MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Braves vs Mets 7/25

- Mr Wager
- Jul 25, 2024, 8:37:01 AM
MLB Player Props Predictions for Today: Braves vs Mets 7/25
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Photo Credit: © James J. Connolly/Correspondent
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves (54-46, second in the NL East) face off against the New York Mets (53-48, third in the NL East) at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Braves are on a four-game losing streak and are looking to bounce back with a victory against their divisional rivals.
New York holds a 53-48 record overall and an even 26-26 record at home. The Mets have shown power at the plate with a 26-10 record in games where they’ve hit at least two home runs. On the other hand, Atlanta is 24-25 on the road and 54-46 overall. Braves hitters have a collective .241 batting average, ranking them 10th in the NL.
This game will be the seventh meeting between these teams this season, with the season series tied at 3-3. Key players to watch include Francisco Lindor, who leads the Mets with a .259 batting average, 27 doubles, 21 home runs, 40 walks, and 60 RBIs, and Marcell Ozuna of the Braves, who leads his team with 48 extra-base hits, including 20 doubles and 28 home runs.
Both teams have been performing differently over their last 10 games. The Mets have a 7-3 record with a .265 batting average and a 3.68 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 18 runs. The Braves, however, are 3-7 with a .221 batting average and a 4.60 ERA, being outscored by 14 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
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J.D. Martinez Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450.0)
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-170.0)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+195.0)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+115.0)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110.0)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155.0)
Player Analysis
J.D. Martinez has been a consistent performer for the Braves this season. With a batting average of .282, he’s not only a threat for extra-base hits but also a reliable source of runs and RBIs. Martinez has showcased his power with 25 home runs and 68 RBIs so far. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset, especially against a Mets pitching staff that has its ups and downs.
Opposing Analysis
The Mets will have Luis Severino on the mound. Severino has a 7-3 record with a 3.58 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 115.2 innings pitched. While he has been effective, he has had some issues with control, issuing 40 walks and allowing 12 home runs this season. The Braves could exploit Severino's weaknesses, especially with a hitter like J.D. Martinez, who has a knack for capitalizing on mistakes.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | 13-3 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 110.0 | 81 | 140 | 24 | 7 |
| Luis Severino | 7-3 | 3.58 | 1.18 | 115.2 | 96 | 88 | 40 | 12 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have been a formidable team this season, despite their recent struggles. With a collective batting average of .241, they rank 10th in the National League. Their lineup is filled with power hitters like Marcell Ozuna and J.D. Martinez, who can change the game with one swing. The Braves' bullpen has also been reliable, with 28 saves ranking them 9th in the league.
New York Mets
The Mets are a balanced team, boasting strong performances both at the plate and on the mound. They have a collective batting average of .241, tying them for 17th in the league, but their real strength lies in their pitching staff. With an ERA of 3.52, the Mets rank 3rd in the league. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are key contributors on offense, while their bullpen has been stellar with 26 saves.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | Wed, Jul 24 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Aug 14 |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | Wed, Jul 24 | Wrist | 10-Day IL |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Thu, Jul 25 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | Postponed | Postponed |
| vs St. Louis | W 3-2 F/10 | W |
| vs St. Louis | L 9-5 | L |
| vs St. Louis | L 6-2 | L |
| vs Cincinnati | L 4-1 | L |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L 6-4 | L |
| @ Miami | W 1-0 | W |
| @ Miami | L 4-2 | L |
| @ Miami | W 6-4 | W |
| @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
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Prediction
The odds for J.D. Martinez to get over 0.5 hits are at -170, making it a strong possibility given his consistent performance this season. Additionally, his ability to drive in runs and score makes the props for over 0.5 RBIs (+195) and over 0.5 runs scored (+115) appealing. Considering the Braves' recent struggles and their need for a win, Martinez will likely step up to deliver.
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