MLB Player Props Projections: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 25, 2024, 10:58:37 AM
MLB Player Props Projections: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins 7/25
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Photo Credit: © Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles (60-41, first in the AL East) will face off against the Miami Marlins (37-65, fifth in the NL East) at loanDepot park in Miami on Thursday, July 25th, at 12:10 PM EDT. The Orioles are looking to break a three-game road losing streak, while the Marlins aim to capitalize on their recent good form at home.
Recent performance for both teams has been a mixed bag. The Orioles are 3-7 in their last 10 games, with a .228 batting average and a 4.86 ERA, having been outscored by 14 runs during this stretch. On the other hand, the Marlins are 5-5 in their last 10 games, boasting a .287 batting average and a 4.14 ERA, although they have been outscored by two runs over these games.
Historically, these teams have met twice this season, with each team securing a win. The Orioles, who have one of the best team batting averages in MLB at .252, will be looking to leverage their offensive strengths, while the Marlins’ chances will depend heavily on their ability to outperform the Orioles in hits, given their 27-12 record in such games.
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Player Prop Odds
Corbin Burnes (Pitcher) - Record a Win: Yes: -155
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Player Analysis
Corbin Burnes has been a standout performer for the Orioles this season, boasting a 10-4 record with a 2.38 ERA and 116 strikeouts. His WHIP stands at an impressive 1.04, showcasing his ability to limit base runners effectively. Burnes’ consistency and ability to dominate opponents make him a pivotal figure in the Orioles' rotation.
In his recent outings, Burnes has continued to demonstrate his prowess on the mound, delivering quality starts and minimizing damage. His strikeout ability, combined with excellent control, positions him well against a Marlins lineup that, while improved, still struggles against top-tier pitching.
Opposing Analysis
The Miami Marlins' offense has shown flashes of potential, but they have struggled for consistency. Jazz Chisholm and Xavier Edwards have been key performers for the Marlins, with Chisholm hitting 14 doubles, four triples, and 13 home runs this season. Edwards, on the other hand, has been on fire recently, going 14-for-33 with a double over the last 10 games.
However, the Marlins' lineup will face a tough challenge in Burnes. Miami's struggles against high-quality pitching have been evident, and Burnes' ability to control the game from the mound could limit their scoring opportunities significantly.
Pitching Probables
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Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have been one of the stronger teams in the AL East this season, with a solid 60-41 record. Their batting lineup, led by Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander, has been productive, with Henderson boasting a .285 average and 28 home runs. Santander has also been a key contributor with 27 home runs and 66 RBIs.
Pitching has been a mixed bag for Baltimore, with a team ERA of 3.73, but Burnes has been the anchor of their rotation. The bullpen has had its struggles, ranking 27th in saves with just 20, but the starting rotation has done enough to keep them competitive.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have had a tough season, reflected in their 37-65 record. Despite their struggles, players like Jazz Chisholm and Bryan De La Cruz have provided some bright spots. Chisholm leads the team with a .251 average and 49 RBIs, while De La Cruz has hit 17 home runs.
Miami's pitching staff has struggled, with Roddery Munoz posting a 5.14 ERA and just one win against five losses. The bullpen has been a bit more reliable, ranking 6th in saves with 31, but the overall pitching performance has been below par.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Elbow | Day-to-Day |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | Finger | 60-Day IL |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Texas | W 9-1 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Texas | W 8-4 | W |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Texas | L 3-2 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Miami | L 6-3 | L |
Miami Marlins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | W |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | L |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | W |
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Prediction
Given the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, Corbin Burnes stands a strong chance of recording a win. The Marlins have struggled against high-quality pitching, and Burnes’ consistency and ability to control the game should give the Orioles the edge.
Pick: Corbin Burnes to Record a Win - Yes (-155)
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