MLB Player Props Projections: Nationals vs Cardinals 7/28

- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:12:18 AM
MLB Player Props Projections: Nationals vs Cardinals 7/28
Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The game is set to start at 2:15 p.m. EDT. The Nationals are looking to continue their momentum after a standout performance from James Wood, who had four hits in their last game against the Cardinals. St. Louis, however, will aim to bounce back from this defeat and leverage their home-field advantage.
Both teams have had an up-and-down season. The Cardinals, with a 53-51 record, are second in the NL Central and have been fairly consistent at home with a 26-24 record. The Nationals, sitting at 49-56, are fourth in the NL East and have a 26-29 away record. Interestingly, the season series between these teams is tied at 3-3, making this game a crucial tiebreaker.
Recent performances show that the Cardinals have struggled in their last 10 games, going 4-6 with a batting average of .254 and an ERA of 5.25. On the other hand, the Nationals have been slightly better, with a 6-4 record, a .249 batting average, and a 5.30 ERA in their last 10 games. Both teams have had issues with their pitching, which could make for a high-scoring affair.
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Player Prop Odds
Michael Siani Player Prop Odds:
**Batter Hits**: Over 0.5 (-120), Under 0.5 (-115)
**Batter RBIs**: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-500)
**Batter Runs Scored**: Over 0.5 (+190), Under 0.5 (-270)
**Batter Singles**: Over 0.5 (+125), Under 0.5 (-170)
**Batter Stolen Bases**: Over 0.5 (+450), Under 0.5 (-800)
**Batter Total Bases**: Over 0.5 (-120), Under 0.5 (-115)
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Player Analysis
Michael Siani has been a crucial part of the Nationals' lineup. In the last 10 games, Siani has shown a consistent batting performance and has managed to contribute significantly to the team's offense. His current season stats include a batting average of .287, with 21 doubles, six triples, and 15 home runs. Siani's speed on the bases has also been a notable attribute, making him a threat for stolen bases.
Opposing Analysis
For this game, Siani will face off against Cardinals' pitcher Miles Mikolas. Mikolas has had a mixed season with an 8-8 record and an ERA of 5.02. He has allowed 126 hits in 118.1 innings pitched and has a WHIP of 1.23. Mikolas has been vulnerable to batters with high contact rates, which could play into Siani's strengths. The Cardinals' bullpen has also had its struggles, which might provide Siani with additional opportunities to get on base and score.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Herz (WAS) | 1-4 | 4.95 | 1.40 | 36.1 | 40 | 45 | 11 | 8 |
| M. Mikolas (STL) | 8-8 | 5.02 | 1.23 | 118.1 | 126 | 80 | 19 | 18 |
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Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have had a middling season so far, with a 49-56 record. They rank 15th in the league for hits with 859 and 22nd for runs with 426. Their team batting average stands at .245, placing them 14th overall. The Nationals' pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.00, ranking 17th in the league. Their bullpen has been a strong point, leading the league with 37 saves. However, their defense has been lacking, ranking 26th with 46 errors.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals, with their 53-51 record, have shown moments of brilliance but have struggled with consistency. They rank 22nd in hits with 815 and 20th in runs with 433. Their team batting average is .237, placing them 19th overall. The Cardinals' pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.22, ranking 22nd in the league. Their bullpen has secured 29 saves, ranking 8th. Defensively, they have committed 59 errors, placing them in the bottom half of the league.
Team Injuries
Washington Nationals
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Weems | RP | 15-Day IL (shin) |
| Josiah Gray | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Joey Gallo | OF | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Trevor Williams | SP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Cade Cavalli | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Mason Thompson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Keynan Middleton | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Nick Robertson | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Riley O'Brien | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tommy Edman | INF | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Drew Rom | RP | 60-Day IL (biceps) |
Recent Games
Washington Nationals
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Cincinnati | W 8-5 | Win |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Cincinnati | W 5-4 | Win |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Cincinnati | W 5-2 | Win |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Diego | L 4-0 | Loss |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs San Diego | L 12-3 | Loss |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | L 3-2 F/10 | Loss |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Atlanta | W 9-5 | Win |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Atlanta | W 6-2 | Win |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Pittsburgh | L 2-1 | Loss |
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Prediction
Based on the matchup and the current form of both teams, the Nationals seem to have a slight edge. Michael Siani has been in good form and could potentially have a significant impact on this game. Considering the struggles of Miles Mikolas and the Cardinals' bullpen, Siani has a good chance to get on base and possibly score.
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits for Michael Siani (-120)
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