MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Padres vs Orioles 7/26
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 26, 2024, 8:50:46 AM
MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles
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Photo Credit: © Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The San Diego Padres, riding a five-game win streak, face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 7:05 PM EDT. The Padres (55-50) are currently second in the NL West, while the Orioles (61-41) lead the AL East. This matchup marks the first meeting of the season between these two teams.
The Orioles have been dominant at home with a 30-22 record and lead the AL with 160 home runs this season. Key players like Gunnar Henderson, who boasts a .284 batting average and 28 home runs, have been instrumental in their success. Meanwhile, the Padres have a solid road record of 29-22 and are particularly formidable when scoring at least five runs, holding a 40-5 record in such games. Jurickson Profar and Kyle Higashioka have been key contributors in their recent success, with Higashioka hitting 10-for-32 with three home runs in the last 10 games.
The Orioles have faced some challenges in their last 10 games, going 4-6 with a .234 batting average and a 4.81 ERA. In contrast, the Padres have been in better form, going 6-4 with a .261 batting average and a 2.43 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 11 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
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- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+300)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+190)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+350)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+120)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 1.5 (+310)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+490)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-120)
Player Analysis: Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson has been a standout performer for the Orioles this season. With a batting average of .284, he leads the team with 28 home runs and has contributed significantly with 67 RBIs. Over the past 10 games, Henderson has maintained his impressive form, consistently delivering key hits and driving in runs. His ability to hit for both power and average makes him a constant threat at the plate.
Opposing Analysis: San Diego Padres' Pitching
The Padres will be starting Adam Mazur, who has had a challenging season so far. Mazur holds a 1-3 record with a 7.84 ERA and a WHIP of 1.84. In 31 innings pitched, he has allowed 38 hits and 19 walks while striking out 21 batters. The Padres' bullpen, however, has been more reliable, with notable performances from key relievers.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Mazur (SD) | 1-3 | 7.84 | 1.84 | 31.0 | 38 | 21 | 19 | 5 |
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 12-4 | 3.83 | 1.22 | 105.2 | 96 | 120 | 33 | 13 |
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Team Previews
San Diego Padres
The Padres have been solid offensively, ranking 6th in hits (891) and 4th in runs (506) with a team batting average of .253. Their pitching staff has also been reliable, posting a team ERA of 3.73, which ranks 7th in the league. Defensively, the Padres have committed 46 errors, tying for 25th.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles lead the league in hits (934) and batting average (.262). They have been consistent in driving runs, ranking 12th in runs scored (476). Their pitching staff, led by Grayson Rodriguez, has a team ERA of 4.03. The Orioles' defensive fielding has seen them commit 50 errors this season, ranking 20th.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | RP | 15-Day IL (adductor) |
| Joe Musgrove | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | SS | 10-Day IL (quadricep) |
| Luis Patino | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | 10-Day IL (elbow) |
| Albert Suarez | RP | day-to-day (shin) |
| Danny Coulombe | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Kyle Bradish | SP | 60-Day IL (ucl sprain) |
| Tyler Wells | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| John Means | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Felix Bautista | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
San Diego Padres
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cleveland | 0-7 | L |
| @ Cleveland | 7-0 | W |
| @ Cleveland | 2-1 | W |
| @ Washington | 4-0 | W |
| @ Washington | 12-3 | W |
Baltimore Orioles
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Texas | 9-1 | W |
| @ Texas | 8-4 | W |
| @ Texas | 2-3 | L |
| @ Miami | 3-6 | L |
| @ Miami | 3-6 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Gunnar Henderson (-120)
Gunnar Henderson has been in excellent form, and given the struggles of Padres starter Adam Mazur, Henderson is likely to have multiple opportunities to rack up total bases. With Henderson's power and consistency, the over 1.5 total bases at -120 presents strong value.
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