MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets 7/25

- Big Ben Profits
- Jul 25, 2024, 9:47:06 AM
MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Photo Credit: © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Atlanta Braves will face off against the New York Mets on Thursday, July 25, 2024, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The game is set to start at 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Braves are looking to bounce back from a four-game losing streak, while the Mets will aim to continue their recent success.
Atlanta has a 54-46 record, placing them second in the NL East. They have struggled on the road with a 24-25 record. The Braves' offense has been consistent, ranking 10th in the National League with a .241 team batting average. However, their recent form has been shaky, with a 3-7 record in their last ten games, hitting just .221 and posting a 4.60 ERA.
The New York Mets, sitting third in the NL East with a 53-48 record, have been a bit more stable. They are 26-26 at home but have been hot lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games while batting .265 and maintaining a 3.68 ERA. The Mets have a strong record when they hit at least two home runs, standing at 26-10 in such games. The season series between these two teams is currently tied at 3-3.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Mark Vientos:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+450)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-165)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+130)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+160)
Player Analysis
Mark Vientos has been a promising player for the New York Mets. In his recent performances, Vientos has shown the ability to get on base and contribute offensively. With an average of .259 and contributing 21 home runs and 60 RBIs this season, Vientos has been a key player for the Mets.
In his last 10 games, Vientos has continued to perform well, showing consistency at the plate. His ability to hit doubles and drive in runs makes him a threat in the lineup. Given his current form, taking the Over on his prop bets, especially on hits and RBIs, could be a worthwhile consideration.
Opposing Analysis
For the Atlanta Braves, Chris Sale will be on the mound. Sale has been exceptional this season, boasting a 13-3 record with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP. Sale's ability to strike out batters is notable, having recorded 140 strikeouts in 110 innings pitched.
However, the Braves' bullpen has shown some vulnerability, and if Sale is unable to go deep into the game, the Mets could capitalize on the relievers. Additionally, the Braves' recent struggles could provide an opportunity for Vientos to exploit any weaknesses in their pitching staff.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 13-3 | 2.70 | 0.95 | 140 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 7-3 | 3.58 | 1.18 | 88 |
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Team Previews
Atlanta Braves
The Braves' offense has been led by players like Marcell Ozuna, who has 28 home runs and 80 RBIs. Despite their recent slump, the Braves have a solid lineup that can produce runs. However, their overall team batting average of .241 ranks 10th in the NL, indicating some inconsistency at the plate.
On the pitching side, the Braves have a team ERA of 4.18, which ranks 20th in the league. While Chris Sale has been a standout performer, the bullpen has shown signs of weakness, which could be a factor in tonight's game.
New York Mets
The Mets have been solid both offensively and defensively. Francisco Lindor has been a key player, batting .259 with 21 home runs and 63 RBIs. The Mets' ability to hit home runs has been a significant factor in their success, and they will look to continue this trend against the Braves.
Pitching-wise, Luis Severino has been reliable, with a 3.58 ERA and 88 strikeouts. The Mets' bullpen has also been effective, maintaining a 3.52 team ERA, which ranks 3rd in the league. This strong pitching staff will be crucial in containing the Braves' offense.
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | CF | 60-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Ozzie Albies | 2B | 10-Day IL (wrist) |
| Max Fried | P | 15-Day IL (forearm) |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | RF | 60-Day IL (knee) |
New York Mets
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | CF | Day-to-day (ankle) |
| Christian Scott | P | 15-Day IL (elbow) |
| Starling Marte | RF | 10-Day IL (knee) |
| Ronny Mauricio | SS | 60-Day IL (knee) |
Recent Games
Atlanta Braves
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis | 3-2 (W) | 54-42 |
| vs St. Louis | 5-9 (L) | 54-43 |
| vs St. Louis | 2-6 (L) | 54-44 |
| vs Cincinnati | 1-4 (L) | 54-45 |
| vs Cincinnati | 4-9 (L) | 54-46 |
New York Mets
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | 4-6 (L) | 49-47 |
| @ Miami | 1-0 (W) | 50-47 |
| @ Miami | 2-4 (L) | 50-48 |
| @ Miami | 6-4 (W) | 51-48 |
| @ New York | 3-2 (W) | 52-48 |
| @ New York | 12-3 (W) | 53-48 |
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Prediction
Given Mark Vientos' recent form and the current state of the Braves' bullpen, we predict that Vientos will exceed 0.5 hits (-165 odds). Additionally, considering the pitching matchup and Vientos' ability to drive in runs, taking the Over 0.5 RBIs (+200 odds) is a strong prop bet for tonight's game.
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