MLB Player Props Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28
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MLB Player Props Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

MLB Player Props Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

MLB Player Props Prediction: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/28

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Game Summary

The Miami Marlins (39-66, fifth in the NL East) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (59-45, first in the NL Central) on Sunday, July 28th, 2024, at American Family Field in Milwaukee. The game is set to start at 2:10 PM EDT. The Marlins are currently riding a three-game road winning streak, while the Brewers have had a solid home record of 29-19.

The Brewers have been particularly strong in games where they did not allow a home run, boasting a 25-6 record in such matchups. On the other hand, the Marlins have struggled significantly when allowing home runs, with a 20-46 record in those games. As these two teams meet for the sixth time this season, the Marlins lead the season series 4-1, showing they have had the upper hand in previous matchups.

Recent performances have shown Milwaukee maintaining a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, hitting at a .239 average with a 3.72 ERA, but they have been outscored by one run in that span. The Marlins have been hotter, going 7-3 with a .275 average and a solid 2.97 ERA, outscoring their opponents by 15 runs.

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Player Prop Odds

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Otto Lopez Player Props:

  • Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+390) / Under 0.5 (-650)
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+240) / Under 0.5 (-350)
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+155) / Under 0.5 (-215)
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130) / Under 0.5 (-105)
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+140) / Under 1.5 (-190)

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Player Analysis

Otto Lopez has been a consistent performer for the Brewers, showing his ability to get on base and contribute runs. While his batting average and power numbers might not be the most eye-catching, his recent form and situational hitting make him a key player to watch in this matchup. Over the last 10 games, Lopez has been efficient, often getting on base and setting up scoring opportunities for his teammates.


Opposing Analysis

Facing Kyle Tyler of the Marlins, who has a 3.92 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 20.2 innings pitched with 15 strikeouts, Lopez will have a good chance to exploit a pitcher who has struggled to keep runners off base. Tyler's tendency to allow hits (20 hits in 20.2 innings) and walks (10 walks) makes him a favorable matchup for Lopez, who excels in finding gaps and getting on base.


Pitching Probables

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Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
K. Tyler (MIA) 0-1 3.92 1.45 20.2 20 15 10 1
T. Myers (MIL) 6-4 3.14 1.15 77.1 67 68 22 11

Team Previews

Miami Marlins

  • Hitting: 7th in hits (890), 8th in runs (489), 6th in average (.254)
  • Relief Pitching: 3rd in saves (35), 26th in losses (44)
  • Fielding: Tied-14th in errors (55)
  • Starting Pitchers: 6th in ERA (3.72), 6th in wins (59)

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Hitting: 17th in hits (831), 29th in runs (374), 20th in average (.236)
  • Relief Pitching: Tied-27th in saves (20), Tied-2nd in losses (66)
  • Fielding: 1st in errors (75)
  • Starting Pitchers: 25th in ERA (4.48), Tied-28th in wins (38)


Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Eury Perez SP Out for the season (Elbow)
Josh Simpson RP Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 (Elbow)
Dane Myers SP 10-Day IL (Ankle)
Ryan Weathers SP 60-Day IL (Finger)
Sixto Sanchez SP 60-Day IL (Shoulder)
Player Position Injury Status
Jackson Chourio RF Probable for Jul 28 (Ear)
Bryan Hudson RP Expected to be out until at least Aug 8 (Oblique)
Christian Yelich LF 10-Day IL (Back)
Oliver Dunn IF 60-Day IL (Back)
Enoli Paredes RP 15-Day IL (Forearm)

Recent Games

Miami Marlins

Opponent Score W/L
@ Milwaukee W7-3 W
@ Milwaukee W6-2 W
vs Baltimore L7-6 F/10 L
vs Baltimore W6-3 W
vs Baltimore W6-3 W

Milwaukee Brewers

Opponent Score W/L
vs Miami L7-3 L
vs Miami L6-2 L
@ Chicago W3-2 W
@ Chicago W1-0 W
@ Chicago L3-1 L

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Prediction

Given Otto Lopez's recent form and the favorable matchup against Kyle Tyler, the best player prop bet for this game is Over 0.5 Singles (-130). Lopez should have ample opportunities to get on base against a pitcher who has struggled with control and allowed a high number of hits.

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