IL (Oblique)
Rob Zastryzny	RP	15-Day IL (Elbow)
Christian Yelich	OF	10-Day IL (Back)

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ New York	9-2	W
@ New York	4-0	W
@ New York	8-4	L
@ New York	3-2	L
vs Cincinnati	4-1	L

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Miami	6-2	W
vs Miami	7-3	L
vs Miami	6-2	L
@ Chicago	3-2	W
@ Chicago	1-0	W

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Prediction

Matt Olson has been a reliable power hitter for the Braves, and considering Colin Rea's tendency to allow home runs, the prop bet for Olson hitting over 0.5 home runs at +390.0 presents good value. Additionally, Olson's ability to drive in runs makes the over 0.5 RBIs at +165.0 an attractive option.

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