MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27

- Mr Wager
- Jul 27, 2024, 9:35:55 AM
MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks 7/27
Photo Credit: © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks (54-50) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-51) for the second game of their series at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. The game is scheduled to start at 8:10 p.m. EDT on Saturday, July 27, 2024. The Diamondbacks secured a narrow 4-3 victory in the series opener, bringing their home record to 27-24.
Arizona's offense has been potent when they score five or more runs, boasting a 41-10 record in such games. In contrast, the Pirates have been competitive on the road with a 26-25 record and possess the sixth-best team ERA in the National League at 3.78.
Both teams have had solid recent performances, with each going 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks' lineup has been led by rising star Corbin Carroll, who has amassed 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 35 RBIs this season. Ketel Marte has also been outstanding, hitting four home runs and a double in his last 10 games.
The Pirates have relied on the consistent production of Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds. Cruz has 21 doubles, a triple, and 15 home runs, while Reynolds is hitting .368 over the past 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+375), Under 0.5 (-650)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+240)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+240), Under 0.5 (-350)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+200), Under 0.5 (-275)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-110), Under 0.5 (-120)
Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-190), Under 0.5 (+145)
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Player Analysis
Ke'Bryan Hayes has been a consistent performer for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. With a batting average of .253, he has contributed significantly to the team's offense. Hayes has accumulated 21 doubles, two triples, and 12 home runs this season. Over his last 10 games, Hayes has shown flashes of brilliance, albeit with some inconsistency at the plate.
Given his ability to hit for extra bases, Hayes is a key component of the Pirates' lineup. His speed and agility also make him a threat on the base paths, and his defensive prowess at third base adds to his overall value.
Opposing Analysis
Hayes will be facing off against Arizona Diamondbacks' pitcher Brandon Pfaadt, who has a record of 4-6 with a respectable ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.11. Pfaadt has been effective in limiting hitters, allowing just 106 hits over 120.1 innings pitched while striking out 111 batters.
Arizona's pitching staff has been solid overall, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 11th in the league. However, their bullpen has shown vulnerability in high-pressure situations. This could provide an opportunity for Hayes to capitalize, especially if he faces less dominant relief pitchers later in the game.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales (PIT) | 1-1 | 2.70 | 1.28 | 26.2 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4-6 | 3.74 | 1.11 | 120.1 | 106 | 111 | 27 | 14 |
Team Previews
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have had a solid season, with a 54-50 record. Offensively, they rank 8th in hits with 888, and 3rd in runs scored with 513. Their batting average is a respectable .253. Their pitching staff, led by Marco Gonzales, has been effective, with a team ERA of 4.49. Defensively, they have committed 42 errors, ranking 30th in the league.
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have a 54-50 record and have shown resilience throughout the season. Offensively, they have struggled at times, ranking 26th in hits with 807 and 23rd in runs scored with 425. Their team batting average is .232. However, their pitching staff has been a strong point, with a team ERA of 3.78. They have committed 50 errors, ranking 21st in the league.
Team Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter | SP | 15-Day IL (arm) |
| Daulton Jefferies | RP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Jared Jones | SP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Ryan Borucki | RP | 60-Day IL (tricep) |
| Dauri Moreta | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Endy Rodriguez | C | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Johan Oviedo | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Walston | SP | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Merrill Kelly | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Kyle Nelson | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
| Drey Jameson | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Recent Games
Pittsburgh Pirates
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Philadelphia | W8-7 | 49-48 | Mlodzinski 2-3 | Alvarado 1-4 | NaN | 39530 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Philadelphia | W4-1 | 50-48 | Ortiz 5-2 | Sanchez 7-5 | NaN | 39114 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Philadelphia | L6-0 | 50-49 | Phillips 2-0 | Gonzales 1-1 | NaN | 38291 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs St. Louis | W2-1 | 51-49 | Chapman 2-4 | King 3-2 | Bednar 18 | 18970 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs St. Louis | L2-1 | 51-50 | Fernandez 1-2 | Skenes 6-1 | Helsley 33 | 32422 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | vs St. Louis | W5-0 | 52-50 | Perez 2-5 | Liberatore 2-3 | NaN | 20091 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | @ Arizona | L4-3 | 52-51 | Gallen 8-5 | Mlodzinski 2-4 | Sewald 16 | 31255 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Chicago | W5-2 | 50-48 | Nelson 7-6 | Steele 2-4 | Sewald 14 | 40691 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Chicago | W3-0 | 51-48 | Gallen 7-5 | Hendricks 2-8 | Sewald 15 | 39595 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Chicago | L2-1 F/10 | 51-49 | Neris 8-2 | Mantiply 3-2 | NaN | 39162 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Kansas City | L10-4 | 51-50 | Ragans 7-6 | Diaz 1-1 | NaN | 16275 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Kansas City | W6-2 | 52-50 | Montgomery 7-5 | Marsh 7-7 | NaN | 21993 |
| Wed, Jul 24 | @ Kansas City | W8-6 | 53-50 | Mantiply 4-2 | McArthur 4-4 | NaN | 15931 |
| Fri, Jul 26 | vs Pittsburgh | W4-3 | 54-50 | Gallen 8-5 | Mlodzinski 2-4 | Sewald 16 | 31255 |
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