MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals

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Photo Credit: © Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Washington Nationals (49-56, fourth in the NL East) are set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (53-51, second in the NL Central) on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The game is scheduled to start at 2:15 p.m. EDT.

In their most recent game, the Nationals' James Wood shined with a four-hit performance against the Cardinals. The Cardinals, who have a solid home record of 26-24, will be looking to bounce back after their recent losses to the Nationals. The season series between these two teams is currently tied at 3-3, adding an extra layer of excitement to this matchup.

The Cardinals boast the ninth-ranked team on-base percentage in the NL at .309, while the Nationals are known for their power, going 13-8 in games where they hit two or more home runs. Recent form favors the Nationals, who have won six of their last ten games, compared to the Cardinals, who have won four of their last ten.

The starting pitchers for this game will be DJ Herz for the Nationals and Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals. Both pitchers have had their struggles this season, making this an intriguing matchup to watch.

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Player Prop Odds

DJ Herz to Record a Win: No (-425), Yes (+275)

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Player Analysis

DJ Herz has had a challenging season with a record of 1-4, an ERA of 4.95, and a WHIP of 1.40 over 36.1 innings pitched. Despite these struggles, Herz has shown flashes of potential, particularly with his strikeout ability, having recorded 45 strikeouts this season. His high strikeout rate indicates that he has the stuff to dominate hitters, but consistency has been an issue.

Herz will need to improve his control and limit the long ball, as he has given up eight home runs and 11 walks. His ability to navigate through the Cardinals' lineup will be crucial for the Nationals' chances in this game.

Opposing Analysis

The Cardinals' lineup has been middle-of-the-pack in terms of production this season, ranking 20th in runs scored with 433 and 19th in batting average at .237. However, they have some dangerous hitters, including Nolan Gorman, who leads the team with 19 home runs, and Masyn Winn, who has been hot recently, hitting .279 with two triples and two home runs in his last ten games.

Herz will need to be particularly careful with these power threats and focus on getting ahead in counts to utilize his strikeout ability effectively.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
DJ Herz (WAS)	1-4	4.95	1.40	45
Miles Mikolas (STL)	8-8	5.02	1.23	80

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Team Previews

Washington Nationals

The Nationals’ offense has been solid, ranking 14th in batting average (.245) and 15th in hits (859). They have shown the ability to produce runs, especially when their power hitters are on form. Relief pitching has been a strength, with the team tied for first in saves (37).

Fielding has been an issue, however, as they rank 26th in errors (46). The starting pitching has been inconsistent, reflected in their 4.00 team ERA, which ranks 17th.

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have had a decent season overall, with notable performances in relief pitching, ranking 8th in saves (29). Their hitting has been slightly below average, ranking 22nd in hits (815) and 20th in runs (433). The team’s fielding has been solid, ranking 9th in errors (59).

Starting pitching has been a weakness, with the team ERA sitting at 4.22, ranking them 22nd. Miles Mikolas, in particular, has struggled with a 5.02 ERA.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Jordan Weems	RP	Fri, Jul 26	Lower Leg	Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
Cade Cavalli	SP	Fri, Jul 26	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 15

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Riley O'Brien	RP	Sun, Jul 28	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Recent Games

Washington Nationals

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ St. Louis	14-3	W
@ St. Louis	10-8	W
vs San Diego	0-3	L
vs San Diego	3-12	L
vs San Diego	0-4	L

St. Louis Cardinals

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Washington	3-14	L
vs Washington	8-10	L
@ Pittsburgh	0-5	L
@ Pittsburgh	2-1	W
@ Pittsburgh	1-2	L

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Prediction

DJ Herz has struggled this season, and the Nationals are facing a Cardinals team that, despite their recent form, has the offensive capability to challenge Herz. Given his inconsistencies and the potent threats in the Cardinals' lineup, it is more likely that Herz will not record a win in this matchup.

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