MLB Player Props Predictions Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks – 7/28

MLB Player Props Predictions Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks – 7/28

Photo Credit: © Owen Ziliak/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-52) face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (55-50) at Chase Field in Phoenix on Sunday, July 28th, 2025, at 4:10 p.m. EDT. The Diamondbacks are coming off a 9-5 victory over the Pirates, thanks to an impressive performance by Jake McCarthy, who had five hits in the game. Arizona is looking to continue their momentum with a solid home record of 28-24, while Pittsburgh aims to improve their road performance, which currently stands at 26-26.

Historically, these two teams have had competitive matchups, with both teams displaying strong offensive and defensive capabilities. The Diamondbacks have an edge with the fifth-best team on-base percentage in MLB play at .326, while the Pirates have shown resilience with a 38-4 record in games where they have more hits than their opponents.

Both teams have been performing well in their last ten games, with the Diamondbacks posting a 7-3 record and the Pirates going 6-4. Key players to watch include Ketel Marte for the Diamondbacks, who leads the team with 45 extra base hits, and Corbin Carroll, who has been on a hot streak with four home runs and 11 RBIs in the last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

Michael A. Taylor Player Props:

• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-115), Under 0.5 (-115)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+260), Under 0.5 (-380)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+190), Under 0.5 (-270)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+150), Under 0.5 (-205)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-115), Under 0.5 (-115)

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Player Analysis

Michael A. Taylor has been a key contributor for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. With a batting average of .252, 16 home runs, and 52 RBIs, Taylor's offensive capabilities make him a significant player to watch in this matchup. In his recent games, Taylor has shown consistency in getting on base and driving in runs, making him a valuable asset for the Pirates.

One of Taylor's strengths is his ability to hit for power and average, which is evident from his total bases and home run stats. He has a knack for coming through in clutch situations, making him a potential game-changer against the Diamondbacks.

Opposing Analysis

Arizona Diamondbacks' pitching staff will have their hands full with Michael A. Taylor. The Diamondbacks are set to start Yilber Diaz, who has a 1-1 record with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Diaz has struggled in his limited appearances, allowing 17 hits and 7 strikeouts over 15 innings pitched.

Given Diaz's struggles, the Diamondbacks' bullpen will need to be on high alert when facing Taylor. The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been relatively solid, with a team ERA of 3.78, but they will need to execute their pitches carefully to avoid giving Taylor easy opportunities to get on base or drive in runs.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Mitch Keller (PIT)	10-5	3.34	108
Yilber Diaz (ARI)	1-1	5.40	7

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

Hitting: The Pirates rank 8th in hits (888) and 3rd in runs (513) while maintaining a team batting average of .253. They have shown a balanced offensive attack, with contributions from key players like Michael A. Taylor and Oneil Cruz.

Relief Pitching: The Pirates' bullpen has 24 saves, ranking them tied for 19th in the league. Their team ERA is a concerning 4.49, placing them 26th overall, indicating that their bullpen has struggled at times this season.

Fielding: Defensively, the Pirates have committed 42 errors, ranking them 30th in the league. This is an area they will need to tighten up to support their pitching staff better.

Starting Pitchers: Mitch Keller has been a standout with a 10-5 record and a 3.34 ERA. His consistency will be crucial for the Pirates in this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Hitting: The Diamondbacks rank 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs (425) with a team batting average of .232. Despite these low rankings, their on-base percentage of .326 is the fifth-best in MLB, showing their ability to draw walks and get on base.

Relief Pitching: The Diamondbacks' bullpen has been reliable with 26 saves, ranking them tied for 14th. Their team ERA of 3.78 places them 11th overall, indicating a strong pitching staff that can shut down opposing offenses.

Fielding: Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 50 errors, ranking them tied for 21st. Improving their fielding could help support their pitchers in high-pressure situations.

Starting Pitchers: Yilber Diaz has had a rough start with a 5.40 ERA. The Diamondbacks will need a strong performance from him to contain the Pirates' offense.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Bailey Falter	SP	Arm	15-Day IL
Daulton Jefferies	RP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Jared Jones	SP	Lat	15-Day IL
Ryan Borucki	RP	Tricep	60-Day IL
Dauri Moreta	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Endy Rodriguez	C	Elbow	60-Day IL
Johan Oviedo	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Blake Walston	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Merrill Kelly	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Kyle Nelson	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	Shoulder	60-Day IL
Drey Jameson	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent	Score	Result
vs Philadelphia	8-7	W
vs Philadelphia	4-1	W
vs Philadelphia	0-6	L
vs St. Louis	2-1	W
vs St. Louis	1-2	L

Arizona Diamondbacks

Opponent	Score	Result
@ Chicago	5-2	W
@ Chicago	3-0	W
@ Chicago	1-2 F/10	L
@ Kansas City	4-10	L
@ Kansas City	6-2	W

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Prediction

Considering Michael A. Taylor's recent form and the struggles of Yilber Diaz on the mound for the Diamondbacks, the prop bet for Taylor to get over 0.5 hits at -115 odds looks promising. Taylor's consistent hitting ability and Diaz's high ERA suggest that Taylor will have opportunities to get on base.

Pick: Over 0.5 hits (-115)

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