MLB Player Props Projections: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/29
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:55:22 PM
MLB Player Props Projections: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/29
Photo Credit: © Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
On Monday, July 29th, the Philadelphia Phillies will host the New York Yankees at Citizens Bank Park for the first game of a three-game series. This matchup features two of the top teams in their respective divisions, with the Phillies leading the NL East with a 65-40 record and the Yankees sitting in second place in the AL East with a 62-45 record. Both teams have been competitive this season, showcasing strong offensive and defensive capabilities.
The Phillies have an impressive 38-18 record at home, reflecting their dominance at Citizens Bank Park. They have a remarkable 46-6 record in games where they scored five or more runs, indicating their offensive prowess. However, recent performances have been shaky, with a 3-7 record in their last ten games, coupled with a .220 batting average and a 5.12 ERA.
On the other hand, the Yankees have been solid on the road with a 35-22 record. They boast a 49-9 record in games where they have more hits than their opponents. Despite their recent struggles, going 4-6 in their last ten games, the Yankees have shown resilience. Their recent batting average of .277 and a slightly higher ERA of 4.94 suggest that they are capable of bouncing back.
This game marks the first meeting between these two teams this season, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup. With both teams vying for division supremacy, it promises to be an exciting contest.
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Player Prop Odds
Trea Turner's Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+380)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+220)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+400)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+155)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-155)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105)
Player Analysis
Trea Turner has been a key contributor for the Phillies this season. With 22 doubles, 24 home runs, and 67 RBIs, Turner's ability to impact the game offensively is evident. In his last ten games, Turner is 9-for-40 with three home runs and five RBIs, reflecting his recent form. His versatility and speed make him a threat on the bases, and his ability to get on base consistently puts him in scoring positions frequently.
Opposing Analysis
Turner will be facing Yankees' starter Luis Gil, who has had an impressive season with a 10-5 record, a 3.10 ERA, and 124 strikeouts. Gil's ability to limit hits and runs will be a significant challenge for Turner. However, the Yankees’ bullpen has shown vulnerability, and if Turner can get past Gil, he could exploit the relief pitching.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil | Yankees | 10-5 | 3.10 | 124 |
| Zack Wheeler | Phillies | 10-4 | 2.55 | 133 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
The Yankees have been formidable this season, ranking high in several key statistical categories. They are fifth in hits (916), fifth in runs (512), and fourth in batting average (.256). Their pitching staff has also been strong, with a team ERA of 3.43, ranking second in the league. Defensively, they have committed 59 errors, placing them in the top ten for least errors committed.
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies lead the league in runs scored (539) and have a solid batting average (.250). Their pitching staff, led by starters like Zack Wheeler, has a respectable ERA of 3.67, ranking fifth in the league. However, their defense has been a concern, with 63 errors, placing them seventh in the league for most errors committed.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | C | 10-Day IL (quadriceps) |
| Cody Poteet | SP | 15-Day IL (triceps) |
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Clarke Schmidt | SP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | 15-Day IL (index finger) |
| Spencer Turnbull | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Tampa Bay | L 6-4 | L |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Tampa Bay | W 9-1 | W |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs New York | L 3-2 | L |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Minnesota | W 3-0 | W |
Prediction
Given Trea Turner's recent form and the odds provided, the most favorable bet appears to be on Turner to score over 0.5 runs at -155. Turner has been getting on base consistently and with the Phillies' strong offensive support, he stands a good chance of crossing home plate at least once during the game.
Pick: Trea Turner Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-155).
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