MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 27, 2024, 11:55:55 AM
MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Photo Credit: © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers in the second game of a three-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee on Saturday, July 27, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Marlins currently lead the series 1-0 after securing a 6-2 victory in the first game. The Brewers, who hold a solid 29-18 record at home, are looking to bounce back and maintain their first-place standing in the NL Central with a 59-44 overall record. On the other hand, the Marlins, who are struggling in the fifth position in the NL East with a 38-66 record, aim to build on their recent win and improve their 16-32 road record.
Historically, the Marlins have had the upper hand in this season series, leading 3-1 in their matchups against the Brewers. The Brewers have shown a strong performance when recording eight or more hits, holding a 44-16 record in such games. Meanwhile, the Marlins have performed well when out-hitting their opponents, boasting a 28-12 record in these situations.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Otto Lopez:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+425)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+240)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+255), Under 0.5 (-380)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+150), Under 0.5 (-210)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150), Under 1.5 (-200)
Player Analysis
Otto Lopez has been a consistent performer for the Marlins. With a solid batting average and the ability to get on base frequently, Lopez has proven to be a valuable asset in the Marlins' lineup. Over the past 10 games, Lopez has shown a knack for hitting, going 14-for-33 with six RBIs. His ability to hit for average, combined with his speed on the basepaths, makes him a threat to score runs and accumulate total bases.
Opposing Analysis
For the Brewers, Aaron Civale will take the mound. Civale has struggled this season, holding a 2-7 record with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Opposing batters have found success against Civale, hitting him for a high average and driving in runs consistently. Civale has given up 107 hits in 102.2 innings pitched, which bodes well for Lopez's chances of getting on base and potentially driving in runs.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 2-0 | 2.12 | 0.82 | 17.0 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 2 |
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 2-7 | 5.00 | 1.39 | 102.2 | 107 | 102 | 36 | 21 |
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Team Previews
Miami Marlins
Hitting: The Marlins have been a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of hitting, ranking 7th in hits (890) and tied for 8th in runs (489). They boast a team batting average of .254, ranking 6th in the league. Key players like Bryan De La Cruz and Xavier Edwards have been instrumental in their offensive production.
Relief Pitching: The Marlins have a strong bullpen, ranking 3rd in saves with 35. Their bullpen's effectiveness has been a crucial factor in their ability to close out games.
Fielding: Defensively, the Marlins have committed 55 errors, which places them tied for 14th in the league. Their fielding has been relatively solid, contributing to their overall performance.
Starting Pitchers: Max Meyer has been a standout in the Marlins' rotation with a 2.12 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP over 17 innings pitched. His ability to limit hits and strike out batters has made him a reliable starter.
Milwaukee Brewers
Hitting: The Brewers have struggled offensively, ranking 17th in hits (831) and 29th in runs (374). Their team batting average of .236 ranks 20th in the league. Players like William Contreras and Jackson Chourio have been key contributors, but the team needs more consistent production across the lineup.
Relief Pitching: The Brewers' bullpen has been less effective, ranking tied for 27th in saves with 20. This has been an area of concern for the team, particularly in close games.
Fielding: The Brewers have committed 75 errors, the most in the league. Their defensive struggles have added to their challenges this season.
Starting Pitchers: Aaron Civale has had a tough season, with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 102.2 innings. His inconsistency on the mound has been a significant issue for the Brewers.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Out for the season |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Zastryzny | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
| Devin Williams | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs New York | W 6-4 | Win |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs New York | L 1-0 | Loss |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs New York | W 4-2 | Win |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs New York | L 6-4 | Loss |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Baltimore | W 6-3 | Win |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Minnesota | W 8-4 F/12 | Win |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Minnesota | W 8-7 | Win |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Chicago | L 3-1 | Loss |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Chicago | W 1-0 | Win |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Chicago | W 3-2 | Win |
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Prediction
Given Otto Lopez's recent performance and Aaron Civale's struggles on the mound, the prop bet for Lopez to get over 1.5 hits at +240 odds appears to be a strong value. Lopez's ability to hit consistently and Civale's tendency to give up hits make this a promising bet.
Pick: Over 1.5 Hits (+240)
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