MLB Player Props Prediction: Pirates vs Diamondbacks - 7/26
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MLB Player Props Prediction: Pirates vs Diamondbacks - 7/26

```html MLB Player Props Prediction: Pirates vs Diamondbacks - 7/26

MLB Player Props Prediction: Pirates vs Diamondbacks - 7/26

Ke'Bryan Hayes
Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50, third in the NL Central) will kick off a three-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50, third in the NL West) at Chase Field in Phoenix on Friday, July 26, 2024, at 9:40 p.m. EDT. Both teams are in the thick of the playoff hunt, looking to gain ground in their respective divisions.

Arizona has a solid 26-24 record at home this season and boasts the ninth-best team slugging percentage (.410) in MLB. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has matched Arizona's road performance with a 26-24 record away from PNC Park. The Pirates have been particularly effective when out-hitting their opponents, holding a 38-4 record in such games.

Both teams come into this series on hot streaks. The Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a .246 batting average and a 3.33 ERA, outscoring opponents by 17 runs. The Pirates have gone 8-2 over their last 10, sporting a .256 batting average and an impressive 2.10 ERA, outscoring opponents by 16 runs.

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Player Prop Odds

For this game, we are focusing on Ke'Bryan Hayes and his player prop odds:

  • Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +380
  • Batter Hits (1.5): Over +260
  • Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +195
  • Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over +125
  • Batter Singles (0.5): Over -140
  • Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +145

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Player Analysis: Ke'Bryan Hayes

Ke'Bryan Hayes has been a consistent performer for the Pirates this season, hitting .250 with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Hayes has been particularly effective, going 14-for-39 (.359) with three doubles, two home runs, and five RBIs. His recent form suggests he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact.

Hayes has a knack for coming through in clutch situations and has been a key contributor to the Pirates' recent success. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset in the middle of the lineup.

Opposing Analysis: Zac Gallen

Zac Gallen will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks. Gallen has had a solid season with a 7-5 record, 3.64 ERA, and 80 strikeouts in 81.2 innings pitched. However, he has shown some vulnerability, allowing 75 hits and 27 walks, which translates to a 1.25 WHIP.

Gallen's recent performances have been a mixed bag. While he has displayed the ability to dominate, he has also had games where he struggled with command and allowed multiple baserunners. This inconsistency could provide an opportunity for Hayes to capitalize and have a productive game at the plate.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Luis Ortiz (PIT) 5-2 2.57 1.11 73.2 61 59 21 3
Zac Gallen (ARI) 7-5 3.64 1.25 81.2 75 80 27 8

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Team Previews

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have shown resilience throughout the season, highlighted by their recent 8-2 run. Their offense ranks 8th in hits (879) and 3rd in runs (509) while maintaining a solid .252 batting average (9th). Their pitching staff has held a 4.50 ERA, ranking 26th, but their defense has been shaky with 42 errors, the 30th highest in MLB.

Key players like Oneil Cruz, who has been on fire recently, and consistent contributions from the lineup have propelled the Pirates into contention. Their relief pitching has been serviceable, with 23 saves, ranking tied-21st.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks are also in the playoff mix, thanks in part to their 11th-ranked team ERA (3.77) and solid defense. However, their offense has struggled at times, ranking 25th in hits (800) and 23rd in runs (422). They have a .232 team batting average, ranking 26th in MLB.

Despite these challenges, players like Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been key contributors. Walker leads the team with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Marte has been hitting .296. The team's relief pitching has been reliable, with 26 saves, tied for 13th in MLB.

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Position Injury Status
Bailey Falter SP Arm 15-Day IL
Daulton Jefferies SP Elbow 15-Day IL
Jared Jones RP Lat 15-Day IL
Hunter Stratton RP Shoulder 15-Day IL
Ryan Borucki RP Tricep 60-Day IL
Dauri Moreta RP Elbow 60-Day IL
Endy Rodriguez C Elbow 60-Day IL
Johan Oviedo SP Elbow 60-Day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Player Position Injury Status
Blake Walston RP Elbow 15-Day IL
Merrill Kelly SP Shoulder 60-Day IL
Kyle Nelson RP Shoulder 60-Day IL
Eduardo Rodriguez SP Shoulder 60-Day IL
Drey Jameson RP Elbow 60-Day IL

Recent Games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Date Opponent Score Result
Fri, Jul 19 vs Philadelphia 8-7 W
Sat, Jul 20 vs Philadelphia 4-1 W
Sun, Jul 21 vs Philadelphia 0-6 L
Mon, Jul 22 vs St. Louis 2-1 W
Tue, Jul 23 vs St. Louis 1-2 L
Wed, Jul 24 vs St. Louis 5-0 W

Arizona Diamondbacks

Date Opponent Score Result
Fri, Jul 19 @ Chicago 5-2 W
Sat, Jul 20 @ Chicago 3-0 W
Sun, Jul 21 @ Chicago 1-2 (10) L
Mon, Jul 22 @ Kansas City 4-10 L
Tue, Jul 23 @ Kansas City 6-2 W
Wed, Jul 24 @ Kansas City 8-6 W

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Prediction

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Ke'Bryan Hayes (+145)

With Hayes' recent performance and Zac Gallen's inconsistency, it's reasonable to expect Hayes to accumulate at least two total bases in this game. Hayes has been making solid contact and driving the ball well, giving him multiple ways to reach this mark.

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Winnings $78,844
last 30 days winnings ($5,187)
Yesterday winnings ($252)
Top Sport NBA
W-L-D 2210 - 1660 - 26
Winnings % 56%
Winnings $30,294
last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
Top Sport MLB
W-L-D 1786 - 1741 - 144
Winnings % 48%