MLB Player Props Predictions and Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

- Mr Wager
- Jul 28, 2024, 1:56:39 AM
MLB Player Props Predictions and Picks: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
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Photo Credit: © Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin on July 28th. This matchup features two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Marlins have been performing well, currently holding a 59-45 record which places them among the top teams in the league. Conversely, the Brewers have struggled, sitting at a disappointing 39-66.
This game is particularly intriguing due to the pitching matchup. Tobias Myers will take the mound for the Marlins, bringing his impressive 6-4 record and a 3.14 ERA. Myers has been a reliable arm for Miami, showing consistency and the ability to shut down opposing offenses. On the other hand, Kyle Tyler will start for Milwaukee. Tyler, with a 0-1 record and a 3.92 ERA, has shown potential but has struggled to maintain consistency.
Historically, these teams have had some competitive matchups. However, given their current forms and the strength of their respective rosters, the Marlins come into this game as the favorites. The Brewers will need a strong performance from Tyler and their hitters to stand a chance against a formidable Miami team. Weather conditions are expected to be mostly sunny with a temperature of 82°F, providing a perfect backdrop for an exciting game of baseball.
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Player Prop Odds
Blake Perkins - Milwaukee Brewers
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-125) | Under 0.5 (-110)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+280) | Under 0.5 (-425)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+180) | Under 0.5 (-255)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+125) | Under 0.5 (-170)
Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-125) | Under 0.5 (-110)
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Player Analysis: Blake Perkins
Blake Perkins has been a solid contributor for the Milwaukee Brewers this season. Although his overall stats might not jump off the page, his ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities is critical for a team that has struggled offensively. Perkins is currently batting .245, and his on-base percentage is a respectable .320. He has also shown some pop, with a few home runs and several extra-base hits this season.
Perkins' prop odds for hits and total bases are particularly appealing given his recent form. With an over/under of 0.5 for both hits and total bases, bettors might find value in taking the over. Perkins has been seeing the ball well lately, and given the Marlins' tendency to allow base runners, he could have a productive day at the plate.
Opposing Analysis: Miami Marlins Pitching
The Marlins' pitching staff, led by Tobias Myers, has been one of the team's strengths this season. Myers, with a 3.14 ERA, has been particularly effective. However, the Marlins' bullpen has had its moments of inconsistency, which could provide opportunities for the Brewers' hitters, including Blake Perkins.
Miami's pitching staff ranks 6th in the league with an ERA of 3.72, and they have been effective in limiting scoring opportunities. However, their bullpen has occasionally faltered, and if the Brewers can get into the bullpen early, they might find some success. This could bode well for Perkins, who could capitalize on a tired relief staff.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIA) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 68 |
| Kyle Tyler (MIL) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 15 |
Team Previews
Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins have been impressive this season, boasting a 59-45 record. Their success has been driven by solid hitting, consistent pitching, and reliable fielding. The Marlins rank 7th in hits, 8th in runs, and 6th in batting average (.254). Their pitching staff, led by Tobias Myers, has an ERA of 3.72, placing them 6th in the league. Defensively, they have committed 55 errors, ranking 14th.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Milwaukee Brewers have struggled this season, with a 39-66 record. Their hitting has been a significant weakness, ranking 29th in runs and 20th in batting average (.236). Their pitching staff has also had its challenges, with an ERA of 4.48, ranking 25th. Defensively, they have committed 75 errors, the most in the league. Despite these struggles, players like Blake Perkins have shown potential and could be key to any offensive success.
Team Injuries
Miami Marlins
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Perez (Eury Perez) | SP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Out for the season |
| J. Simpson (Josh Simpson) | RP | Fri, Jul 26 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chourio (Jackson Chourio) | RF | Sat, Jul 27 | Ear | Probable for Jul 28 |
| B. Hudson (Bryan Hudson) | RP | Sat, Jul 27 | Oblique | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 |
Recent Games
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Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs New York | W6-4 | Win |
| vs New York | L1-0 | Loss |
| vs New York | W4-2 | Win |
| vs New York | L6-4 | Loss |
| vs Baltimore | W6-3 | Win |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W8-4 F/12 | Win |
| @ Minnesota | W8-7 | Win |
| @ Chicago | L3-1 | Loss |
| @ Chicago | W1-0 | Win |
| @ Chicago | W3-2 | Win |
Prediction
Pick: Over 0.5 Hits for Blake Perkins (-125)
Given the Marlins' bullpen inconsistencies and Perkins’ recent form, the Over 0.5 hits for Blake Perkins is a solid bet. The Brewers' outfielder has been seeing the ball well and has a favorable matchup against a Miami bullpen that has shown vulnerabilities. With odds at -125, this prop bet offers good value.
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