MLB Player Props Projections: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros - 7/29

MLB Player Props Projections: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros

Date: July 29, 2024

Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas

Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates will face off against the Houston Astros in the first game of a three-game series at Minute Maid Park on Monday night. The Astros, with a 55-50 record, lead the AL West, while the Pirates, holding a 53-52 record, are currently third in the NL Central. Both teams are coming off mixed performances in their recent games and will be looking to gain an upper hand in this series opener.

The Astros boast a strong home record of 30-22 and have shown offensive prowess with a 43-26 record in games where they record eight or more hits. On the other hand, the Pirates have a somewhat balanced road record of 27-26 and possess the sixth-ranked team ERA in the NL at 3.83. This matchup will be the first time these two teams meet this season, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the contest.

Recent performances highlight the players to watch: Yordan Alvarez for the Astros, who has accumulated 25 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs, and 54 RBIs, and Oneil Cruz for the Pirates, who is in fine form with 13 hits in his last 40 at-bats, including five doubles, a triple, and three home runs.

For the Astros, standout player Jeremy Pena has also been in good form, going 14-for-38 with two doubles, two home runs, and six RBIs over the last 10 games. The Pirates have had a slightly better record in their last 10 games, going 6-4 compared to the Astros' 5-5, which could provide them with a slight edge going into this encounter.

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Player Prop Odds

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Here are the player prop odds for Ke'Bryan Hayes:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+440)
• Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+280)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+155)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+100)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130)
• Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+490)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150)

Player Analysis

Ke'Bryan Hayes has been a consistent performer for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. Known for his solid batting average and ability to get on base, Hayes has accumulated a respectable number of hits, doubles, and RBIs. His current statistics indicate a player who can impact the game in various ways, whether through driving in runs or getting into scoring positions himself.

Hayes' recent form has been impressive, with multiple games where he has recorded hits and RBIs. His ability to hit doubles and singles makes him a crucial player in the Pirates' lineup. With a batting average hovering around .262 and a history of performing well against right-handed pitchers, Hayes is a player to watch in this matchup against the Astros.

Opposing Analysis

Facing Ke'Bryan Hayes will be Houston Astros' pitcher Jake Bloss. Bloss has struggled this season, with a 0-1 record and a high ERA of 6.94. His WHIP of 1.63 and tendency to allow hits and runs suggest that he may find it challenging to contain Hayes and the rest of the Pirates' batting lineup.

The Astros' pitching staff, while generally strong, has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in games where they allow multiple hits. The Pirates' hitters could exploit these weaknesses, especially if Hayes can get on base and create scoring opportunities.

Pitching Probables

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Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Paul Skenes (PIT)	6-1	1.93	0.87	74.2	52	97	13	8
Jake Bloss (HOU)	0-1	6.94	1.63	11.2	16	11	3	5

Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates boast a strong hitting lineup, currently ranked second in the league in hits and average. Their team AVG is .262, and they've accumulated 943 hits and 492 runs. Their pitching staff has also performed admirably, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranking them sixth in the NL.

The Pirates' bullpen has been reliable, with 25 saves, and their defense, despite committing 43 errors, has generally supported their pitchers well. Key players like Oneil Cruz, who leads in home runs and RBIs, and Ke'Bryan Hayes, who contributes significantly to their hitting stats, make the Pirates a formidable team.

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros have struggled offensively this season, with a team AVG of .232 and ranking 25th in hits. However, their pitching staff has maintained a respectable ERA of 3.83, placing them 12th in the league. Their bullpen has secured 26 saves, showing their ability to close out games effectively.

Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena have been standout performers for the Astros, contributing significantly to their run production. Despite their lower offensive rankings, the Astros' strong pitching and home record provide them with a competitive edge in this matchup.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Daulton Jefferies (PIT)	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
Bennett Sousa (HOU)	RP	Shoulder	Out for the season

Recent Games

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Pittsburgh Pirates

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Philadelphia	8-7	W
Sat, Jul 20	vs Philadelphia	4-1	W
Sun, Jul 21	vs Philadelphia	0-6	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs St. Louis	2-1	W
Tue, Jul 23	vs St. Louis	1-2	L

Houston Astros

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Seattle	3-0	W
Sat, Jul 20	@ Seattle	4-2	W
Sun, Jul 21	@ Seattle	4-6	L
Mon, Jul 22	@ Oakland	0-4	L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Oakland	2-8	L

Prediction

Pick: Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+100)

Ke'Bryan Hayes has been in good form and faces a struggling pitcher in Jake Bloss. With Hayes' ability to get on base and the Pirates' overall batting strength, the odds of him scoring a run in this game are favorable. Considering the +100 odds, this prop bet offers good value for bettors.

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