MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/28

Wolfeofbetting
Jul 28, 2024, 3:53:41 AM

Photo Credit: © Owen Ziliak/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 28th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The Pirates come into this matchup with a 55-50 record, having won three of their last five games. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, hold a 52-52 record and have also won three of their last five games, making this an intriguing contest between two evenly matched teams.

The Pirates have been solid offensively, ranking 8th in hits (888) and 3rd in runs (513) with a team batting average of .253. In contrast, the Diamondbacks rank 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs (425), but they have a respectable team ERA of 3.78, which ranks 11th in the league.

Historically, the Pirates have had the upper hand in this matchup, but the Diamondbacks have shown resilience and will be looking to capitalize on their home-field advantage. With probable starting pitchers Yilber Diaz (PIT) and Mitch Keller (ARI) set to take the mound, this game promises to be a tightly contested affair.

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Player Prop Odds

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Props:

Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +320, Under -500
Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +165, Under -225
Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +140, Under -190
Batter Singles (0.5): Over -125, Under -110
Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +120, Under -160

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Player Analysis

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been a key contributor for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season. With a batting average of .252, he has shown consistency at the plate. Gurriel has also hit 16 home runs and driven in 52 RBIs, making him a reliable offensive threat. His ability to get on base and score runs will be crucial for the Diamondbacks in this matchup.

Gurriel has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, making him a player to watch in this game. Given his recent form and the favorable matchup against Yilber Diaz, who has an ERA of 5.40, Gurriel has a good chance to make a significant impact.

Opposing Analysis

Yilber Diaz of the Pittsburgh Pirates will be facing the Arizona Diamondbacks' lineup. Diaz has struggled this season, posting a 5.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 15 innings. He has allowed 17 hits and walked 4 batters while striking out 7. Given his struggles, the Diamondbacks' hitters, including Gurriel, will look to capitalize on this matchup.

The Pirates' pitching staff ranks 26th in ERA (4.49), indicating that they have had issues with consistency. This could provide an opportunity for the Diamondbacks' hitters to put up runs and create scoring opportunities for players like Gurriel.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
M. Keller	10-5	3.34	1.24	121.1	119	108	32	13
Y. Diaz	1-1	5.40	1.40	15.0	17	7	4	2

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been solid offensively, ranking 8th in hits (888) and 3rd in runs (513). Their team batting average of .253 is among the top in the league. However, their pitching staff has struggled, ranking 26th in ERA (4.49). The Pirates' relief pitching has been inconsistent, and their fielding has been subpar with 42 errors, which ranks 30th in the league.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks have struggled offensively, ranking 26th in hits (807) and 23rd in runs (425). Their team batting average of .232 is one of the lowest in the league. However, their pitching staff has been strong, with a team ERA of 3.78, which ranks 11th in the league. The Diamondbacks' relief pitching has been reliable, and their fielding has been average with 50 errors, ranking 21st in the league.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Nick Gonzales	2B	Sat, Jul 27	Groin	Probable for Jul 28
Rowdy Tellez	1B	Sat, Jul 27	Back	Probable for Jul 28
Jared Jones	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Lat	Expected to be out until at least Aug 8

Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

Player	Position	Updated	Injury	Injury Status
Merrill Kelly	SP	Sat, Jul 27	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Aug 16

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	vs Philadelphia	W8-7	49-48	Mlodzinski 2-3	Alvarado 1-4	NaN	39530
Sat, Jul 20	vs Philadelphia	W4-1	50-48	Ortiz 5-2	Sanchez 7-5	NaN	39114
Sun, Jul 21	vs Philadelphia	L6-0	50-49	Phillips 2-0	Gonzales 1-1	NaN	38291
Mon, Jul 22	vs St. Louis	W2-1	51-49	Chapman 2-4	King 3-2	Bednar 18	18970
Tue, Jul 23	vs St. Louis	L2-1	51-50	Fernandez 1-2	Skenes 6-1	Helsley 33	32422
Wed, Jul 24	vs St. Louis	W5-0	52-50	Perez 2-5	Liberatore 2-3	NaN	20091
Fri, Jul 26	@ Arizona	L4-3	52-51	Gallen 8-5	Mlodzinski 2-4	Sewald 16	31255
Sat, Jul 27	@ Arizona	L9-5	52-52	Pfaadt 5-6	Priester 2-6	NaN	35905

Arizona Diamondbacks

DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	W-L	WIN	LOSS	SAVE	ATT
Fri, Jul 19	@ Chicago	W5-2	50-48	Nelson 7-6	Steele 2-4	Sewald 14	40691
Sat, Jul 20	@ Chicago	W3-0	51-48	Gallen 7-5	Hendricks 2-8	Sewald 15	39595
Sun, Jul 21	@ Chicago	L2-1 F/10	51-49	Neris 8-2	Mantiply 3-2	NaN	39162
Mon, Jul 22	@ Kansas City	L10-4	51-50	Ragans 7-6	Diaz 1-1	NaN	16275
Tue, Jul 23	@ Kansas City	W6-2	52-50	Montgomery 7-5	Marsh 7-7	NaN	21993
Wed, Jul 24	@ Kansas City	W8-6	53-50	Mantiply 4-2	McArthur 4-4	NaN	15931
Fri, Jul 26	vs Pittsburgh	W4-3	54-50	Gallen 8-5	Mlodzinski 2-4	Sewald 16	31255
Sat, Jul 27	vs Pittsburgh	W9-5	55-50	Pfaadt 5-6	Priester 2-6	NaN	35905