MLB Player Props Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 28, 2024, 4:31:46 AM
MLB Player Props Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
Photo Credit: © Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Miami Marlins (39-66, fifth in the NL East) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (59-45, first in the NL Central) on Sunday, July 28th, 2024, at American Family Field in Milwaukee. The game is set to start at 2:10 PM EDT. The Marlins are currently riding a three-game road winning streak, while the Brewers have had a solid home record of 29-19.
The Brewers have been particularly strong in games where they did not allow a home run, boasting a 25-6 record in such matchups. On the other hand, the Marlins have struggled significantly when allowing home runs, with a 20-46 record in those games. As these two teams meet for the sixth time this season, the Marlins lead the season series 4-1, showing they have had the upper hand in previous matchups.
Recent performances have shown Milwaukee maintaining a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, hitting at a .239 average with a 3.72 ERA, but they have been outscored by one run in that span. The Marlins have been hotter, going 7-3 with a .275 average and a solid 2.97 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 15 runs.
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Player Prop Odds
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Otto Lopez Player Props:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390) / Under 0.5 (-650)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+240) / Under 0.5 (-350)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+155) / Under 0.5 (-215)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130) / Under 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140) / Under 1.5 (-190)
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Player Analysis
Otto Lopez has been a consistent performer for the Brewers, showing his ability to get on base and contribute runs. While his batting average and power numbers might not be the most eye-catching, his recent form and situational hitting make him a key player to watch in this matchup. Over the last 10 games, Lopez has been efficient, often getting on base and setting up scoring opportunities for his teammates.
Opposing Analysis
Facing Kyle Tyler of the Marlins, who has a 3.92 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 20.2 innings pitched with 15 strikeouts, Lopez will have a good chance to exploit a pitcher who has struggled to keep runners off base. Tyler's tendency to allow hits (20 hits in 20.2 innings) and walks (10 walks) makes him a favorable matchup for Lopez, who excels in finding gaps and getting on base.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Tyler (MIA) | 0-1 | 3.92 | 1.45 | 20.2 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| T. Myers (MIL) | 6-4 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 77.1 | 67 | 68 | 22 | 11 |
Team Previews
Miami Marlins
- Hitting: 7th in hits (890), 8th in runs (489), 6th in average (.254)
- Relief Pitching: 3rd in saves (35), 26th in losses (44)
- Fielding: Tied-14th in errors (55)
- Starting Pitchers: 6th in ERA (3.72), 6th in wins (59)
Milwaukee Brewers
- Hitting: 17th in hits (831), 29th in runs (374), 20th in average (.236)
- Relief Pitching: Tied-27th in saves (20), Tied-2nd in losses (66)
- Fielding: 1st in errors (75)
- Starting Pitchers: 25th in ERA (4.48), Tied-28th in wins (38)
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez | SP | Out for the season (Elbow) |
| Josh Simpson | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 (Elbow) |
| Dane Myers | SP | 10-Day IL (Ankle) |
| Ryan Weathers | SP | 60-Day IL (Finger) |
| Sixto Sanchez | SP | 60-Day IL (Shoulder) |
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | RF | Probable for Jul 28 (Ear) |
| Bryan Hudson | RP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 (Oblique) |
| Christian Yelich | LF | 10-Day IL (Back) |
| Oliver Dunn | IF | 60-Day IL (Back) |
| Enoli Paredes | RP | 15-Day IL (Forearm) |
Recent Games
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Milwaukee | W7-3 | W |
| @ Milwaukee | W6-2 | W |
| vs Baltimore | L7-6 F/10 | L |
| vs Baltimore | W6-3 | W |
| vs Baltimore | W6-3 | W |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Miami | L7-3 | L |
| vs Miami | L6-2 | L |
| @ Chicago | W3-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | W1-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | L3-1 | L |
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Prediction
Given Otto Lopez's recent form and the favorable matchup against Kyle Tyler, the best player prop bet for this game is Over 0.5 Singles (-130). Lopez should have ample opportunities to get on base against a pitcher who has struggled with control and allowed a high number of hits.
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