MLB Player Props Prediction: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/27
Photo Credit: © Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Washington Nationals (48-56, fourth in the NL East) face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (53-50, second in the NL Central) at Busch Stadium in St. Louis on Saturday at 7:15 p.m. EDT. The Nationals lead the series 1-0 after a thrilling 10-8 extra-innings victory on Friday night. The Cardinals have a 26-23 record at home and are looking to even the series. Offensively, St. Louis hitters are batting a collective .245, ranking eighth in the National League, while the Nationals have a 25-29 record on the road and have demonstrated offensive prowess by winning 34 games when scoring at least five runs.
In the season series, the Cardinals lead 3-2 against the Nationals. Key performers for St. Louis include Alec Burleson, who leads the team with a .288 batting average, 18 home runs, and 60 RBIs. Over the last 10 games, Masyn Winn has been productive, hitting .295 with two home runs and six RBIs. For the Nationals, Luis Garcia has contributed significantly with 11 home runs and 48 RBIs this season, while Juan Yepez has been hot, going 16-for-38 with five doubles and two home runs over the last 10 games.
The Cardinals come into this matchup with a .266 batting average over the last 10 games, posting a 5-5 record with a 4.14 ERA. The Nationals, meanwhile, have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games with a .239 batting average and a higher ERA of 5.20. Injuries will play a role in this game, with the Cardinals missing several key pitchers, including Steven Matz and Keynan Middleton, while the Nationals are without Jordan Weems and Josiah Gray.
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Player Prop Odds
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For Willson Contreras:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +370
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +270
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +440
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +155
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -120
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over -110
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +120
Player Analysis
Willson Contreras has been a key player for the St. Louis Cardinals this season. With a batting average of .253, he has accumulated 12 home runs and 47 RBIs. Contreras is known for his ability to get on base and his power-hitting capabilities. In his last 10 games, he has been consistent at the plate, contributing significantly to the team's offensive stats. His recent performance includes multiple games with extra-base hits, demonstrating his ability to drive the ball and produce runs.
Opposing Analysis
Jake Irvin, the probable starting pitcher for the Nationals, has a solid season with a 7-8 record, a 3.44 ERA, and 106 strikeouts over 123 innings. Irvin has shown good control with a WHIP of 1.09 but has also given up 16 home runs this season, which could be an opportunity for power hitters like Contreras. The Nationals' bullpen has been shaky, with a team ERA of 5.20 over the last 10 games, indicating that if the Cardinals can get to the bullpen early, they might have more scoring opportunities.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Irvin | 7-8 | 3.44 | 1.09 | 123.0 | 105 | 106 | 29 | 16 |
| K. Gibson | 7-3 | 3.99 | 1.32 | 108.1 | 100 | 102 | 43 | 13 |
Team Previews
Washington Nationals
The Nationals have a balanced lineup with some key contributors. Luis Garcia, with his 11 home runs and 48 RBIs, leads the offense. The team ranks 14th in batting average (.245) and has been effective in games where they score at least five runs. In the bullpen, they have been struggling, as seen in their recent ERA of 5.20 over the last 10 games.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have a solid offensive lineup with players like Alec Burleson and Masyn Winn contributing significantly. Burleson leads the team with a .288 batting average, 18 home runs, and 60 RBIs. The team has a collective batting average of .245, which ranks eighth in the NL. Their bullpen has been relatively stable, with a team ERA of 4.14 over the last 10 games.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Keynan Middleton | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Nick Robertson | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Riley O'Brien | RP | 60-Day IL (forearm) |
| Tommy Edman | SS | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Drew Rom | RP | 60-Day IL (biceps) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Weems | RP | 15-Day IL (shin) |
| Josiah Gray | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Joey Gallo | OF | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Trevor Williams | SP | 15-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Cade Cavalli | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Mason Thompson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
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Washington Nationals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Cincinnati | W 8-5 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | W 5-4 | W |
| vs Cincinnati | W 5-2 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 4-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 12-3 | L |
St. Louis Cardinals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Atlanta | L 3-2 F/10 | L |
| @ Atlanta | W 9-5 | W |
| @ Atlanta | W 6-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 2-1 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 2-1 | W |
Prediction
Pick: Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-120)
Willson Contreras has been a consistent contributor to the Cardinals' offense, and with Jake Irvin's tendency to give up home runs, Contreras has a good chance to score. The Nationals' bullpen has been struggling, which could provide additional opportunities for Contreras to cross the plate.
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