MLB Player Props Predictions and Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/29

MLB Player Props Predictions and Picks: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 7/29

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Photo Credit: © Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Chicago Cubs to kick off a three-game series at Great American Ball Park on Monday, July 29, 2024, at 7:10 PM EDT. Both teams are struggling in the NL Central, with the Cubs holding a 51-56 record and the Reds at 50-55. This game is crucial for both teams as they look to gain ground in the playoff race.

The Reds have been impressive when they score at least five runs, boasting a 35-8 record in such games. However, their performance at home has been inconsistent with a 25-28 record. The Cubs, on the other hand, have struggled on the road with a 24-31 record but have a solid 20-6 record when they hit at least two home runs in a game.

This will be the eighth meeting between the two teams this season, with the Reds leading the season series 5-2. Key players to watch include Spencer Steer for the Reds, who has 24 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs, and 64 RBIs, and Ian Happ for the Cubs, who leads his team with 40 extra-base hits, including 16 home runs.

Recent performance trends show that the Reds have been struggling, going 4-6 in their last ten games with a .202 batting average and a 3.98 ERA. The Cubs have been slightly better, going 5-5 with a .219 batting average and a 3.00 ERA.

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Player Prop Odds

Michael Busch prop odds for this game are as follows:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+345), Under 0.5 (-579)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-199), Under 0.5 (+143)
• Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+470)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+178), Under 0.5 (-254)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-106), Under 0.5 (-129)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-151)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+133), Under 1.5 (-184)

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Player Analysis

Michael Busch has been a consistent performer for the Cubs this season. He has shown an ability to get on base and contribute to the team's offense. With a solid batting average and the ability to hit for power, Busch is a key player for the Cubs in this matchup. His recent form has been promising, and he will be looking to make an impact against the Reds.

Opposing Analysis

The Reds' pitching staff has had its ups and downs this season. Carson Spiers, who will be starting for the Reds, has a 3-2 record with a 3.83 ERA. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, Spiers has also been prone to giving up hits and runs at times. The Cubs will look to capitalize on any mistakes he makes and put pressure on the Reds' bullpen.

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Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Jameson Taillon (CHC)	7-5	2.96	1.15	78
Carson Spiers (CIN)	3-2	3.83	1.26	41

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Team Previews

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have struggled offensively this season, ranking 28th in hits and 28th in batting average. However, they have managed to score a decent number of runs, ranking 15th in the league. Their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with an ERA of 3.83, ranking 11th in the league. The Cubs' defense has also been solid, with only 65 errors on the season, ranking 4th.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have been slightly better offensively, ranking 22nd in hits and 24th in batting average. They have scored 440 runs, which ranks them 22nd in the league. Their pitching staff has been impressive, with an ERA of 3.72, ranking 6th. The Reds' defense has been a bit shaky, with 53 errors on the season, ranking 19th.

Team Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Player	Position	Injury Status
Tomas Nido	C	10-Day IL (knee)
Ben Brown	P	60-Day IL (neck)
Luke Little	P	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Hayden Wesneski	P	15-Day IL (forearm)
Jordan Wicks	P	60-Day IL (oblique)
Cody Bellinger	OF	10-Day IL (finger)
Colten Brewer	P	60-Day IL (hand)
Keegan Thompson	P	15-Day IL (rib)
Yency Almonte	P	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Adbert Alzolay	P	60-Day IL (forearm)
Caleb Kilian	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Cincinnati Reds

Player	Position	Injury Status
Brent Suter	P	15-Day IL (teres major)
Carson Spiers	P	15-Day IL (shoulder)
Nick Martini	OF	60-Day IL (thumb)
Graham Ashcraft	P	15-Day IL (elbow)
Luke Maile	C	10-Day IL (back)
Emilio Pagan	P	60-Day IL (lat)
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	1B	60-Day IL (hand)
Brandon Williamson	P	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Ian Gibaut	P	60-Day IL (forearm)
Tejay Antone	P	60-Day IL (elbow)
Matt McLain	SS	60-Day IL (shoulder)

Recent Games

Chicago Cubs Recent Games

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Arizona	L 5-2	47-52
Sat, Jul 20	vs Arizona	L 3-0	47-53
Sun, Jul 21	vs Arizona	W 2-1 F/10	48-53
Mon, Jul 22	vs Milwaukee	W 3-1	49-53
Tue, Jul 23	vs Milwaukee	L 1-0	49-54

Cincinnati Reds Recent Games

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Washington	L 8-5	47-51
Sat, Jul 20	@ Washington	L 5-4	47-52
Sun, Jul 21	@ Washington	L 5-2	47-53
Mon, Jul 22	@ Atlanta	W 4-1	48-53
Wed, Jul 24	@ Atlanta	W 9-4	49-53

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Prediction

Given the Reds' struggles at home and the Cubs' recent form, this game could go either way. However, with Jameson Taillon on the mound for the Cubs, we expect a strong pitching performance. The Cubs' ability to hit home runs could be the difference in this game. Therefore, we predict that the Cubs will win this game.

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