MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Guardians vs Tigers 7/29

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:25:49 AM
MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Guardians vs Tigers 7/29
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Photo Credit: © Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers (52-55) will host the Cleveland Guardians (63-42) tonight at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. This game marks the start of a two-game series between these divisional rivals. The Tigers sit fourth in the AL Central, while the Guardians lead the division. Both teams have had a mixed bag of performances recently, with each team going 5-5 in their last ten games. The Tigers have been particularly strong at home, posting a 25-26 record, and they boast an impressive 24-4 mark in games where they hit at least two home runs. Conversely, the Guardians have had a solid road showing with a 30-27 record away from Progressive Field. The season series has been tight, with the Tigers holding a slight 6-5 edge over the Guardians.
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Player Prop Odds
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Mark Canha Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+370), Under 0.5 (-650)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+185), Under 0.5 (-265)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+155), Under 0.5 (-215)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-125)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+150), Under 1.5 (-205)
Player Analysis
Mark Canha has been a solid contributor for the Guardians this season. With a batting average of .256, he has shown consistency at the plate. Canha's ability to get on base and drive in runs has been crucial for Cleveland. He has managed to hit 13 home runs and has an OBP of .342, making him a reliable presence in the lineup. In his last ten games, Canha has been productive, going 10-for-37 with a home run and five RBIs. His recent form suggests he could be a key player in tonight's matchup against the Tigers.
Opposing Analysis
The Tigers will counter with Jack Flaherty on the mound. Flaherty has been dominant this season, boasting a 2.95 ERA and a WHIP of 0.96. He has struck out 133 batters over 106.2 innings pitched, making him a formidable opponent. The Guardians will have to be patient at the plate, as Flaherty has only allowed 19 walks this season. However, he is susceptible to giving up home runs, having allowed 15 so far. The Guardians' lineup, which ranks seventh in the AL with a .240 team batting average, will need to capitalize on any mistakes Flaherty makes.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | Guardians | 8-4 | 3.50 | 130 |
| Jack Flaherty | Tigers | 7-5 | 2.95 | 133 |
Team Previews
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians have a well-rounded team with strengths in various departments. Offensively, they rank seventh in the AL with a .240 team batting average. Jose Ramirez and Steven Kwan have been standout performers, with Ramirez leading the team in home runs (24) and RBIs (82), and Kwan boasting a .342 batting average. The Guardians' pitching staff has also been solid, with an overall ERA of 3.67, ranking fourth in the AL. Their bullpen has been reliable, with 38 saves, the most in the league.
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers have shown flashes of brilliance this season, particularly when it comes to hitting home runs. They have a 24-4 record in games where they hit two or more home runs. Matt Vierling has been a key contributor, leading the team with 13 home runs and 42 RBIs. On the mound, Jack Flaherty has been their ace, with a 2.95 ERA and 133 strikeouts. The Tigers' bullpen has also been effective, with a 3.92 ERA and 23 saves, ranking them among the top in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene | LF | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | Spine | 60-Day IL |
| Reese Olson | SP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Parker Meadows | CF | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Casey Mize | SP | Hamstring | 15-Day IL |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | SP | Groin | 60-Day IL |
| Sam Hentges | RP | Undisclosed | 15-Day IL |
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Shane Bieber | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Trevor Stephan | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| James Karinchak | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| San Diego | 7-0 | W |
| San Diego | 0-7 | L |
| San Diego | 1-2 | L |
| Detroit | 2-8 | L |
| Detroit | 5-4 | W |
Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 5-4 | W |
| Toronto | 7-3 | W |
| Toronto | 4-5 | L |
| Cleveland | 8-2 | W |
| Cleveland | 4-5 | L |
Prediction
Considering the recent form and the pitching matchup, Mark Canha's performance will be pivotal. Given Flaherty's susceptibility to home runs and Canha's current form, the prop bet for Canha to score over 0.5 runs (+155) looks promising. Additionally, backing Canha to get over 1.5 total bases (+150) could be a profitable bet given his capability to hit for both power and average.
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