MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 26, 2024, 9:58:32 AM
MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/26
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Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50) will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50) at Chase Field in Phoenix on Friday, 9:40 p.m. EDT. This matchup is highly anticipated as both teams are vying for a stronger position in their respective divisions. The Diamondbacks, with a 26-24 record at home, have showcased a robust offensive lineup, boasting the ninth-best team slugging percentage in MLB at .410. The Pirates, mirroring Arizona's home record with a 26-24 record on the road, have been impressive with a remarkable 38-4 record when out-hitting their opponents.
Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 43 extra base hits, including 23 home runs, while Ketel Marte has been on fire, going 15-for-36 with four home runs and 12 RBIs over the past 10 games. On the other side, Connor Joe and Oneil Cruz have been pivotal for the Pirates. Joe has contributed significantly with 18 doubles, seven home runs, and 30 RBIs, while Cruz has been equally impressive, going 12-for-39 with five doubles and two home runs in his last 10 games.
Both teams come into this game with solid recent performances. The Diamondbacks have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games with a .246 batting average and a 3.33 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 17 runs. The Pirates, however, have been even more dominant, going 8-2 with a .256 batting average and an impressive 2.10 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 16 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
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Oneil Cruz Prop Bets:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5 (+350)
- Batter Hits Over 1.5 (+230)
- Batter Home Runs Over 0.5 (+440)
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5 (+150)
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Singles Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5 (+110)
Player Analysis
Oneil Cruz has been a standout performer for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. With a batting average of .250, he has accumulated 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. Cruz has been particularly effective over the past 10 games, going 12-for-39 with five doubles and two home runs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs has been pivotal for the Pirates. Given his recent form, Cruz is a strong candidate to hit the over on several prop bets, especially in categories like total bases and RBIs.
Opposing Analysis
The Arizona Diamondbacks will be starting Zac Gallen, who has a record of 7-5 with a 3.64 ERA and 80 strikeouts. Gallen has been effective but has shown vulnerabilities, especially against power hitters. Given Cruz's recent form and Gallen's susceptibility to giving up home runs (8 in 81.2 innings), Cruz has a good chance to capitalize in this matchup. The Diamondbacks bullpen, while solid, has also shown cracks, making Cruz's prop bets even more appealing.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 5-2 | 2.57 | 59 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 7-5 | 3.64 | 80 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have been a steady force this season with a record of 52-50. Offensively, they rank 8th in hits (879) and 3rd in runs (509). Their team batting average stands at .252, 9th in the league. However, their pitching has been less impressive with an ERA of 4.50, ranking 26th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 42 errors, the fewest in MLB.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona holds a 53-50 record and has shown strength in their pitching with an ERA of 3.77, 11th in the league. Offensively, they have struggled, ranking 25th in hits (800) and 23rd in runs scored (422). Their batting average is .232, 26th in MLB. The Diamondbacks have committed 50 errors, placing them 20th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
Recent Games
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| Pittsburgh Pirates | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
| Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L 2-1 | L |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W 5-2 | W |
| Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W 3-0 | W |
| Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L 2-1 | L |
| Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L 10-4 | L |
| Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W 6-2 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Oneil Cruz has been in excellent form recently, and with Zac Gallen's tendency to give up home runs, Cruz has a high probability of hitting the over on total bases. His recent performance, coupled with Gallen's vulnerabilities, makes this a strong pick for tonight's game.
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