MLB Player Props Prediction: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies - 7/29

- Mr Wager
- Jul 29, 2024, 4:21:49 PM
MLB Player Props Prediction: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies - 7/29
Photo Credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
The New York Yankees (62-45, second in the AL East) are set to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (65-40, first in the NL East) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Monday, July 29th, at 6:40 p.m. EDT. This game marks the first of a three-game series between these two teams, who have not faced each other yet this season.
Philadelphia enters the matchup with a strong home record of 38-18 and an overall record of 65-40. The Phillies have been particularly potent offensively, boasting a 46-6 record in games where they score five or more runs. On the other side, the Yankees are equally impressive on the road with a 35-22 record, and an overall record of 62-45. The Yankees have a 49-9 record in games where they manage to out-hit their opponents.
Leading the charge for the Phillies is Bryce Harper, who has accumulated 22 doubles, 24 home runs, and 67 RBIs. Trea Turner has also been in solid form, going 9-for-40 with three home runs and five RBIs over the last 10 games. For the Yankees, Aaron Judge has been a standout performer with 37 home runs, 84 walks, and 96 RBIs while hitting a remarkable .314. Juan Soto has also been in good form, going 15-for-42 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs, and eight RBIs over the last 10 games.
In their last 10 games, the Phillies have struggled with a 3-7 record, batting just .220 and posting a 5.12 ERA, getting outscored by 11 runs. The Yankees have fared slightly better with a 4-6 record, batting .277 with a 4.94 ERA, and being outscored by just one run.
Injuries could play a significant role in this series. The Phillies are without Ranger Suarez (15-Day IL, back), Luis Ortiz (60-Day IL, ankle), Spencer Turnbull (15-Day IL, back), Taijuan Walker (15-Day IL, index finger), and Dylan Covey (60-Day IL, shoulder). The Yankees have a long list of injured players, including Jose Trevino (10-Day IL, quadricep), Nick Burdi (60-Day IL, hip), Giancarlo Stanton (10-Day IL, hamstring), Anthony Rizzo (60-Day IL, wrist), Clarke Schmidt (60-Day IL, lat), Cody Poteet (15-Day IL, tricep), Ian Hamilton (15-Day IL, lat), Jon Berti (60-Day IL, calf), Jonathan Loaisiga (60-Day IL, elbow), JT Brubaker (60-Day IL, elbow), and Lou Trivino (60-Day IL, elbow).
Player Prop Odds
Bryce Harper:
- Batter Doubles (0.5): Over +380
- Batter Hits (1.5): Over +280
- Batter Home Runs (0.5): Over +350
- Batter RBIs (0.5): Over +140
- Batter Runs Scored (0.5): Over -145
- Batter Singles (0.5): Over +105
- Batter Total Bases (1.5): Over +115
Player Analysis
Bryce Harper has been a key offensive player for the Philadelphia Phillies this season. With 24 home runs and 67 RBIs, Harper is a constant threat to opposing pitchers. His recent form has been solid, contributing significantly to the Phillies' offense. Over the last 10 games, Harper has continued to be productive, hitting for power and average. Given his ability to impact the game in multiple ways, Harper's player props are intriguing for bettors.
Opposing Analysis
The New York Yankees' probable starting pitcher, Luis Gil, has been effective this season with a 10-5 record, a 3.10 ERA, and 124 strikeouts. However, facing a potent Phillies lineup that includes Bryce Harper will be a tough challenge. The Yankees' bullpen has been reliable, but they will need to be at their best to contain Harper and the rest of the Phillies' offense.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil | New York Yankees | 10-5 | 3.10 | 124 |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | 10-4 | 2.55 | 133 |
Team Previews
New York Yankees
- Hitting: The Yankees have been strong offensively, ranking 5th in hits (916) and 5th in runs (512). Aaron Judge leads the team with 37 home runs and a .314 batting average.
- Relief Pitching: The Yankees' bullpen has been solid, with 27 saves (Tied-11th). Their overall ERA is 3.43, ranking 2nd in the league.
- Fielding: The Yankees have committed 59 errors, ranking Tied-9th in the league, showcasing a reliable defense.
- Starting Pitching: Luis Gil has been a key part of the rotation with a 3.10 ERA and 124 strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies
- Hitting: The Phillies have been impressive, leading the league in runs (539) and ranking Tied-10th in hits (895). Bryce Harper and Trea Turner are significant contributors.
- Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has also recorded 27 saves (Tied-11th). Their overall ERA stands at 3.67, ranking 5th in the league.
- Fielding: The Phillies have committed 63 errors, ranking 7th in the league.
- Starting Pitching: Zack Wheeler has been stellar with a 2.55 ERA and 133 strikeouts.
Team Injuries
New York Yankees
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | C | 10-Day IL (quadricep) |
| Nick Burdi | RP | 60-Day IL (hip) |
| Giancarlo Stanton | DH | 10-Day IL (hamstring) |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1B | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Clarke Schmidt | SP | 60-Day IL (lat) |
| Cody Poteet | SP | 15-Day IL (tricep) |
| Ian Hamilton | RP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
| Jon Berti | IF | 60-Day IL (calf) |
| Jonathan Loaisiga | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| JT Brubaker | SP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
| Lou Trivino | RP | 60-Day IL (elbow) |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| Luis Ortiz | RP | 60-Day IL (ankle) |
| Spencer Turnbull | SP | 15-Day IL (back) |
| Taijuan Walker | SP | 15-Day IL (index finger) |
| Dylan Covey | RP | 60-Day IL (shoulder) |
Recent Games
New York Yankees
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Tampa Bay | W 6-1 | W |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 9-1 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | L 6-4 | L |
| vs Tampa Bay | W 9-1 | W |
| vs New York | L 3-2 | L |
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
| @ Minnesota | W 3-0 | W |
Prediction
The New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies are both strong teams, but the Phillies have the edge with home-field advantage and a better recent track record. Bryce Harper is a key player to watch, and his prop bets offer value. Considering his form and the odds, we recommend betting on Harper to have over 0.5 RBIs at +140. Additionally, Harper's ability to contribute across the board makes the over 1.5 total bases at +115 an appealing pick.
Pick: Bryce Harper Over 0.5 RBIs (+140)
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